Your Inside Source for Options Information

July 30, 2018


Featured Interview

Options Insider Radio Interviews: Talking Index Volatility with FTSE Russell

Posted March 21st, 2018

In this episode, Mark is joined by Sean Smith, Managing Director of Derivatives Licensing & Exchange Data, and Ron Bundy, Global Head of Strategic Accounts at FTSE Russell.

They discuss:

  • What are some highlights from the past month from FTSE Russell?
  • The return of volatility
  • Where have volumes grown?
  • What brought them to FIA Boca?
  • A check in on RVX
  • And more

 


Upcoming Economic Reports

A preview of what may move the market this week

TIME (ET) REPORT PERIOD PREVIOUS
MONDAY, JULY 30
10:00 AM Pending home sales June -0.50%
TUESDAY, JULY 31
8:30 AM Employment cost index Q2 0.80%
8:30 AM Personal incomes June 0.40%
8:30 AM Consumer spending June 0.20%
8:30 AM Core inflation June 0.20%
9:00 AM Case-Shiller home price index May 6.4% yoy
9:45 AM Chicago PMI July 64.1
10:00 AM Consumer confidence index July 126.4
WEDNESDAY, AUG. 1
8:15 AM ADP employment July 177,000
9:45 AM Markit manufacturing PMI July 55.4
10:00 AM ISM manufacturing index July 60.20%
10:00 AM Construction spending June 0.40%
2:00 PM FOMC announcement   1.75-2%
Varies Motor vehicle sales July 17.5 mln
THURSDAY, AUG. 2
8:30 AM Weekly jobless claims 28-Jul --
10:00 AM Factory orders June 0.40%
FRIDAY, AUG. 3
8:30 AM Nonfarm payrolls July 213,000
8:30 AM Unemployment rate July 4.00%
8:30 AM Average hourly earnings July 0.20%
8:30 AM Trade deficit June -$43.1bln
9:45 AM Markit services PMI July 56.5
10:00 AM ISM nonmanufacturing index July 59.10%

 


Options Insider Radio Network 

Episodes you may have missed from Options Insider Radio last week

Option Block 733: Earnings Palooza - FB, AMZN, INTC, CMG and More

Posted July 27th, 2018

Trading Block: A review of the week from a trading perspective

  • Earnings: Thursday - Amazon, McDonalds, Comcast, Starbucks, Nokia
  • Friday - Twitter, Merck
  • Facebook (FB) is 'face-planting' after hours tonight.

Earnings Flash Poll: Facebook (FB) is getting crushed post-earnings, trading down nearly 20% after-hours. Assuming it opens at that level, what's your next FB options trade? Other suggestions? Submit them below:

  • Buy Calls/Spreads
  • Buy Puts/Spreads
  • Sell Puts/Spreads
  • Sell Calls/Spreads
  • Comment from ProBuck:Sell OTM monthly puts
  • Comment JackDanielsTrades:Prob stay away

Odd Block: More Jan 2019 50 Puts in Tesla Motors

Strategy Block: Uncle Mike Tosaw discusses pros and cons of getting long Facebook.

Mail Block: Listener questions and comments

Volatility Flash Poll: VXX is back in the erosion zone. Many short vol traders are anxiously waiting for it to break the 30 handle. When do you think VXX will finally break 30? This week? Next Week? Never? Let us know below:

  • 5% - Week Ending Fri 7/20
  • 32% - Week Ending Fri 7/27
  • 32% - Week Ending Fri 8/3
  • 31% - Never! I'm Long Vol!

Listener question:

  • Question from Allen T. -Does it count as a calendar if it’s on two different underlyings? Or is that more of a pairs trade?

Around the Block/This Week in the Market:

  • Jul 27 - GDP, Consumer Confidence

 

This Week in Futures Options 112: Crazy Crude, Crypto and Beans

Posted July 27th, 2018

Topics this week include:

  • Crude
  • Ags/SoybeansBitcoin/Crypto
    • Question from LLN9 - Are beans calls showing any hope for an upside move in next six months?

Futures Options Feedback: Listener questions and comments

  • Question from HLC - I have a couple of FOPs that are going to expire deep in the money but covered by the underlying long future position. When should I expect the long position to disappear from my account so I can hedge accordingly? Would I have the position till EOD Friday or is Thursday the last day? Or it would disappear from my account anytime during Friday?
  • Question from Joanna Lan - What kind of courses do they offer at the CME institute? Are they all in-person or online?
  • Question from Da Brezner - Nick from QuikStrike has suggested being long gold with a hedge. Is he just suggesting being long the futures with a long put hedge or just long gold deltas through something like a risk reversal and then having a long put kicker?

