Your Inside Source for Options Information

October 22, 2018


Featured Interview

Options Insider Radio Interviews: Diving into Controversy with MIAX

Posted May 14th, 2018

When Mark was in Florida for the 2018 Options Industry Conference, he had a chance to sit down with Shelly Brown, Executive Vice President of Strategic Planning and Joe Bracco, Senior Vice President and Head of Sales at MIAX.

They discussed:

  • The proposal for the third MIAX exchange
  • Addressing the critiques
  • What does MIAX bring to the market?
  • Why competition matters
  • What about the liquidity issue?
  • Penny pricing
  • Thoughts on auctions
  • And more...

Upcoming Economic Reports

A preview of what may move the market this week

TIME (ET) REPORT PERIOD FORECAST PREVIOUS
MONDAY, OCT. 8
  None scheduled - Columbus Day      
TUESDAY, OCT. 9
6:00 AM NFIB small-business index Sept. -- 108.8
WEDNESDAY, OCT. 10
8:30 AM Producer price index Sept. 0.20% -0.10%
10:00 AM Wholesale inventories Aug. -- 0.60%
THURSDAY, OCT. 11
8:30 AM Weekly jobless claims 6-Oct 206,000 207,000
8:30 AM Consumer price index Sept. 0.20% 0.20%
8:30 AM Core CPI Sept. 0.20% 0.10%
2:00 PM Federal budget Sept. -- $8 bln
FRIDAY, OCT. 12
8:30 AM Import price index Sept. -- -0.60%
10:00 AM Consumer sentiment index Oct. 100.6 100.1

 


Options Insider Radio Network 

Episodes you may have missed from Options Insider Radio last week

Option Block 752: The Funky Bunch

Posted October 19th, 2018

Trading Block: What a week - volatility is coming back down, and the crystal ball is looking nice! Dow tumbles 350 points as technology and communication-services stocks tank in midday trading.

Odd Block: Tesla put summary, funky put palooza in General Electric Company (GE), put sale in Activision Blizzard Inc. (ATVI) and call palooza in KeyCorp (KEY).

Mail Block: Options question of the week

Time to break out your crystal balls. Volatility is on everyone's mind these days. Will earnings season add to the growing storm? Or will cooler heads prevail this week? Quite simply - Where will $VIX close this Friday 10/19?

  • Here: 19-22
  • Higher: > 22
  • Lower: 17-18.99
  • Even Lower: <17

Listener questions and comments:

  • Question from N45 - When is it not worth closing out losing long options positions and just keep them on as lottery ticket flyers? Is it a nickel?
  • Comment from Mark Brant - SPX -4d/-6d/+8d Calendar Ratio Straddle div +35% PREMIUM! Easily getting filled at the mid-point. Also sold SNAP 41d $7 Puts 0.81! Just get the crash over with. Why drag it out for years? Also bought June 2020 TSLA $10 puts for a buck!

Around the Block/This Week in the Markets:

  • Oct 19: Existing Home Sales

 

This Week in Futures Options 123: Futures Options Are On Fire

Posted October 19th, 2018

Topics this week include:

  • Energy/Crude
  • Equities
  • Metals/Gold
  • Rates
  • Ags

Futures Options Feedback: Listeners take over

  • Question from Mate7 - Good talk on ex. and settle on last show. I'm looking over the CME website option specs pages and I don't see many American style contracts. Why does CME use so many European contracts? Are they against early exercise?

 

Options Playbook Radio 230: Options Account Questions plus Crypto and Calendars

Posted October 18th, 2018

Huddle up, listeners. It's time for Mark and Brian to answer your questions.

  • Question from BuseKrus D - New to options, and working with a small account size. Looked to put on a trade with a strategy from the playbook (Christmas tree butterfly I think) with a 57-60-66 2x3x1 call fly for a total debit of 1.30. I've always heard that for a defined risk debit trade the max risk is the amount paid. However, the brokerage was saying I needed around 740 in my account to be able to put on the trade. Is there an explanation? Is the capital required to put on a trade greater than the possible max loss on defined risk debit spreads? Thanks.
  • Question from Ron S6 – What’s your suggested minimum account size to start trading options?
  • Question from Lance Everett: Hello again Brian. Still enjoying the options playbook radio program. It's my quick options education fix for the week. I listen on my commute to work every Thursday. I have a few questions for your next Huddle episode if don't mind. If you can only answer one then that's fine too.
  1. You talked front spreads on episode 227. Do you ever use more traditional ratio spreads- outside of repair scenarios, of course? Bonus points if you know where the term front spread came from.
  2. What are your thoughts on the crypto boom? No options yet but they are coming. Is Ally planning to jump on the train?
  3. Do you ever use short calendars - so selling longer term and buying the near term?
  4. Is there a sequel to the playbook in the works? Although the show is kind of like an ongoing live update/ sequel so that's probably better. Thanks again for making my Thursdays fun and informative.

