Your Inside Source for Options Information

September 11, 2017


Upcoming Economic Reports

A preview of what may move the market this week

TIME (ET) REPORT PERIOD FORECAST PREVIOUS
TUESDAY, SEPT. 12
6:00 AM NFIB small-business index Aug. -- 105.2
10:00 AM Job openings July -- 6.2 mln
WEDNESDAY, SEPT. 13
8:30 AM Producer price index Aug. 0.30% -0.10%
2:00 PM Federal budget Aug. -- -$107bln
THURSDAY, SEPT. 14
8:30 AM Weekly jobless claims 9-Sep 300,000 298,000
8:30 AM Consumer price index Aug. 0.30% 0.10%
8:30 AM Core CPI Aug. 0.20% 0.10%
FRIDAY, SEPT. 15
8:30 AM Retail sales Aug. 0.10% 0.60%
8:30 AM Retail sales ex-autos Aug. 0.40% 0.50%
8:30 AM Empire state index Sept. -- 25.2
9:15 AM Industrial production Aug. 0.10% 0.20%
9:15 AM Capacity utilization Aug. 76.80% 76.70%
10:00 AM Business inventories July -- 0.50%
10:00 AM Consumer sentiment Sept. 94.2 96.8

  

 


 

Join Us at the Professional Traders Summit

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For the next few days, you can purchase one seat for $297 and bring a guest at no additional cost.

The 2017 Professional Traders Summit features an expert panel of speakers who are committed to making sure you walk away from this event with more tools and insight to trade in all market conditions.

Get in the Middle of the Trading Action

Live at the Historic Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE)

September 27-29, 2017

Click here now for full details on the 2-for-1 special.

Don't delay! This ends once all the guest seats are taken.


 

Options Insider Radio Network 

Episodes you may have missed from Options Insider Radio last week

Option Block 650: Talking Hurricanes, Missiles and Bankruptcy Puts with Fidelity

Posted September 8th, 2017

Joining the all-star panel is guest co-host Greg Stevens, VP of Product Development of Options at Fidelity Investments.

Trading Block: Hurricane Irma puts Florida in it's crosshairs. The numbers are in: August was surprisingly strong. Earnings season is in the rearview mirror now.

Odd Block: TSLA options tracker. Upside call love in Himax Technologies, Inc. (HIMX), massive put block in iShares MSCI Japan ETF (EWJ), and call frenzy from 8/17 in Utilities SPDR (XLU).

Mail Block: Options question of the week

As Q4 looms, where are you placing your bullish #Volatility bets? Which has most #Upside by end of 2017? $VIX $AMZN #WTI $GVZ

  • Gold Volatility
  • Crude Oil Volatility
  • S&P 500 Volatility - VIX
  • Single Names - $AMZN, etc.

Listener Questions and comments: What's on your mind?

  • Question from Ejh4isu - Question for the option block: What happens to puts I'm holding if the company files bankruptcy or becomes insolvent? Am I just out of luck?
  • Comment from Notyourcountry - What's the probability that Netflix $NFLX won't file for Chapter 11?
  • Question from CLT - Heard a rumor that minis were making a comeback. Any truth to it?

Around the Block: Hurricane cannon pointed at the southeast. NFL season kicks off tonight. Tension between China and North Korea. Literal weekend risk.

 

Options Playbook Radio 174: Back to Basics with Probability

Posted September 7th, 2017

Last week, we started the back to the basics with the Greeks. You can find an entire chapter on Greeks in The Options Playbook. This is always available on OptionsPlaybook.com, in on the Amazon Kindle edition.

In this episode, Brian discusses:

  • Looking at probability using a 90-day option as an example
  • What is the probability of an $8 move in a $60 stock in 90 days?
  • Where do you think the option will be trading at in 90 days?

Do you have a question that you want answered on a future episode? Send them to Brian at theoptionsguy@invest.ally.com, or to the Options Insider at questions@theoptionsinsider.com.

