Your Inside Source for Options Information

February 12, 2018


Featured Interview

A favorite interview from Options Insider Radio 

Options Insider Radio Interviews: Talking ChiX Acquisition, Dash-Liquidpoint Merger and Options Education with Tony Saliba

Posted February 10th, 2017

Today, Mark is joined by Tony Saliba, Managing Director of Saliba Venture Management.

He discusses:

 


Upcoming Economic Reports

A preview of what may move the market this week

IME (ET) REPORT PERIOD MEDIAN PREVIOUS
FORECAST
MONDAY, FEB. 12
2:00 PM Federal budget Jan. -- $51 bln
TUESDAY, FEB. 13
6:00 AM NFIB small-business index Jan. -- 104.9
11:00 AM Household debt Q4 -- 3.70%
WEDNESDAY,FEB. 14
8:30 AM Consumer price index Jan 0.40% 0.10%
8:30 AM Core CPI Jan. 0.20% 0.30%
8:30 AM Retail sales Jan. 0.20% 0.40%
8:30 AM Retail sales ex-autos Jan. 0.40% 0.40%
10:00 AM Business inventories Dec. -- 0.40%
THURSDAY, FEB. 15
8:30 AM Weekly jobless claims Feb. 10 230,000 221,000
8:30 AM Empire state index Feb. -- 17.7
8:30 AM Philly Fed Feb. -- 22.2
9:15 AM Industrial production Jan. 0.30% 0.90%
9:15 AM Capacity utilization Jan. 78.00% 77.90%
10:00 AM NAHB home builders' index Feb. -- 72
FRIDAY, FEB. 16
8:30 AM Housing starts Jan. 1.240mln 1.192mln
8:30 AM Building permits Jan. -- 1.300mln
8:30 AM Import price index Jan. -- 0.10%
10:00 AM Consumer sentiment Feb. 95.3 95.7

Options Insider Radio Network 

Episodes you may have missed from Options Insider Radio last week

Option Block 690: Debating XIV and SVXY

Posted February 9th, 2018

Trading Block: A review of the week to date.

  • VIX back up over 30
  • S&P is back in selloff mode despite decent earnings.
  • We are all now living in a post VIX/Monday selloff world.
  • Everyone is attacking the "Frankenproducts" like XIV and SVXY.
  • VXX was briefly back above its post-split levels.
  • Earnings are getting lost in the macro maelstrom - TSLA, CMG, TWTR, SNAP, ETC
  • Earnings Highlights:
    • NVDA: ATM Straddle - $18, approx. 8%
    • ATVI: ATM Straddle - $5.50, approx. 8%
    • CBOE stock is getting crushed.

Odd Block: More Jan 2019 50 "catastrophe" puts in Tesla Motors (TSLA); Unloading Mar 30 calls in (UNP).

Strategy Block: Mike Tosaw discusses buying the dip

Mail Block: Options question of the week

VIX is moving like crazy today day. It's already blown past 23 and is threatening 35. So let's dial up our $VIX threshold for extra #ZombieApocalypse fun. You buying or selling these levels? Quite Simply: Where will $VIX close on Friday?

  • Crazy Town: 30-35
  • Zombie Apocalypse: >35
  • Crazy: 25-30
  • Mildly Crazy: <25

Listener questions and comments:

  • Question from Matt Williamson - What's up with FB $5 calls (yes, FIVE DOLLAR calls) in Jan 2019? OI climbing past 12k?
  • Question from Johnny Bananas - Quick question. If you buy a put option and the strike price is $5 and the drops to $3. Is it still worth money even if it's $3 under?

Around the Block/Earnings This Week:

  • Thursday - Twitter, Nvidia, Activision/Blizzard
  • Friday - CBOE

 

Options Playbook Radio 195: Mystery FB Calls and TSLA Puts

Posted February 8th, 2018

It's time to huddle up and take on listener questions in this episode of Options Playbook Radio.

  • Question from Janice: Hi Brian! I have a question about the way you talk about the alternatives available for managing the LEAPS option put spread if the market goes down. Can you please explain?
  • Question from Matt: What's up with the FB $5 calls?
  • Question from Johnny Bananas: If you buy a put option and the strike price is $5 and the stock drops to $3, is it still worth money?


Options Insider Radio Interviews: Exploring Covered Call ETFs with Horizons

Posted February 6th, 2018

In this episode, Mark is joined by Jonathan Molchan Portfolio Manager, Horizons ETF Management (US), LLC.

They discuss:

  • What is Horizon's ETF Management?
  • Jonathan's background in financial services
  • The Horizon's flagship product: QYLD
  • Current and upcoming products, including using Russell Indexes
  • Why cap the upside?
  • What about commodities?
  • Passive versus active portfolio management
  • To learn more, visit the Horizons website

 

Option Block 689: It's The End of the World

Posted February 6th, 2018

Trading Block: Dow loses over 1,000 points on the day. SPX opened at 2,683 on Jan 2. VIX cash now threatening 35! XBT below $7000; good thing for "uncorrelated assets."

