Mortgage rates rose to the highest levels since May 2024 by the end of last week following a stronger reading on the jobs report. Technically, the same thing happened today, but only because rates inched just a bit higher from Friday's latest levels.  This time around, there wasn't any big-ticket economic data to motivate movement and the minimal change could just as easily be seen as incidental or "almost sideways."  The more important consideration is the new round of potential volatility on the horizon.  Whereas it was the jobs report last week, this week's critical data will be Wednesday's Consumer Price Index (CPI). Tomorrow's inflation data (the Producer Price Index) is not quite as important, but a nonetheless capable of causing a reaction. If inflation comes in higher than expected, it could easily push rates even higher. The average lender is now up to 7.25% for a top tier conventional 30yr fixed scenario.
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January 13, 2025
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Mortgage Rate Watch
Mortgage rates rose to the highest levels since May 2024 by the end of last week following a stronger reading on the jobs report. Technically, the same thing happened today, but only because rates inched just a bit higher from Friday's latest levels.... (read more)
MBS Commentary
After last Friday's jobs report, the evaporation of Fed rate cut probability has been a common refrain.  While it's true that there was an obvious shift in both long and short term rates, it was a drop in the bucket compared to the broader ... (read more)
Rob Chrisman
“An economics professor was walking with a student when the student looked down and said, ‘Look! A $50 bill!’ The professor explained, ‘That can’t be true. If it were a $50 bill someone would have already picked it up.’” Sometimes reality doesn’t mat... (read more)
Mortgage Rates
MBS / Treasuries