Ohio Politics: Know what's really going on
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Welcome to the new Ohio Politics newsletter. Once a week, reporter Avery Kreemer will guide you through the latest political news, focusing on the Miami Valley, Ohio Statehouse and key national races. If you don’t want to continue receiving this newsletter, unsubscribe here. Thank you for reading!

AVERY KREEMER
Thursday, March 21, 2024
 
 

Another election came and went this week, setting the stage for what is undoubtedly going to be a high-stakes, high-spending, and loud affair this November.

I recommend taking some time to appreciate the next few months of relative peace — no more mailers, no more ads, no more yard signs — until the big one.

Keep reading to get caught up on some of the results from Tuesday’s biggest races in and around Dayton.

If you’re inclined, feel free to reach out to me with any questions or comments. I can be reached at 614-981-1422, avery.kreemer@coxinc.com or @AveryKreemer on X. You can also follow our political coverage on our website and through our Ohio Politics Facebook page.

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Dayton Gets a New State Rep.

Desiree Tims is a Democratic candidate for Ohio House District 38. PROVIDED

Credit: Provided

• At a glance: After a commanding victory in House District 38′s Democratic primary, Desiree Tims is nailed on to take over an empty Ohio House seat and represent Dayton and Trotwood in Columbus for at least the next two years.

• The background: Tims, a Democratic strategist who leads a progressive think tank and boasts years of experience aiding U.S. senators and former President Barack Obama, handily defeated longtime NAACP leader Derrick Foward with 72% of the vote. The district is deeply Democratic and will have no Republican challenger this November.

• Election night quote: “For everyone who voted for me, I want to say thank you. To those who didn’t vote for me, I’ll work to earn your support ... into the future and I hope to pour back into the community as I continue to move forward,” Tims said. Here’s the story.

• Extra content: Want to know more about Tims and where she stands? Here’s my article outlining her campaign and another with her direct responses to survey questions formed by our readers.

Trump-backed Bernie Moreno wins GOP U.S. Senate endorsement

Cleveland businessman Bernie Moreno, a Republican candidate for U.S. Senate, speaks to supporters during his primary election night watch party in Westlake, Ohio, Tuesday, March 19, 2024. (AP Photo/David Dermer)

Credit: AP

• At a glance: Bernie Moreno, a wealthy businessman from Westlake who is yet to hold any public office, bested two well-known establishment Republicans in Ohio off the back of a still-powerful endorsement from GOP presidential nominee and former President Donald Trump.

• The story: It wasn’t always clear how election night was going to go, but in the end, the race wasn’t particularly close. Moreno nabbed 51% of the vote and won every single county in the state; the super wealthy state Sen. Matt Dolan, R-Chagrin Falls, got 31% and Ohio Secretary of State Frank LaRose suffered another poor showing at the polls with 17% of the vote.

• The background: It was an awkward race to watch unfold. Despite Trump’s backing of Moreno, and all the candidates’ past grievances with the former president, the race increasingly became a contest of who could best convince voters that they were indeed the best suited to accomplish Trump-supported policies.

Ultimately, it served as another reminder of the sway Trump has here in Ohio — or at least the influence of the ideas and policies he has come to represent.

• What’s next: Moreno now moves on to challenge longtime Democratic U.S. Sen. Sherrod Brown this November, with control over the country’s Senate hanging in the balance. It will be a big one. Here’s the election night story from Lynn Hulsey.

Local political news of the week

Larry Gache and Betty White vote early at the Montgomery County Board of Elections Thursday March 14, 2024. JIM NOELKER/STAFF

Credit: JIM NOELKER

• County Commission race: Incumbent Democrat Judy Dodge staved off her challenger and the GOP’s Kate Baker triumphed in their respective primaries for Dodge’s seat on the Montgomery County Commission. Sydney Dawes has the story.

• Voters largely reject tax increases for schools: Voters in Tipp City School District were the only voters on Tuesday to approve a property tax hike to benefit their district. Tax hikes are always a tough sell, but it’s become even harder for school districts following a hefty increase in property tax burdens. Eileen McClory has the story.

• Dayton approves Issue 6: Dayton voters approved a renewal levy to fund many essential city services at about $15 million of revenue per year. For more details, check out Nick Blizzard’s story.

State political news of the week

Willis Blackshear Jr. has won the Democratic primary for the Ohio Senate 6th District.

• Shearing a crowded Democratic field: Dayton’s incumbent state Rep. Willis Blackshear, Jr., made a bit of a gamble when he decided to forgo re-election and instead run in the area’s newly-blue-leaning Senate District 6. With a heavy victory in that primary on Tuesday, his bet has so far paid off. He’ll face GOP pick Charlotte McGuire, who represents the region on the state school board, this November. Eric Schwartzberg has the story.

• More amendments this November?: A citizen group gathering signatures in support of an independent, citizen-led redistricting commission intends to get their proposal on the ballot and end gerrymandering this November. Cornelius Frolik caught up with some campaign volunteers nearby to learn more about their venture.

• Dems got their judge: Party-backed Judge Lisa Forbes of the 8th District Court of Appeals defeated fellow Democrat Terri Jamison for the nomination for an open Ohio Supreme Court seat. Now, jockeying between the parties will commence for three open seats on the state’s top bench in a November election that could tip the scales. Eric Schwartzberg has the story.

National political news of the week

Republican candidate for president Donald Trump speaks at Wright Bros Aero. Jim Noelker/Staff

• In Dayton, Trump predicts ‘bloodbath’ for auto industry: Former President Donald Trump stopped by in Dayton to stump for Bernie Moreno and himself ahead of November, warning voters that the country will be “finished” if President Joe Biden wins a second term. “Now, if I don’t get elected, it’s going to be a bloodbath for the whole (country),” Trump said, later clarifying that he was referring to the damage the auto industry will endure under Biden’s important and electric car policies. Here’s the full story from Lynn Hulsey.

• Democratic challengers to incumbent Republican Congressmen: Out-of-district Democrat Amy Cox got the nod to take on incumbent Rep. Mike Turner, this November. She’ll be hoping to fare better than each of his prior challengers who, by and large, have gotten smoked in November. In the 8th Congressional District, Democrat Vanessa Enoch will again take on Rep. Warren Davidson, R-Troy; and Democrat Adam Miller will take on Mike Carey in the state’s 15th Congressional District. Lynn Hulsey has the full story.

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