Your Inside Source for Options Information

March 26, 2018


Options Broker Madness, Week Three

Sixteen will enter the ring, but there can be only one winner

Week two brings the final two match ups to determine the final four AND the final four itself. You can participate by voting on Twitter, Facebook and StockTwits. Every time you like or share the poll, you'll be entered into the drawing to win fabulous prizes.

A note about the timing. Dates for the final four and final rounds have been updated (as reflected in the graphic below) to accommodate the market being closed on Friday, March 30 for Good Friday. The final round will last two days: Monday, April 2 and Tuesday, April 3.




Make your voices heard on Twitter, Facebook and StockTwits. Who will claim the title? That's up to you!

This year's fabulous prizes are: 

  • First Place: Amazon Echo Dot
  • Second Place: Amazon Gift Card
  • Third Place: Exclusive Options Insider Gear

Every time you vote (only on Facebook since Twitter votes are anonymous), share, or like the poll, you're entered to win. It's Chicago rules...vote early and often. 

 


Upcoming Economic Reports

A preview of what may move the market this week

TIME (ET) REPORT PERIOD FORECAST PREVIOUS
MONDAY, MARCH 26
8:30 AM Chicago Fed national activity index Feb. -- 0.12
TUESDAY, MARCH 27
9:00 AM Case-Shiller home price index Jan. -- 6.30%
10:00 AM Consumer confidence index March 131.3 130.8
WEDNESDAY, MARCH 28
8:30 AM GDP Q4 2.80% 2.50%
8:30 AM Advance trade in goods Feb. -$74.0 bln -$75.3bln
10:00 AM Pending home sales Feb. -- -4.70%
THURSDAY, MARCH 29
8:30 AM Weekly jobless claims 24-Mar 230,000 229,000
8:30 AM Personal income Feb. 0.40% 0.40%
8:30 AM Consumer spending Feb. 0.20% 0.20%
8:30 AM Core inflation Feb. 0.20% 0.30%
9:45 AM Chicago PMI March -- 61.9
10:00 AM Consumer sentiment index March 102 102
FRIDAY, MARCH 30
  None scheduled - Good Friday      


Options Insider Radio Network 

Episodes you may have missed from Options Insider Radio last week

Option Block 701: Revenge of the Trade War

Posted March 23rd, 2018

Trading Block:

  • The market is tanking on trade war concerns: Trump is at it again.
  • Volatility returns - VIX back in the 20s.
  • The tech selloff continues - FB closed $185 on 3/16 - traded as low as $163.72 today, down nearly 12%.
  • Fed hikes rates as expected.
  • US weekly jobless claims total 226,000, in line with expectations
  • Earnings: NKE: $65.30, ATM straddle - $3.60, approx. 5.5%

Odd Block: Calls trade in Deere & Company (DE), puts trade in CNH Industrial NV (CNHI) and split ticket calls in TC Pipelines LP (TRP).

Strategy Block: Uncle Mike Tosaw discusses selling naked puts

Mail Block: Listener questions and comments

  • Question from Ed Bankert - Debating on using covered calls or short puts. Which is better for a less experienced options trader who wants to make money?
  • Question from Scott Somer? - WMT now below 100 premarket @Options @OptionPit @OptionVol How is that proposed @CBOE premarket earnings related equity options pilot going?

Around the Block/Economic Reports

  • Mar 23: Durable Goods, New Home Sales

 

Options Insider Radio Interviews: Talking Options, China and Crypto with Tony Saliba

Posted March 22nd, 2018

In this episode, Mark is joined by Tony Saliba, author and CEO of Matrix Holdings.

They discuss:

  • The book on the Chinese options market and resulting educational tour
  • Is there another book in the works?
  • Updates on the ChiX deal
  • What is Matrix Holdings?
  • Why get back into financial technology?
  • Potential partnerships with futures and options users
  • Bots with persona
  • Potential in cryptos
  • The crypto / options time line comparison
  • When might there be crypto options?
  • And more

 

Options Playbook Radio 201: Nike Back Spread into Earnings

Posted March 22nd, 2018

As we approach the end of earnings season, there are still a few names left to announce. Last week we talked about a FedEx butterfly. Let's revisit what has happened since. You can find more in The Options Playbook, which is always available on OptionsPlaybook.com, in on the Amazon Kindle edition.

