Analysts and investors are predicting big things from Nvidia’s third-quarter update on Wednesday: namely, a big jump in profits and $32.9 billion in revenue – almost double last year’s $18 billion. They know there are three big trends fueling Nvidia’s rise: surging demand for its AI-optimized chips, booming interest in its networking tech, and strong data center sales growth.
Nvidia’s cutting-edge graphic processing units (GPUs) are, after all, the backbone of the AI boom. Its top-of-the-line Hopper models – like the H100 and H200 – are engineered to handle the most advanced AI tasks, powering everything from chatbots to image generators. They process massive data loads in record time and keep AI applications running smoothly, so it’s no surprise demand is off the charts as more and more industries look to bring the technology under their own roofs.
Meanwhile, Nvidia’s Spectrum-X networking tech – which connects GPUs in data centers – powers lightning-fast data transfers and helps companies make their AI infrastructure faster and more efficient. This technology is in high demand, especially as cloud giants like Amazon, Google, and Microsoft pour their considerable resources into data centers that can handle their heavy processing needs. It’s no wonder Nvidia’s data center business is making it rain too.
That said, Nvidia’s got its challenges. Supply chain issues leave the chipmaker struggling to keep up with demand, and the ramp-up of Blackwell – Nvidia’s next-gen GPUs – could squeeze margins in the coming quarters, with its steep production costs.
And it’s worth bearing in mind that Nvidia’s stock trades at around 35x its expected 2024 earnings, and potentially above 50x its 2025 earnings. That means there’s not much margin of safety if things don’t quite measure up. Nvidia may well keep beating expectations, but the stakes nonetheless are high: any signs of slowing demand could prompt a quick reset, freak some investors out, and bring the share price down. High reward, high risk.