 

Options Playbook Radio 218: The Dark Art of Butterfly Margin

Posted July 26th, 2018

Huddle up, listeners. It's time for listener questions. If you have questions about anyoptions plays, you can find more in The Options Playbook, which is always available on OptionsPlaybook.com, in on the Amazon Kindle edition.

Specifically:

  • How do you like to trade options during earnings season? Do you hold a position through an announcement?
  • How do you determine a strategy or direction? How to select strikes and expiration?
  • What the brokers versus the regulators have to say about defined risk trades

Do you have a question that you want answered on a future episode? Send them to Brian at theoptionsguy@invest.ally.com, or to the Options Insider at questions@theoptionsinsider.com.

 

Options Insider Special Events: 2018 Swan CIO Summit, Part 5

Posted July 25th, 2018

Swan Global Investments, our long-time partner for the Advisors Option, has an event every year that brings together leaders from the industry to promote an open dialogue to discuss and share ideas on some of the most challenging issues facing investors.

We are pleased to bring you audio from this event.

Part 5: Where Hedged Equity Fits and Many Options with Options

  1. Roles Hedged Equity Serves in a Portfolio presented by Marc Odo, CFA, CAIA, CIPM, CFP - Dir. of Investment Solutions, Swan Global Investments
  2. Expanding the Opportunity Set for Risk Management Across Multiple Structures

Moderator: Panelists: Marc Odo, CFA, CAIA, CIPM, CFP - Dir. of Investment Solutions, Swan Global Investments

Panelists:

  • Micah Wakefield, CAIA - Dir. of Research & Product Development, Swan Global Investments
  • Chris Hausman, CMT - Dir. of Risk Management & Chief Technical Strategist, Swan Global Investments

 

Options Insider Special Events: 2018 Swan CIO Summit, Part 4

Posted July 25th, 2018

Swan Global Investments, our long-time partner for the Advisors Option, has an event every year that brings together leaders from the industry to promote an open dialogue to discuss and share ideas on some of the most challenging issues facing investors.

We are pleased to bring you audio from this event.

Part 4: RIA Roundtable: Implementations for Wealth Management

Moderator: Gib Watson III, CIMA - Managing Partner, Trident Wealth Management Consulting, LLC

Panelists:

  • Bill Harding, CFA - CIO, Jackson National Asset Management, LLC
  • Zoe Brunson, CFA - SVP Investment Strategies Group, Asset Mark, Inc.
  • Paul Courtney, CFA , CAIA - Co-Founder & Director of Research, SpringTide Partners

 

Options Insider Special Events: 2018 Swan CIO Summit, Part 3

Posted July 25th, 2018

Swan Global Investments, our long-time partner for the Advisors Option, has an event every year that brings together leaders from the industry to promote an open dialogue to discuss and share ideas on some of the most challenging issues facing investors.

We are pleased to bring you audio from this event.

Part 3: The Coming Age of Transformation, How It Will Change Everything

Guest Speaker: John Mauldin - Chairman of Mauldin Economics, President of Mauldin Solutions, LLC

 

Options Insider Special Events: 2018 Swan CIO Summit, Part 2

Posted July 24th, 2018

Swan Global Investments, our long-time partner for the Advisors Option, has an event every year that brings together leaders from the industry to promote an open dialogue to discuss and share ideas on some of the most challenging issues facing investors.

We are pleased to bring you audio from this event.

Part 2: A Strategy to Define Risk 20-Year Perspective on Risk Management

Moderator: Sean McCaffrey - Managing Director, Head of Distribution, Swan Global Investments

Panelists:

  • Randy Swan - Founder, CEO, and Lead Portfolio Manager, Swan Global Investments
  • Rob Swan - COO and Portfolio Manager, Swan Global Investments

 

Best of Option Block: Revenge of the Schwartzotron

Posted July 24th, 2018

This best of Option Block episode was originally posted on July 22nd, 2016

Trading Block: Most major markets off 0.5% or more. VIX cash watch. Earnings today (before) Dunkin Brands,General Motors, Marriott Vacations, Southwest Airlines; (after) AT&T, Chipotle Mexican Grill, E*Trade Financial (ETFC). Apple Watch is a flop! Odd Block: Calls trade in Nobel Corporation (NE), calls trade in Teucrium Corn Fund (CORN), calls and puts trade in Ebay Inc (EBAY), and calls trade in Mattel Corp (MAT). Mail Block: Listener questions and comments....LIVE!

  • Size aside, what are the primary benefits of using SPX instead of SPY.
  • What is going on in the VIX Aug 13 puts?
  • Which names are the most reliable premium writes each quarter?
  • Is there a tradeable pair between VIX and another member of the family of volatility products?
  • What to do with the upcoming UVXY reverse split?

