Your Inside Source for Options Information

May 29, 2018


Featured Interview

Highlighted Interviews with Industry Leaders

Options Insider Radio Interviews: Talking Options, China and Crypto with Tony Saliba

Posted March 22nd, 2018

In this episode, Mark is joined by Tony Saliba, author and CEO of Matrix Holdings.

They discuss:

  • The book on the Chinese options market and resulting educational tour
  • Is there another book in the works?
  • Updates on the ChiX deal
  • What is Matrix Holdings?
  • Why get back into financial technology?
  • Potential partnerships with futures and options users
  • Bots with persona
  • Potential in cryptos
  • The crypto / options time line comparison
  • When might there be crypto options?
  • And more

 


Upcoming Economic Reports

A preview of what may move the market this week

TIME (ET) REPORT PERIOD FORECAST PREVIOUS
TUESDAY, MAY 29
9:00 AM Case-Shiller home price index March --  
10:00 AM Consumer confidence index May 127.5 128.7
WEDNESDAY, MAY 30
8:15 AM ADP employment May -- 204,000
8:30 AM Gross domestic product revision 1Q 2.30% 2.30%
8;30 am Advance trade in goods  April -$70.3bln -$68.0 bln
2:00 PM Beige book      
THURSDAY, MAY 31
8:30 AM Weekly jobless claims 26-May 223,000 234,000
8:30 AM Personal income April 0.30% 0.30%
8:30 AM Consumer spending April 0.40% 0.40%
8:30 AM Core inflation April 0.10% 0.20%
9:45 AM Chicago PMI May -- 57.6
10:00 AM Pending home sales April -- 0.40%
FRIDAY, JUNE 1
8:30 AM Nonfarm payrolls May 188,000 164,000
8:30 AM Unemployment rate May 3.90% 3.90%
8:30 AM Average hourly earnings May 0.20% 0.10%
9:45 AM Markit manufacturing PMI May -- 56.5
10:00 AM ISM manufacturing index May 58.40% 57.30%
10:00 AM Construction spending April 1.00% -1.70%
Varies Motor vehicle sales May 16.8mln 17.2 mln

 


Options Insider Radio Network 

Episodes you may have missed from Options Insider Radio last week

Option Block 718: Crazy HMNY, TSLA and DB Options Trades

Posted May 25th, 2018

Trading Block: Earnings!

  • Friday - Foot Locker
  • Best Buy reaffirms guidance - renews concerns about the inroads of Amazon.
  • Monday review: Intuit - 191.30, ATM straddle: 11, approx.7%
  • Gap Inc. (GPS) - 33, ATM straddle: 2.60, approx. 8%
  • Netlifx vs. Disney - Who will come out ahead in the long run?

Odd Block: Big selloff in Petroleo Brasil (PBR). Size opening risk reversal in iShares JPMorgan USD (EMB). Call buyer giving up the ghost in Deutsche Bank AG (DB).

Mail Block: Options question of the week

Holiday Weekends are notoriously tough for VIX traders. The markets love to crush Volatility going into these events. So we thought we'd poll the savvy VIX traders in our audience - where do you think VIX will OPEN on Tues 5/29?

  • Here: 12-14
  • Higher: 14-16
  • Lower: 10.5-12
  • Much Higher: >16

Listener questions and comments:

  • Question from Scott Somer - When doing earnings trades do you ALWAYS default to nearest Friday expiration.
  • Question from Charlotte - How about that move in WWE? You buying calls like crazy?
  • Question from Justin - I know you guys hate cheapie options trading but your comments about HMNY got me thinking. I could sell the June straddle for about .25. If I could do that again in July then in two months I could have the stock almost for free. A free stock is even better than a cheap stock.
  • Question from LTTW - HMNY AUG .5 strad is currently around .25-.30. I agree it makes no sense to buy that when the stock is .46 but I'm liking selling this straddle to get the stock for .16 by Aug exp. Maybe even work a .01 or .05 bid for some 1 calls further out on a ratio in case stock recovers aggressively?

