Your Inside Source for Options Information

August 20, 2018


Upcoming Conferences of Interest

Security Traders Association annual conference is the industry's premier market structure event, STA's 85th Annual Market Structure Conference where we bring together a diverse audience of speakers and attendees, addressing the most compelling topics facing our industry. More information, including how to register, is here.



Voice of Blockchain: Leaders in blockchain, government and business will gather with influencers to share best practices and shape the conversation. Voice of Blockchain advances Chicago as a global leader in the emerging field of blockchain technology where collaboration is incentivized through an ecosystem engineered to benefit individuals, small enterprises, and corporations. Find out more here.






Featured Interview

Options Insider Radio Interviews: Talking Options and Advisors with Northern Trust

Posted March 9th, 2018

In this episode, Mark is joined by Jon Cherry, Head of U.S. Options at Northern Trust Capital Markets.

They discuss:

  • What does Northern Trust do in options?
  • Who are their clients?
  • What services do they provide?
  • What are the most common uses of options for Northern Trust clients?
  • How have clients responded to the recent changes in the market?
  • The benefits of the consultative approach
  • What products do they use most often?
  • The explosion and implosion of inverse volatility products
  • What's to come from Northern Trust in options?

 


Upcoming Economic Reports

A preview of what may move the market this week

TIME (ET) REPORT PERIOD FORECAST PREVIOUS
MONDAY, AUG. 20
  None scheduled      
TUESDAY, AUG. 21
  None scheduled      
WEDNESDAY, AUG. 22
10:00 AM Existing home sales July 5.41 mln 5.38 mln
2:00 PM FOMC minutes 7/31-8/1    
THURSDAY, AUG. 23
8:30 AM Weekly jobless claims 18-Aug 215,000 212,000
9:45 AM Markit manufacturing PMI (flash) Aug. -- 55.3
9:45 AM Markit services PMI (flash) Aug. -- 56
10:00 AM New home sales July 641,000 631,000
FRIDAY, AUG. 24
8:30 AM Durable goods orders July -0.90% 0.80%
8:30 AM Core capital goods orders July -- 0.70%
10:00 AM Jerome Powell speaks      

 


Options Insider Radio Network 

Episodes you may have missed from Options Insider Radio last week

Options Insider Radio Interviews: How the Crypto and Derivatives World Collide

Posted August 17th, 2018

In this episode, Mark is joined by Joe Hernandez, Founder & CEO of the Chicago Blockchain Project, aka Disruption Joe

They discuss:

  • Where does Disruption Joe come from?
  • His Bitcoin backstory
  • Chicago Blockchain Project
  • Their upcoming event at Navy Pier, The Voice of Blockchain Conference
  • The Chicago trading mindset versus the crypto/Blockchain mindset
  • And more

 

This Week in Futures Options 115: Crude, Beans, Crypto and Funky Gold Paper

Posted August 17th, 2018

Topics this week include:

  • Crude/WTI
  • Ags/Soybeans
  • Equities
  • Metals/Gold
  • Bitcoin/Crypto

Futures Options Feedback: Listeners take the reins

  • Comments on the U.S./China soybean battlefield
  • Ned Brown has comments on the switch from soybeans to sugar cane
  • Keifer says don't expect business to come back to the U.S. once the tariff is lifted.
  • Liz O. wants to know where to find all of Blu's research (Right here!)
  • Wild Tiger likes the July options review
  • XRP Please: Thanks for the hard work to build XRP liquidity

 

Option Block 738: Talking VIX, NVDA, WMT, TSLA and More

Posted August 17th, 2018

Trading Block: A look back at the week from a trading perspective

VIX briefly back over 14.

Earnings:

  • Wednesday - Macy's, Cisco
  • Thursday - Walmart, JD.com, Nordstrom, Nvidia
  • Friday - John Deere
  • Walmart (WMT) had a blowout quarter and shares are surging.
  • Nvidia (NVDA) - ATM straddle: $16.50, approx. 6%

Odd Block: Bullish risk reversal in Discovery Communications Inc. (DISCA) (From 7/19), Well-timed bullish stupid in Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (CLF) (From 7/16), and earning bet in Interpublic Group of Companies Inc. (IPG) (From 7/16).

Strategy Block: Uncle Mike Tosaw discusses bad practices in financial advisors who claim to know options.

Mail Block: Options question of the week

This week we would like to know more about your level of #options expertise. Quite simply - how would you describe yourself at a dinner party?

  • 12% - Current/Former Pro
  • 21% - Retail Options Wiz
  • 48% - Retail Options Dabbler
  • 19% - Looking to Get Started

Around The Block/This Week In the Markets:

  • Aug 16 - Jobless Claims, Housing Starts
  • Aug 17 - Consumer Sentiment

 

Options Playbook Radio 221: You May Be Holding Onto Spreads Too Long

Posted August 16th, 2018

Huddle, up listeners! It's time for Brian and Mark to take on listener questions, including:

  • Options question of the week: Earnings season in in full swing. Which names will dominate your options trading this week?Question from Imhad1: Is HMNY now the most option-like stock ever? Back to $.08 after reverse splitting up to $14. Crazy! Who would buy an option on this thing?
    • 47% - AAPL
    • 37% - TSLA
    • 6% - GPRO
    • 10% - CBOE
  • Question from Ling: I've heard some educators say that you should never hold out for the max profit in an options spread trade because that means you held onto it too long. Is this the case? Do you agree? Thx and enjoying the handbook.
  • Question from Flyguy: Hey what do you guys do with your long calendar spreads? Do you close out the short leg if the stock doesn't move then keep the long leg or just close the whole spread out?