Specifically:

  • A review of last week's FDX butterfly
  • What has happened to FDX since the paper trade?
  • What is happening in Nike?
  • How about a back spread?
  • Looking for volatility
  • Hoping the stock will move more than the expected move
  • Selecting expiration
  • Selecting strikes
  • What is the maximum gain? Loss?

Do you have a question that you want answered on a future episode? Send them to Brian at theoptionsguy@invest.ally.com, or to the Options Insider at questions@theoptionsinsider.com.

 

Options Insider Radio Interviews: Breaking the Swaps Franchise with Eris Exchange

Posted March 21st, 2018

In this episode, Mark is joined by Geoff Sharp, Managing Director and Head of Sales for the Eris Exchange.

They discuss:

  • What is Eris Exchange
  • What are the benefits of using Eris Exchange?
  • What are Eris swap futures?
  • Growth in open interest
  • Challenges they have faced bringing transparency to the swaps market
  • Building the ecosystem
  • Their patent award
  • How the return of volatility impacted activity
  • And more

 

Options Insider Radio Interviews: Talking Index Volatility with FTSE Russell

Posted March 21st, 2018

In this episode, Mark is joined by Sean Smith, Managing Director of Derivatives Licensing & Exchange Data, and Ron Bundy, Global Head of Strategic Accounts at FTSE Russell.

They discuss:

  • What are some highlights from the past month from FTSE Russell?
  • The return of volatility
  • Where have volumes grown?
  • What brought them to FIA Boca?
  • A check in on RVX
  • And more

 

Option Block 700: The Soft Underbelly of the Market

Posted March 20th, 2018

Trading Block: VIX is back in the 20's. Facebook is taking it on the chin as Russia fallout continues - down 7% and leading other tech stocks into the toilet. Fed Meeting with New Chairman on Wednesday. Earnings: Oracle - ATM straddle - $2.75, over 100k contracts on the tape.

Odd Block: Call palooza in Olin Corporation (OLN), put palooza in UnitedHealth Group Inc. (UNH), split ticket puts in Criteo SA (CRTO).

Mail Block: Vote in our Options Broker Madness competition each day by going to @Options on Twitter.

Results:

  • Interactive Brokers vs. Sogo - Interative Brokers
  • TDAmeritrade (TOS) v. Choice Trade - TD Ameritrade
  • Schwab (OptionsXpress) v. Tastyworks- Tastyworks
  • Fidelity v. RobinHood- RobinHood
  • Lightspeed v. eOption- Lightspeed
  • E-Trade (OptionsHouse) v. TradeHawk- E-Trade

Listener questions and comments:

  • Question from Malthe Have Musaeus:If I buy a call option and afterwards sell it for a profit, I'm not the one obligated to sell 100 shares if that option is exercised later right? How do I close my call option position completely and take my profit/loss?
  • Question from The Chazz - What do the option block all-stars think the skew will look like in bitcoin options?
  • Question from Jack K. -How do people afford to sell puts in TSLA? In order to do any size (like a 10 lot) you have to be able to put up the cash to buy 330k worth of stock. Even a one lot costs 33k. Maybe we need some minis on TSLA?

Around the Block/Economic Reports:

  • Mar 21 - Existing Home Sales, FOMC Meeting
  • Mar 22 - Jobless Claims
  • Mar 23 - Durable Goods, New Home Sales

 

This Week in Futures Options 95: Talking Crude, Coins and Crypto

Posted March 19th, 2018

Topics this week include:

  • Oil/WTI
  • Gold
  • Bitcoin
  • Winners: RBOB, Soybean Oil
  • Losers: Oats, Wheat

Futures Options Feedback: Options Flash Poll

Which would you rather see first? Would you rather see Options finally listed on Bitcoin futures? Or would you prefer to have more Cryptocurrency futures (Litecoin, Ethereum, etc.) launched instead?

