Your Inside Source for Options Information

April 16, 2018


Featured Interview

Making data more accessible 

Options Insider Radio Interviews: Crowd Sourcing Algos with QuantConnect

Posted October 25th, 2017

In this episode, Mark is joined by Jared Broad, Founder and CEO of QuantConnect.

They discuss:

  • The genesis of QuantConnect
  • What is QuantConnect?
  • Fast-tracking people's development
  • Making data more accessible
  • The challenge of the crypto market
  • What kinds of algos are coming up for Bitcoin?
  • What is the Broadcast tab?
  • And more

 


Upcoming Economic Reports

A preview of what may move the market this week

TIME (ET) REPORT PERIOD FORECAST PREVIOUS
MONDAY, APRIL 16
8:30 AM Retail sales March 0.4%  -0.10%
8:30 AM Retail sales ex-autos March 0.20% 0.20%
8:30 AM Empire State index April -- 22.5
10:00 AM Home builders' index April -- 70
10:00 AM Business inventories Feb. -- 0.60%
12:15 PM Raphael Bostic speech      
TUESDAY, APRIL 17
8:30 AM Housing starts March --1.253mln 1.236mln
8:30 AM Building permits March -- 1.298mln
9:15 AM Industrial production March 0.30% 0.90%
9:15 AM Capacity utilization March 77.90% 77.70%
9:15 AM John Williams speech      
10:00 AM Randal Quarles testimony      
1:10 PM Charles Evans speech      
WEDNESDAY, APRIL 18
2:00 PM Beige book      
3:15 PM William Dudley speech      
4:15 PM Randal Quarles speech      
THURSDAY, APRIL 19
8:00 AM Lael Brainard speech      
8:30 AM Weekly jobless claims 14-Apr 230,000 233,000
8:30 AM Philly Fed index April -- 22.3
10:00 AM Leading economic indicators March -- 0.60%
10:00 AM Randal Quarles testimony      
6:45 PM Loretta Mester speech      
FRIDAY, APRIL 20
9:40 AM Charles Evans speech      

 


Options Insider Radio Network 

Episodes you may have missed from Options Insider Radio last week


Trading Tech Talk 63: What the Heck Is a Smart Router?

Posted April 13th, 2018

CTO Interview: Today we feature special guest co-host Peter Maragos, CEO, Dash Financial.

Catching up with Dash:

  • When you were on last you had just acquired the company. Now you've just acquired it again. What was the impetus behind the second transaction?
  • One of the big parts of Liquidpoint was their options ATS. No one has been able to replicate that functionality. Is that a big focus of your future plans at Dash?
  • Other upcoming projects/initiatives at Dash?

Hot Topics in Tech: Smart Routers

  • Today's topic was inspired by the following listener question: Question from See16: Can you please do a deep dive into smart routers on a future program? They are the secret sauce of the market these days but no one really seems to understand how they work. Shedding some light on the otherwise dark world of routing would be a great service. Smart Routing Deep Dive: Quite a few things happen after you hit the trade button in the options market - probably much more than most people realize. Your order has to get routed from your broker/execution platform to the exchange. But it's not a simple path. That's where smart routers come in. What is a smart router? What do they do? What makes them smart? What are the different rules/filters/configurations that most smart routers have to consider? - NBBO, exchange fees, size, exchange pricing model, PIP auctions, payment for order flow rates, etc. What about resting orders? Are the smart routers constantly monitoring them and rerouting if necessary? Why do we need them in the options market? How do options smart routers differ from equity smart routers? Why have smart routers become so controversial in the options market? Spreads: This is the Achilles heel for many "smart" routers since every exchange has its own spread book and they don't talk to each other. So you could easily work a spread order that lines up on one exchange but, because your order was routed to a different spread book, your trade isn't filled. How do we overcome the spread routing issue in 2018? Is it a tech problem or a regulatory problem? Final thoughts/takeaways on smart routers?