Around the Block: Earnings on Friday: American Airlines, General Electric Company, TCF Financial, Whirlpool Corporation.

 

Options Insider Special Events: 2018 Swan CIO Summit, Part 1

Posted July 24th, 2018

Swan Global Investments, our long-time partner for the Advisors Option, has an event every year that brings together leaders from the industry to promote an open dialogue to discuss and share ideas on some of the most challenging issues facing investors.

We are pleased to bring you audio from this event.

Part 1: Perspectives on Risk Management Seeking Solutions for Endowments, Foundations, and Pensions

Moderator: Gib Watson III, CIMA - Managing Partner, Trident Wealth Management Consulting, LLC

Panelists:

  • Samuel Gallo, CPA, CAIA - CIO, University System of Maryland Foundation
  • Carlos Chujoy, CFA - CIO, Employment Retirement System of Texas
  • Sean P. McChesney - Vice President, Hedged Strategies Research, Fund Evaluation Group, LLC

 

OICs Wide World of Options 50: Protection Strategies and Options Resources

Posted July 23rd, 2018

OIC instructor Bill Ryan joins host Joe Burgoyne in a discussion about protection strategies. Then, Mark Benzaquen from OIC’s Investor Services talks about how his group can help with your options-related questions.

 

Volatility Views 314: Talking VIX and VXX; plus NFLX and MSFT Volatility

Posted July 23rd, 2018

Volatility Review: A look back at the week from a volatility perspective

  • More trade war! Trump threatens $500B more tariffs, the market shrugs.
  • VIX Cash - 12.50
  • VVIX - 100
  • VIX Options - ADV: 460k, VIX call/put: 3.1/1, Total 5.42m (4.09m Calls, 1.34m Puts)
  • VXX - 31, ADV: 255k
  • Earnings: Netflix and Microsoft

Volatility Voicemail: Listeners have their say

QOTW: Trading Options during earnings season can be challenging. Some live for it while others avoid it. Do you hold Options positions through Earnings announcements? If so, what is your approach? Or do you prefer to trade just before/after the event? Or is it all too risky?

  • 28% - Yes, Short Premium
  • 20% - Yes, Long Premium
  • 25% - No, Too Risky
  • 27% - I trade around the event

QOTW, part deux: Yup it's earnings season once again. Options traders are gearing up for a busy season. Which names do you think will dominate your options trading this season?

  • NFLX
  • AMZN
  • TSLA
  • GOOGL

Listener questions and comments:

  • Question from BigDawg - Are there any of the proprietary vol indicators out there that you guys follow regularly?
  • Question from Lil Vig - Is VXX the greatest trading vehicle ever created? So much sweet erosion.

Crystal Ball: Your prognostication headquarters

Last week:

  • Mark L. -12.20
  • Andrew -12.25
  • Guest - 11.99

Next week:

  • Mark L. - 12.23
  • Andrew - 12.22

 


Where to Find Options Insider Radio?

Do you know all the ways you can access Options Insider Radio

          


Options Insider Radio Network Live Recordings

Do you want to be a part of the fun?

This is when you can access the LIVE shows this week:

Monday:

Option Block LIVE at 3pm Central


Thursday:

This Week in Futures Options LIVE at 1:30 Central (NEW DAY, SAME TIME)
Option Block LIVE at 3pm Central


Friday:

Volatility Views LIVE at 12pm Central


As always, you can join in the fun at http://mixlr.com/options-insider/


Stats from Last Week

  • VIX Cash Range: 11.60 - 14.26

  • S&P Cash Range: 2795.14 - 2848.03

  • SPX 30-Day Implied Volatility: 9.33

  • SPX 30-Day Realized Volatility:  9.17

  • SPX Risk Premium (30-Day Implied - Realized): 0.16

  • Market Risk Premium (VIX Cash - SPX 30-day Implied Volatility): 3.70


 

Strategy 101: Brought to you by Ally Invest

Options Playbook Radio 192: Taking a LEAP with ISRG

Posted January 18th, 2018

In this episode, we are looking beyond the Options Playbook and are selling a put credit spread to pay for a long call. You can find more on p. 76 of The Options Playbook, which is always available on OptionsPlaybook.com, in on the Amazon Kindle edition.

Specifically:

  • Looking at Intuitive Surgical, Inc. (ISRG), which has been on a tear lately
  • Earnings pushed the stock even higher
  • Expensive underlying = expensive options
  • Taking a long view using LEAPS
  • Selecting strikes for the put spread
  • Buying the at-the-money call
  • How does the trade work?
  • What is the cost?
  • What is the risk?
  • How to close it out?
  • Alternatives to the trade as described

Do you have questions that you would like answered on the show? Send them to Brian at theoptionsguy@invest.ally.com.


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