 

This Week in Futures Options 67: Hurricane Harvey Surprises Options Traders

Topics this week include: Crude Gold Winners - R-Bob, Heating Oil Losers - Oats, Milk Futures Options Feedback: Question from JLC - Where can I get the collar study referenced on the show? Question from Mark T. - So which assets perform the best...

Posted September 5th, 2017

Topics this week include:

  • Crude
  • Gold
  • Winners - R-Bob, Heating Oil
  • Losers - Oats, Milk

Futures Options Feedback:

  • Question from JLC - Where can I get the collar study referenced on the show?
  • Question from Mark T. - So which assets perform the best from a collar perspective?
  • Question from Toms - New OIC study coming soon?
  • Question from J. Marello - I heard that time decay doesn't impact straddles the same way in futures options that it does in stocks. Is that true and are straddles better to buy in futures options for this reason?

Volatility Views 270: Return of VIX Ratios plus VXX Questions

Posted September 5th, 2017

Volatility Review: A look back at the week from a volatility perspective.

The numbers:

  • VIX Cash - 10.59, VVIX - 94.86
  • CBOE Skew Index - 130.5

Russell's Weekly Rundown:

  • VIX Options: ADV - 785k, VIX Call/Put - 3.3
  • Total 12.0m (9.24m Calls, 2.76m Puts)
  • OIV - 28.29
  • OVX - 28.37

Volatility Voicemail: Options Question of the week:

Let's get cheap! If you had to buy "lottery ticket" December calls for $.05 in one name - which would you choose? #HomeRun

  • AMZN
  • AAPL
  • Tesla
  • VIX

Listener Questions and Comments:

  • Question from JC - What am i missing? If VXX erodes why does anyone buy it?
  • Question from Simyan - So I should just short VXX into the dust? Is that the deal?
  • Question from Nils - So if the max length between splits is 3 years, and the minimum split price is $10 - aren't the Jan 2019 20 puts for $2 a screaming deal?
  • Question from TimTim - Do any other Vol products exhibit this erosion?

Crystal Ball: Wild prognostication

Last week:

  • Mark L. - 11.75
  • Mark S. - 11.00
  • Russell - 10.80

This week:

  • Mark L. - 10.15
  • Mark S. - 10.65
  • Russell - 11.00

 


Where to Find Options Insider Radio?

Do you know all the ways you can access Options Insider Radio

            



Options Insider Radio Network Live Recordings

Do you want to be a part of the fun?

This is when you can access the LIVE shows this week:

Monday:
Option Block LIVE at 3pm Central

Thursday:

Option Block LIVE at 3pm Central

Friday:
Volatility Views LIVE at 12pm Central
This Week in Futures Options LIVE at 1:30 Central

As always, you can join in the fun at http://mixlr.com/options-insider/

 


Stats of the Week

  • VIX Cash Range: 11.32 - 14.06
  • S&P Cash Range: 2446.55 - 2471.97
  • SPX 30-Day Implied Volatility: 8.87
  • SPX 10-Day Realized Volatility: 5.86
  • SPX 30-Day Realized Volatility:  8.51
  • SPX Risk Premium (30-Day Implied - Realized): 3.26
  • Market Risk Premium (VIX Cash - SPX 30-day Implied Volatility): 3.25

 

Strategy 101: Brought to you by Ally Invest

Options Playbook Radio 150: AAPL Long Calendar Spread

Posted March 16th, 2017

Today we are going to take a look at long calendar spread with calls on a little known company called Apple. This is on page 90 of The Options Playbook, on OptionsPlaybook.com, or on the Amazon Kindle.

Specifically:

  • What can you do going into earnings?
  • How to "control" implied volatility around earnings
  • AAPL indicates that it will announce earnings on April 25
  • What are the implied volatilities for the at-the-money calls expiring around that date?
  • Setting up the trade: picking strikes and expirations
  • What is the net cost for the spread?
  • What do we want to happen?
  • Plus, reviewing the GPS butterfly and the ABT straddle

Do you have questions that you would like answered on the show? Send them to Brian at theoptionsguy@invest.ally.com.


 

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