The Inbox: Listener questions and comments

  • Question from Nikes T - Hey Options Insider! Love the network particularly the tech talk. We need more episodes! On an upcoming show do you think you guys could talk about why dark pools don't exist in the options market? Is it a tech limitation or something else?
  • Question from LaLaLad - Does blockchain have any practical use on the trading front or is it all just back office stuff?

 

Option Block 707: When to Roll Short Puts

Posted April 13th, 2018

Trading Block: A look back at what moved the market this week

Odd Block: More Jan 2019 50 "Catastrophe" puts in Tesla Motors (TSLA), sweep puts in CNH Industrial NV (CNHI), line in the sand puts in L Brands Inc (LB), call butterfly in Facebook (FB)

Strategy Block: Uncle Mike Tosaw discusses when to close shorts

Mail Block: Options question of the week

SPOT is the latest hot #IPO to join the #Options market. So many recent #Options listings started off hot then suddenly cooled. So we have to ask - which hot recent #IPO will you still be slinging #Options on in 2019?

  • SPOT
  • DBX
  • SNAP
  • Other (Reply/DM w/choice)

Listener questions and comments:

  • Question from Ladmos - Feeling the pain on this TSLA rundown. Probably should have rolled my puts last week rather than waiting for this week when they are now ITM. If stock hits $295 then I?m definitely pulling the trigger. How do you guys determine when to roll? Is it stock based or option price/volatility based? Question from Bob Thompson: I would like to know the best options strategy to use with a small account?
  • Around the Block/Economic Reports:
  • Apr 13: Consumer Sentiment, JOLTS

 

Options Playbook Radio 204: NFLX Butterfly Before Earnings

Posted April 12th, 2018

In this episode, Brian looks at a NFLX butterfly before earnings, including:

  • Selecting strikes & expiration
  • Watch out for skew
  • Plan the trade, trade the plan
  • And more...

 

Option Block 706: VIX Likes Stormy Daniels

Posted April 10th, 2018

Trading Block WWE stock selling off post Wrestlemania - still very lofty. Big contracts today - April 34 puts and April 40 calls. Spotify options starting on April 9. Big launch day for Dropbox with nearly 10k contracts.

Odd Block: Some of the stranger paper we saw trade today

  • More Jan 2019 50 "Catastrophe" puts in Tesla Motors (TSLA)
  • Weekly call palooza in GameStop Corp. (GME)
  • Someone spooked in VanEck Vectors Russia ETF (RSX)
  • Rolling down calls in Yandex NV (YNDX)

Mail Block: Options question of the week

SPOT is the latest hot #IPO to join the #Options market. So many recent #Options listings started off hot then suddenly cooled. So we have to ask - which hot recent #IPO will you still be slinging #Options on in 2019?

  • SPOT
  • DBX
  • SNAP
  • Other (Reply/DM w/choice)

Listener questions and comments:

  • Question from Mark Davis - Hello, I have written in previously and got some great feedback on my question, so hoping you can help me out again. I am still playing (paper trading) with options while in my real account I purchase shares outright. After having quite a few good years, with the increase in volatility lately I have taken some pretty rough hits, so far for the YTD I lost about 16% of my portfolio. I should also mention I currently only deal with Index funds (S&P, International, & Small cap). I go in and out of these stocks based on various parameters that may have me holding a certain stock for less than a month to a little more than a month. Is your stock replacement strategy a good use for this or maybe not since time horizon is generally not long. Example. Tomorrow I may buy 100 Shares of SPY @ 25 each, likely selling the shares in about 20 days. I am trying to figure a way to get the same (or close to same) movement as if I owned the shares outright while limiting the downside of at least setting a li e in the sand. I am having trouble wrapping my head around the right strategy or if what I want to do is even possible. So in the example above my portfolio had I bought outright and the stock is at 30 in 20 days I'm at $500 but what do I do to get close to this using Options. On the flip side if SPY was at 20, I am thinking there is a way that I would can protect myself from losing some of that $500. Another thing I'm not sure of when doing this should I only be buying enough Contracts that I could afford it were I to exercise the options, i.e. if I have $200 in my account and the underlying is $1/share would I only want to buy 2 calls even though I would ideally have enough money to buy more contracts? Thanks for your feedback