  • Gimme Bitcoin Options
  • More Crypto Futures
  • Save Me from More Crypto

Listener questions and comments:

  • Question from HFL9 -Would you rather see options on bitcoin futures or more futures listed on more crypto products first?
  • Question from RevTimTom - What's your favorite way to trade skew?
  • Question from Da Cheese - Still waiting for my big dairy options rundown on the show. Luv ya!
  • Question from Allen -Nick going to make a QuikStrike for crypto someday?

 

Volatility Views 298: Back in the Saddle Again

Posted March 19th, 2018

Volatility Review: A look back at the week from a volatility perspective

  • VIX cash back in the 15 handle
  • VIX Options: ADV - 1M, VIX call/put: - 1.9/1, Total 13.9m (9.16m Calls, 4.76m Puts)
  • Weird iron fly with crazy call kicker
  • VXX - 38.89

Volatility Voicemail: Options Flash Poll

Which would you rather see first? Would you rather see Options finally listed on Bitcoin futures? Or would you prefer to have more Cryptocurrency futures (Litecoin, Ethereum, etc.) launched instead?

  • Gimme Bitcoin Options
  • More Crypto Futures
  • Save Me from More Crypto

Last week's Volatility Flash Poll: VIX is off the board and SVXY is a pale shadow of its former self. So how are you getting your "short Vol" fix these days? Reply/DM with alternative suggestions.

  • 20% - Short VIX Futures
  • 22% - Long VIX Puts/Spreads
  • 32% - Short VIX Call/Spreads
  • 26% - Short SPX/SPY Volatility

Listener questions and comments:

  • Question from Big Blanc -I'm liking the VXX erosion play. Question though - Why does everyone talk puts on this trade? Why not selling calls or call spreads? Or maybe the combo - buying puts and selling calls or call spreads? Any backtests on that?
  • Question from Jack K. -How is Mark's SVXY call vertical holding up?
  • Comment from Brian Collamer -Hey Mark, You been talking off and on about seeing how the straddles performed vs actual moves around the earnings. Check the Analyze>Earnings tab in Thinkorswim sometime and let us know what you think!
  • Comment from Brian Collamer:Also thought you might get a kick out of this.
  • Question from Liam - Any cool takeaways from Mark's trip to RMC or FIA?
  • Question from Leo -I have a bunch of VXX Jan 2019 puts. Should I be concerned about the issuer pulling an SVXY and suddenly rendering those puts irrelevant?

Crystal Ball: Wild and reckless prognostication

Last week:

  • Mark L. - 14.75
  • Mark S. - 13.15
  • Russell - 14

This week:

  • Mark L. - 15.15
  • Andrew - 14.75

 


Where to Find Options Insider Radio?

Do you know all the ways you can access Options Insider Radio

          


Options Insider Radio Network Live Recordings

Do you want to be a part of the fun?

This is when you can access the LIVE shows this week:

Monday:

Option Block LIVE at 3pm Central


Thursday:

Option Block LIVE at 3pm Central


Friday:

Volatility Views LIVE at 12pm Central

This Week in Futures Options LIVE at 1:30 Central. As always, you can join in the fun at http://mixlr.com/options-insider/


Stats from Last Week

  • VIX Cash Range: 16.26 - 26.01

  • S&P Cash Range: 2585.89 - 2741.38

  • SPX 30-Day Implied Volatility: 19.77

  • SPX 10-Day Realized Volatility: 15.36

  • SPX 30-Day Realized Volatility:  17.49

  • SPX Risk Premium (30-Day Implied - Realized): 2.48

  • Market Risk Premium (VIX Cash - SPX 30-day Implied Volatility): 5.10


 

Strategy 101: Brought to you by Ally Invest

Options Playbook Radio 176: Long Spreads

Posted September 21st, 2017

In this episode, Brian explores long spreads. Specifically, long call spreads and long put spreads. These can be found on pages 60 and 62, respectively, of The Options Playbook. This is always available on OptionsPlaybook.com, in on the Amazon Kindle edition.

Details include:

  • The dynamics of spread trading
  • Using AAPL as an example
  • What to consider regarding forecasting and timing
  • The value of the spread does not provide quick rewards
  • Selecting strikes
  • What is the maximum risk?
  • What is the maximum reward?
  • Always look at how much time premium you have

Do you have questions that you would like answered on the show? Send them to Brian at theoptionsguy@invest.ally.com.


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