 

Options Insider Radio Interviews: Exploring the Securities Markets with Wedbush Securities

Posted October 17th, 2018

In this episode, Mark is joined by Sahak Manuelian, Managing Director of Equity Trading at Wedbush Securities.

They discuss:

  • What services does Wedbush offer?
  • Covering the healthcare, consumers, tech and financial sectors
  • Biotech's insulation from trade war concerns
  • Is it a stock-pickers market?
  • Passive investing versus active stock selection
  • The explosion of ETF offerings
  • Market fragmentation
  • The importance of talking to policymakers
  • Tick pilot
  • And more...

 

Option Block 751: What the Heck Is Going On?

Posted October 16th, 2018

Trading Block: What a week! Uncle Mike leaves and the market falls apart. Earnings move reports available now. Chinese operatives were able to infiltrate motherboards made by a US company that sold to Apple and Amazon: Bloomberg

Odd Block: TSLA 50 mystery put update. Plus, TSLA put palooza.

Strategy Block: Uncle Mike Tosaw discusses how to get bullish in a market like this. 20,360 RRC Jan20 13.0 puts traded for $1.19. 3599 HBAN Nov 15.0 calls trade for $0.24. 2000 LPI Nov 7.0 calls traded for $0.21.

Mail Block: Options Flash Poll

Time to break out your crystal balls. Volatility is on everyone's mind these days. Will #EarningsSeason add to the growing storm? Or will cooler heads prevail this week? Quite simply - Where will $VIX close this Friday 10/19?

  • Here: 19-22
  • Higher: > 22
  • Lower: 17 - 18.99
  • Even Lower: < 17

Around The Block/ This Week in the Markets

  • Oct 15: Retail Sales
  • Oct 16: Industrial Production, JOLTS
  • Oct 17: Housing Starts, FOMC Minutes
  • Oct 18: Jobless Claims
  • Oct 19: Existing Home Sales

 

Volatility Views 325: VIXocalypse Redux

Posted October 15th, 2018

Volatility Review: VIX Cash - 22.35, 6 point from last show, up nearly 10 points from two weeks ago. VVIX - 126, 15 handles higher than last show, 34 higher than two weeks ago. VIX Options - ADV: 541k, VIX call/put: 2.7/1, Total 9.53m (6.93m Calls, 2.60m Puts), VXX - 35.65, 9 points higher than last show.

Volatility Voicemail: Listener questions and comments

  • Comment from DelVecchio - Dude WTF #VIX.
  • Comment from XXX - "THERE IS A SPECIAL PLACE IN HELL FOR PEOPLE WHO QUOTE VIX AS A PERCENT."
  • Comment from Martin Ryan - XIV imploded. TVIX is alive and kicking - I've used it for years. The other options have their advantages and disadvantages too - good luck trying to get a reasonable fill from options traders in a fast market. At least with an ETF or ETN I have liquidity...
  • Question from Grigs - Why would shorting volatility during VIX futures contango fail?
  • Question from JasonNolk - Suggestions on how to be best net neutral here?

Crystal Ball: Wild and reckless prognostication

Last week:

  • Mark L. - 12.55
  • Andrew - 13.25

This week:

  • Mark L. - 17.65
  • Andrew - 26.01

Where to Find Options Insider Radio?

Do you know all the ways you can access Options Insider Radio

          


Options Insider Radio Network Live Recordings

Do you want to be a part of the fun?

This is when you can access the LIVE shows this week:

Monday:

Option Block LIVE at 12pm Central


Thursday:

Option Block LIVE at 12pm Central
This Week in Futures 
Options LIVE at 1:30 Central


Friday:

Volatility Views LIVE at 12pm Central


As always, you can join in the fun at http://mixlr.com/options-insider/


Stats from Last Week

  • VIX Cash Range: 17.06 - 22.89

  • S&P Cash Range: 2749.03 - 2816.94

  • SPX 30-Day Implied Volatility: 16.56

  • SPX 30-Day Realized Volatility:  15.36

  • SPX Risk Premium (30-Day Implied - Realized): 1.2

  • Market Risk Premium (VIX Cash - SPX 30-day Implied Volatility): 3.33


 

Strategy 101: Brought to you by Ally Invest

Options Playbook Radio 200: FedEx Butterfly to Capture Earnings

Posted March 15th, 2018

Last week we talked about a Costco butterfly. Let's revisit what has happened since. You can find more on page 102 (butterfly) and page 126 (iron condor) of The Options Playbook, which is always available on OptionsPlaybook.com, in on the Amazon Kindle edition.

Specifically:

  • A review of last week's comparison of the butterfly vs. iron condor in COST
  • Breaking down the butterfly
  • What about the iron condor?
  • What happened after COST announced earnings?
  • Implied volatility and time decay as factors
  • Moving on to FedEx, which reports earnings on 3/20
  • How to set up a trade to contain the earnings
  • Selecting strikes
  • What is the cost?
  • What is the maximum risk?

Do you have questions that you would like answered on the show? Send them to Brian at theoptionsguy@invest.ally.com.


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