No Major Reaction to Data, But Data Remains Relevant As with most "first weeks of the month," this one has potentially significant economic data every single morning.  With ISM Manufacturing kicking things off, today was no exception, but it didn't end up having a big impact.  Considering the near perfect alignment with expectations, that's not much of a surprise.  The flood of "new month" trading positions ended up being a much bigger market mover (well before the data).  Weakness in the stock market also helped drive some safe haven buying in Treasuries.  Econ Data / EventsS&P Manufacturing PMI47.9 vs 48.0 f'cast ISM Manufacturing PMI47.2 vs 47.5 f'cast ISM Prices54.0 vs 52.5 f'cast Market Movement Recap09:40 AM New month trading = gains for bonds.  10yr down 5.2bps at 3.852.  MBS up 6 ticks (.19). 12:48 PM still stronger but off best levels.  MBS up 5 ticks (.16) and 10yr down 4.7bps at 3.857 02:18 PM Flat at the same levels as the last update.  10yr down 5.3bps at 3.851
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September 3, 2024
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MBS Commentary
No Major Reaction to Data, But Data Remains Relevant As with most "first weeks of the month," this one has potentially significant economic data every single morning.  With ISM Manufacturing kicking thin... (read more)
Mortgage Rate Watch
You never know what you're going to get on the days surrounding a 3 day weekend for financial markets, and that's doubly true when it corresponds with the final/first trading day of the month.  Despite all of those potential curveballs, the bond... (read more)
Rob Chrisman
It was the third of September, a day I’ll always remember… Will September 18th be remembered as the day that the Federal Reserve lowers fed funds for the first time since April of 2020? Probably… It is certainly already priced into interest rates. (F... (read more)
Mortgage Rates
MBS / Treasuries