Earnings Highlights this Week:

  • Tuesday - GM, Snap Inc., Walt Disney Company
  • Wednesday - Tesla, ICE
  • Thursday - Twitter, Nvidia, Activision/Blizzard
  • Friday - CBOE

Odd Block: From last Monday: Near-term call paper in (CL)

Mail Block: Question of the week

Holy Crap! $VIX is threatening 23! Is this the beginning of the #ZombieApocalypse or a great time to sell some #Volatility? In a nutshell - how do you think $VIX will finish the week?

  • Elevated: 21-25
  • Crazy Town: 25+
  • Frothy: 17-21
  • Bubbly: < 17

Updated Question of the Week #2

$VIX is moving like crazy today day. It's already blown past 23 and is threatening 35. So let's dial up our $VIX threshold for extra #ZombieApocalypse fun. You buying or selling these levels? Quite Simply: Where will $VIX close on Friday?

  • Crazy Town: 30-35
  • ZombieApocalypse: >35
  • Crazy: 25-30
  • Mildly Crazy: <25

Listener Questions and Comments:

  • Question from Matt Williamson - What's up with FB $5 calls (yes, FIVE DOLLAR calls) in Jan 2019? OI climbing past 12k?

Around the Block/Economic Reports this Week:

  • Feb 5: ISM Non-Mfg Index
  • Feb 6: International Trade, JOLTS
  • Feb 8: Jobless Claims

 

This Week in Futures Options 89: Going Deep on Rates

Posted February 5th, 2018

Today's guest co-host is Agha Mirza, Global Head of Interest Rate Products for CME Group Inc.

Topics this week include:

  • Rates
  • Indices
  • Crude

Futures Options Feedback: Listener questions and comments

  • Question from Jackson - How is the new Fed chair being reflected in the rates products?
  • Question from Alejandro - Can you guys do an overview of Rho and its impact on options in a rising interest rate environment? Is this something I should be concerned about?

 

Volatility Views 292: Earnings Volatility, plus VIX Whale Returns

Posted February 5th, 2018

Today, we feature special guest co-host, Don Dale, Managing Member at Equity Risk Control Group.

Volatility Review: A look back at the week from a volatility perspective.

VIX Cash:

  • Hit nearly 15.50 this week
  • Yet another crazy week

Russell's Weekly Rundown

  • VIX Options: ADV - 777k, VIX call/put - 3.9, Total 13.7m (10.9m Calls, 2.78m Puts)
  • Earnings Volatility: This season's theme is underperforming. FB, MSFT, AAPL, GOOGL & AMZN

Volatility Voicemail: Listener questions and comments

  • Question from ILM78 - It seems like the volatility space is dominated by Canadian pension funds. Why is that the case? How's the volatility landscape for U.S. pension and hedge funds out there? Do U.S. pension funds trade a lot of VIX options or OTC?

Crystal Ball: Where will the VIX close on Friday?

Last week:

  • Mark L. - 9.55
  • Andrew - 13.25
  • Kevin - 10.50
  • Matt - 10.15
  • Mike - 9.99

Next week:

  • Mark L. - 13.50
  • Mark S. - 14.00
  • Russell - 15.67
  • Don - 17.50

 


Where to Find Options Insider Radio?

Do you know all the ways you can access Options Insider Radio

             


Options Insider Radio Network Live Recordings

Do you want to be a part of the fun?

This is when you can access the LIVE shows this week:

Monday:

Option Block LIVE at 3pm Central


Thursday:

Option Block LIVE at 3pm Central


Friday:

Volatility Views LIVE at 12pm Central

This Week in Futures Options LIVE at 1:30 Central. As always, you can join in the fun at http://mixlr.com/options-insider/


Stats from Last Week

  • VIX Cash Range: 16.80 - 46.34

  • S&P Cash Range: 2532.69 - 2763.39

  • SPX 30-Day Implied Volatility: 20.93

  • SPX 10-Day Realized Volatility: 31.78

  • SPX 30-Day Realized Volatility:  20.83

  • SPX Risk Premium (30-Day Implied - Realized): 0.10

  • Market Risk Premium (VIX Cash - SPX 30-day Implied Volatility): 6.65


 

Strategy 101: Brought to you by Ally Invest

Options Playbook Radio 171: BABA Backspread

Posted August 17th, 2017

Since it's still earnings, season we are going to continue to look at expensive stocks. Today's subject is Alibaba (BABA), and we are exploring a backspread. You can find backspreads in The Options Playbook. This is always available on OptionsPlaybook.com, in on the Amazon Kindle edition.

The details:

  • The difference bewteen a skip-strike butterfly and a backspread
  • What do we want to happen?
  • Why a backspread over a skip-strike butterfly?
  • Earnings-related considerations
  • What is the marketplace expecting after the earnings?
  • Selecting strikes
  • What will this cost?
  • What is the timeframe?
  • And more...

Do you have questions that you would like answered on the show? Send them to Brian at theoptionsguy@invest.ally.com.


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