 

Option Block 737: VIX Roars while Musk Dances

Posted August 14th, 2018

Trading Block: The week in trading (so far!)

  • VIX is back over 14!

Earnings:

  • Tuesday - Home Depot
  • Wednesday - Macy's, Cisco
  • Thursday - Walmart, JD.com, Nordstrom, Nvidia
  • Friday - John Deere

Odd Block: Shares surge in Rent-A-Center Inc. (RCII) (from 6/18), put spread in IQIYI Inc. (IQ) (from 6/21), ratio call spread in Melco Resorts & Entertainment (MLCO) (from 6/4)

Mail Block: Listeners take over

QOTW: This week we would like to know more about your level of #options expertise. Quite simply - how would you describe yourself at a dinner party?

  • Current/Former Pro
  • Retail Options Wiz
  • Retail Options Dabbler
  • Looking to Get Started

Listener questions and comments:

  • Comment from CNelsen - Puts, calls. Calls, puts. Does it really matter?
  • Question from Ling - I've heard some educators say that you should never hold out for the max profit in an options spread trade because that means you held onto it too long. Is this the case? Do you agree? Thx.
  • Question from GunPowderJim - How do you calculate profit/loss on a ratio spread? If I buy 1 call and then sell 2 more do I average across the 3 contracts to determine the P/L on the spread?

Around the Block/This Week in the Markets:

  • Aug 14 - Import and Export Prices
  • Aug 15 - Retail Sales, Industrial Production, Treasury International Capital
  • Aug 16 - Jobless Claims, Housing Starts
  • Aug 17 - Consumer Sentiment

 

Volatility Views 317: Return of Dr. VIX

Posted August 13th, 2018

Volatility Review with very special guest co-host Russell Rhoads, Head of Derivatives Research at the Tabb Group.

  • Volatility and selloffs return briefly during earning season.
  • VIX Cash - 11.83, down slightly from last week.
  • VVIX - 88, unchanged from last week.
  • VIX Options - ADV: 440k, VIX call/put: 3/1, Total 7.95m (5.96m Calls, 1.99m Puts)
  • VXX - 28.5, 2 points lower than last week.

Volatility options question of the week: VXX has finally broken through the 30 handle. Many of you are fascinated with the ongoing saga of the VXX Jan 10 Puts. OI is over 200k and thousands continue to trade for $.01. Our question: Would you trade these puts?

  • 57% - Yes: Buy for $.01
  • 14% - Yes: Sell for $.01
  • 23% - No. It's Just Gambling
  • 6% - I have enough VXX Puts

Volatility Voicemail: Listeners have their say

  • Question from VolBug - When it's all said and done, is the bottom line that all inverse VIX products, whether short term or mid-term, can be subject to an acceleration event like SVXY given a high enough spike in the VIX? Thanks!
  • Question from LL09 - Are you guys still trading these things? Saw 1k go up yesterday. Was that meatball?
  • Comment from LVAC2 - Etrade wants to charge me $159.95 to buy 200 of those VXX Jan 10 puts. That's highway robbery!

Crystal Ball: Getting our prognosticating on

Last week:

  • Mark L. -11.45
  • Mark S. -12.76
  • Guest - 12.05

This week:

  • Mark L. -12.25
  • Andrew -11.01
  • Russell - 13.05

Where to Find Options Insider Radio?

Do you know all the ways you can access Options Insider Radio

          


Options Insider Radio Network Live Recordings

Do you want to be a part of the fun?

This is when you can access the LIVE shows this week:

Monday:

Option Block LIVE at 12pm Central (NEW TIME, SAME DAY)


Thursday:

Option Block LIVE at 12pm Central (NEW TIME, SAME DAY)
This Week in Futures 
Options LIVE at 1:30 Central


Friday:

Volatility Views LIVE at 12pm Central


As always, you can join in the fun at http://mixlr.com/options-insider/


Stats from Last Week

  • VIX Cash Range: 12.48 - 16.67

  • S&P Cash Range: 2803.58 - 2854.78

  • SPX 30-Day Implied Volatility: 8.58

  • SPX 30-Day Realized Volatility:  8.05

  • SPX Risk Premium (30-Day Implied - Realized): 0.53

  • Market Risk Premium (VIX Cash - SPX 30-day Implied Volatility): 4.06


 

Strategy 101: Brought to you by Ally Invest

Options Playbook Radio 194: AAPL Protective Put Spread into Earnings

Posted February 1st, 2018

Continuing with the idea of FAANG stock earnings, today we're looking at an AAPL protective put. You can find more in The Options Playbook, which is always available on OptionsPlaybook.com, in on the Amazon Kindle edition.

Specifically:

  • A review of last week
  • How do you protect yourself against a big move in AAPL after earnings?
  • Where is AAPL now?
  • What is the outlook?
  • Selecting a strike and expiration
  • What is the cost? Upside?
  • Meeting the "deductible"
  • What about a protective put spread?
  • What is the cost?
  • Why do it?
  • How do weeklys impact the ability to buy insurance around earnings?

Do you have questions that you would like answered on the show? Send them to Brian at theoptionsguy@invest.ally.com.


The Options Insider on Social Media

The Options Insider app

The Options Insider Radio Network 

Copyright © 2018, The Options Insider, Inc. All rights reserved.

Our mailing address is: The Options Insider | 165 North Canal Street | Chicago, Illinois 60606

questions@theoptionsinsider.com