Around the Block/Economic Reports:

  • Apr 10 - PPI
  • Apr 11 - CPI, FOMC Minutes, Treasury Budget
  • Apr 12 - Jobless Claims
  • Apr 13 - Consumer Sentiment, JOLTS

 

This Week in Futures Options 97: Tariff Battle Explodes Ag Volatility

Posted April 9th, 2018

Today's episode features special guest co-host Todd Colvin, Senior Vice President at Ambrosino Brothers.

Topics this week include:

  • Soybeans
  • Corn
  • Hogs
  • Energy/Crude oil
  • Rates
  • Indices
  • Metals/Gold

 

Volatility Views 300: Trade Wars Shed More Blood

Posted April 9th, 2018

Volatility Review: A look back at the week from a volatility perspective

  • Happy 25th Birthday of VIX!
  • This week CBOE is launching a month-long celebration of the 25th anniversary of the introduction of the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX Index), which CBOE began publishing in April 1993.
  • VIX cash is back in the teens.
  • The market is tanking and rallying on trade war concerns.
  • VVIX - 92

Russell's Weekly Rundown

  • VIX Options: ADV - 1.05M, VIX call/put - 2.3/1, Total 8.06m (5.57m Calls, 2.49m Puts)

Volatility Voicemail: Listener questions and comments

  • Question from HFL9 -Would you rather see options on bitcoin futures or more futures listed on more crypto products first?
  • Question from Lil Nicker - How do I tell which future a VIX options trades off of?
  • Question from Barry -How do I tell which future my VIX options are priced from? I've been looking at some calls expiring on April 18th. Thanks for the shows.
  • Question from Mark Clyde Brant -Will rising vol persist all year? VIX above 20, VXX above 40, half the time?

Crystal Ball: Wild and reckless prognostication

Last week:

  • Mark L. - 16.85
  • Andrew - 17.76
  • Euan - 19.50

This week:

  • Mark L. - 17.15
  • Mark S. - 17.89
  • Russell - 19.99

 


Where to Find Options Insider Radio?

Do you know all the ways you can access Options Insider Radio

          


Options Insider Radio Network Live Recordings

Do you want to be a part of the fun?

This is when you can access the LIVE shows this week:

Monday:

Option Block LIVE at 3pm Central


Thursday:

Option Block LIVE at 3pm Central


Friday:

Volatility Views LIVE at 12pm Central

This Week in Futures Options LIVE at 1:30 Central. As always, you can join in the fun at http://mixlr.com/options-insider/


Stats from Last Week

  • VIX Cash Range: 17.26 - 22.02

  • S&P Cash Range: 2610.79 - 2680.26

  • SPX 30-Day Implied Volatility: 14.55

  • SPX 10-Day Realized Volatility: 21.99

  • SPX 30-Day Realized Volatility:  20.43

  • SPX Risk Premium (30-Day Implied - Realized): -5.88

  • Market Risk Premium (VIX Cash - SPX 30-day Implied Volatility): 2.86


 

Strategy 101: Brought to you by Ally Invest

Options Playbook Radio 178: Looking into AAPL Butterflies

Posted October 5th, 2017

We are continuing the discussion of options pricing. This week we take a deep dive into pricing of a butterfly.

Specifically:

  • Looking at a 10-day butterfly in AAPL
  • Picking a five-point spread
  • What strikes and expirations to choose?
  • What will this cost?
  • What is the maximum risk and reward?
  • What do we want to happen?
  • What impacts the pricing of butterflies?
  • Managing expectations
  • Looking at the same thing for a November 17 expiration
  • What is the ideal scenario?

Do you have questions that you would like answered on the show? Send them to Brian at theoptionsguy@invest.ally.com.


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