Around the Block/Economic Reports:

  • May 25 - Durable Goods, Consumer Sentiment

If you are interested in what the Federal Reserve has to say or has been saying, this is the week for you. Not only are the notes from the last meeting going to be released on Wednesday, several Fed presidents will be talking this week including three on Monday and on Friday.

 

Live from the 2018 Options Industry Conference: Perspective from Capitol Hill

Posted May 25th, 2018

OCC President and Chief Operating Officer John Davidson talks with U.S. Representative Randy Hultgren (R-IL-14) about the outlook for action in Washington, D.C. in 2018, and the most significant financial markets issues facing policymakers.

 

Live from the 2018 Options Industry Conference: Innovative Technologies within the Options Industry

Posted May 25th, 2018

Jill Malandrino, Nasdaq Global Markets Reporter, moderated a discussion on key innovations and trends in technology and their impacts on the options industry.

Moderator: Jill Malandrino, Nasdaq

Panelists:

  • Tony Zhang, Options Play
  • Peter Maragos, DASH
  • Travis McGhee, TradeStation

 

Live from the 2018 Options Industry Conference: Demystifying ETF Options Trends

Posted May 25th, 2018

Find out from this expert panel composed of ETF issuers and options market makers what is driving the trends in client ETF options usage and the implications for the ETF and options industries and their respective participants.

Moderator: Steve Oh, Nasdaq ETFs

Panelists:

  • Grayson Lipton, PowerShares by Invesco
  • Lawrence Tanzman, Citadel
  • Stacey Gilbert, Susquehanna International Group
  • James Maund, State Street Global Advisors

 

Live from the 2018 Options Industry Conference: Coffee with Cott

Posted May 25th, 2018

Experienced Financial Advisors share how they have integrated options into their practice to differentiate themselves from their competition and grow their client base.

Moderator: Eric Cott, OCC

Panelists:

  • Michael Galantino, CV Brokerage, Inc.
  • Brandon Setlock, Charles Schwab & Co.
  • Paul Feinstein, 1st Republic

 

Live from the 2018 Options Industry Conference: Washington Outlook

Posted May 25th, 2018

Exchange and clearinghouse Washington representatives discussed policy and politics in 2018.

Moderator: Julie Bauer, OCC

Panelists:

  • Terry Campbell, Nasdaq
  • Jeff Strunk, Forbes-Tate
  • Lita Frazier, Cboe
  • Hope Jarkowski, Intercontinental Exchange

Options Playbook Radio 210: Rolling SPY Put Flys into Credit Spreads

Posted May 24th, 2018

We looked at doing a long call spread last week, which was net positive theta time premium. This week we will be looking at indexes. You can find more in The Options Playbook, which is always available on OptionsPlaybook.com, or on the Amazon Kindle edition.

Specifically:

  • Indexes and volatility
  • Rolling out of SPY put flys into credit spreads
  • Trading it directionally
  • Setting up the trade
  • Selecting strikes
  • What do we want to happen?
  • What is the max risk? Reward?
  • To adjust or not to adjust?

Do you have a question that you want answered on a future episode? Send them to Brian at theoptionsguy@invest.ally.com, or to the Options Insider at questions@theoptionsinsider.com.

 

Option Block 717: The Dangerous Art of Buying OTM Calls

Posted May 22nd, 2018

Trading Block: Earnings!

  • Tuesday - Kohl's
  • Wednesday - Lowe's, Target
  • Thursday - Best Buy
  • Friday - Foot Locker
  • Intuit - $191.30, ATM Straddle: $11, approx. 5.7%

Odd Block: Call palooza in PayPal Holdings Inc. (PYPL). Rolling calls in Union Pacific Corporation (UNP). Cheapie calls in Northern Oil & Gas, Inc. (NOG)

Strategy Block: Uncle Mike Tosaw discusses how to profitably buy OTM calls

Around the Block/Economic Reports:

  • May 23 - New Home Sales, FOMC Minutes
  • May 24 - Jobless Claims, Existing Home Sales
  • May 25 - Durable Goods, Consumer Sentiment

If you are interested in what the Federal Reserve has to say or has been saying, this is the week for you. Not only are the notes from the last meeting going to be released on Wednesday, several Fed presidents will be talking this week including three on Monday and on Friday.

 

Volatility Views 305: Picking VIX Is Easy

Posted May 21st, 2018

Volatility Review: A look back at the week from a volatility perspective.

  • VIX Cash - 13.43, almost unchanged from last week.
  • VVIX - 93
  • VIX Options - ADV: 592k, VIX call/put: 2.7/1, Total 5.86m (4.26m Calls, 1.59m Puts)
  • VXX - 34.87

Volatility Voicemail: Listener questions and comments

  • Question from Trevor Salsman - Why no love for ZIV on volatility views?
  • Comment from Tom Frank - Not sure I agree with your consensus that covered calls are better for novice options traders. Puts typically have higher implied volatility and should generate higher returns than covered calls over time and have a better risk/reward. The novices would probably appreciate the higher returns.
  • Question from OliveTrader2 - What kind of volatility reaction should we expect if trade talks are successful or unsuccessful?
  • Question from Bruce Stern - I know that contango in VIX futures is the best scenario to foster VXX erosion. But is there a particular degree of slope or term structure that is optimal for maximum roll decay in the VXX product? Or is it just a question of the steeper the term structure slope the better?
  • Question from NMZ56 - Not sure my fav vol product has been invented yet. Outside of a truly tradable cash VIX, maybe we need some sort of cool earnings volatility product. Maybe something that allows you to trade the straddle without actually having to trade it? I think that would open the strategy up to more people.
  • Question from MTimes - What do you guys think of UPRO? Does the levered nature of this product make it a decent stand-in for some of the other vol products out there that have been defanged recently like SVXY or delisted like XIV?

Crystal Ball: Wild and reckless prognostication

Last week:

  • Mark L. - 13.55
  • Mark S. - 12.75

This week:

  • Mark L. - 13.25
  • Mark S. - 12.75

 

This Week in Futures Options 102: Talking Tacos and Tokens with Tim

Posted May 21st, 2018

Today's co-host is Tim McCourt, the Global Head of Equity Products at CME Group.

Topics this week include:

  • Equities
  • Trade at Cash Open (TACO)
  • Crude
  • Gold
  • Bitcoin/Crypto

Futures Options Feedback: Listener questions and comments

  • Question from Andrew Sullivan - When, oh when, are we going to get bitcoin options? I don't want to touch the futures so I'm left sitting on my hands during these crazy moves.
  • Question from Flyer - How is Bitcoin's volatility calculated? Is the limited supply and abundant demand a current driver upwards for the price?

Where to Find Options Insider Radio?

Do you know all the ways you can access Options Insider Radio

          


Options Insider Radio Network Live Recordings

Do you want to be a part of the fun?

This is when you can access the LIVE shows this week:

Monday:

Option Block LIVE at 3pm Central


Thursday:

Option Block LIVE at 3pm Central


Friday:

Volatility Views LIVE at 12pm Central

This Week in Futures Options LIVE at 1:30 Central.

As always, you can join in the fun at http://mixlr.com/options-insider/


Stats from Last Week

  • VIX Cash Range: 12.35 - 14.60

  • S&P Cash Range: 2707.38 - 2742.24

  • SPX 30-Day Implied Volatility: 9.98

  • SPX 10-Day Realized Volatility: 6.60

  • SPX 30-Day Realized Volatility:  10.23

  • SPX Risk Premium (30-Day Implied - Realized): -0.25

  • Market Risk Premium (VIX Cash - SPX 30-day Implied Volatility): 3.24


 

Strategy 101: Brought to you by Ally Invest

Options Playbook Radio 184: AAPL Covered Call

Posted November 16th, 2017

The holiday season brings to mind covered calls.

In this episode, Brian covers:

  • Last week's trade in DIS
  • What did we want to happen?
  • What DID happen?
  • Avoiding the stupid award
  • The holidays are coming, that means shortened trading weeks
  • It might be a good time to trade covered calls
  • Getting "free" time decay with holidays
  • Where is AAPL?
  • Selecting strikes
  • And more...

Do you have questions that you would like answered on the show? Send them to Brian at theoptionsguy@invest.ally.com.


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