Your Inside Source for Options Information

July 17, 2017


Upcoming Economic Reports

A preview of what may move the market this week

TIME (ET) REPORT PERIOD FORECAST PREVIOUS
MONDAY, JULY 17
8:30 AM Empire state index July -- 19.8
TUESDAY, JULY 18
8:30 AM Import prices June -- -0.30%
10:00 AM Home builders' index July -- 67
WEDNESDAY, JULY 19
8:30 AM Housing starts June 1.073mln 1.092mln
8:30 AM Building permits June -- 1.168mln
THURSDAY, JULY 20
8:30 AM Weekly jobless claims 15-Jul 245,000 247,000 
8:30 AM Philly Fed July -- 27.6
10:00 AM Leading economic indicators June -- 0.30%

 




 

Options Insider Radio Network 

Episodes you may have missed from Options Insider Radio last week

Option Block 635: TSLA Puts, VIX Calls, No Love For APRN

Posted July 14th, 2017

Trading Block: Amazon Prime Day today. Lots of closing VIX puts. Waiting on what Yellen may say.

Odd Block: TSLA options tracker - 145 "catastrophe" puts hit the tape today, 20 more Jan 2018 20 puts also trade today. APRN first week review - paper buys 1080 Aug 9 calls for $0.40. Crazy tree or put spread in iShares MCSI Taiwan Index (EWT).

Strategy Block: A double strategy today! A put roll down trade in silver and a modified collar trade in XLF.

Mail Block: Options question of the week.

$APRN #options are live! Aug 8 calls top the charts so far. With $APRN at $8.15 Aug 8 calls are $.65-$.75. Would you rather?

  • 28% - Buy Aug 8 Call for $.75
  • 33% - Sell Aug 8 Call for $.65
  • 6% - Buy $APRN Stock for $8.15
  • 33% - Rather Eat $APRN's Food

Listener Question from Darqane: Assigned on short SPX puts means getting long the underlying? But how does that work if it is cash settled?

Around the Block:

This Week in the Market:

  • Jul 14: Consumer Price Index, Industrial Production, Consumer Sentiment

Earnings This Week:

  • Friday - Wells Fargo, Citi, and JP Morgan

 

Options Playbook Radio 166: IBM Bull Put Spread

Posted July 13th, 2017

For the last few episodes, we were reviewing skip-strike butterflies in GOOGL. You can find this on page 87 of The Options Playbook. This is always available on OptionsPlaybook.com, in on the Amazon Kindle edition.

In this episode:

  • A review of the last few weeks of strategies in GOOGL
  • Looking at IBM, which will announce earnings on July 18
  • Remember: earnings add a bit of volatility to the underlying
  • Where is the IV?
  • Having a neutral to bullish outlook
  • Going out further in time. Why?
  • Time is on your side
  • Picking the expiration
  • Picking the strikes
  • What will this cost?
  • What is the maximum risk? Reward?

Do you have a question that you want featured on an upcoming episode of Options Playbook Radio? Send Brian an email at: theoptionsguy@invest.ally.com.

 

Option Block 634: APRN Calls Not So Tasty

Posted July 11th, 2017

Trading Block: Blue Apron options to list on CBOE exchanges on Monday. "Amazon Prime Day" is today. A plan for new trading pit triggers a feud in the U.S. options market.

Odd Block: TSLA Options Tracker - 51 more "catastrophe" puts hit the tape today. Puts roll in L Brands Inc. (LB) Puts trade in Gap Inc. (GPS)

Mail Block: Listeners weigh in

Options question of the week: Blue Apron $APRN is down over 10% from its #IPO price. Assuming #Options were listed, what trade would you make?

  • Buy Dec 10 Call for $1
  • Buy Dec 9 Put for $1
  • Sell Dec 10 Call for $1
  • Not Touching $APRN

Listener questions and comments:

  • Question from Tomlyn - What the heck does StoppedIM mean? - From IB Website: SPIM Transaction was the execution of an order which was "stopped" at a price that did not constitute a Trade-Through on another market at the time of the stop. Process like a normal transaction except don't update "last".
  • Comment from PBiggers - Costco could not get filled to close, then this happens! Need a bounce next week.
  • Question from Alfieg - Interesting article in Barron's. Any truth to it? How to Tame Volatility? Nix VIX and Buy CBOE.

Around the Block:

This Week in the Market

  • Jul 11: JOLTS
  • Jul 12: Beige Book, OPEC monthly crude oil report.
  • Jul 13: Jobless Claims, Treasury Budget
  • Jul 14: Consumer Price Index, Industrial Production, Consumer Sentiment

Earnings This Week:

  • Thursday - Delta Airlines
  • Friday - Wells Fargo, Citi, and JP Morgan

 

This Week in Futures Options 59: Breaking Down your Favorites - Crude, Gold and...Bitcoin.

Posted July 10th, 2017

Topics this week include:

  • Crude
  • Gold
  • Reuters takes a page from TWIFO
  • Silver
  • Being jaunty

Futures Options Feedback: Listeners take over

Options question of the week. Let's get back to basics. #Options are great way to get long (bullish) exposure to stocks & futures. What's your fav way to go long?

  • Long Call/Call Spread
  • Short Put/Put Spread
  • Stock(Future) Replacement
  • Bullish Risk Reversal

ANOTHER Options question of the week: Everyone is talking about #Bitcoin #Volatility these days. Where do you stand on #Bitcoin after last week's aggressive downturn?

  • 19% - Too Volatile - I'm out
  • 09% - I'm still bullish
  • 41% - I want #Bitcoin #Options
  • 31% - I'm sick of #Bitcoin

Listener questions and comments:

  • Question from Ely - Are collars generally easier to put on in futures options due to the different skew than equity options?
  • Comment from JBiggs - I think lumber is probably the craziest. Who actually trades that stuff outside of hurricane season?
  • Question from KBX32 - What is the cheapest way to hedge my portfolio with futures options?

 

Volatility Views 262: Crazy Nuke Vol Plus, VIX vs. VXN

Posted July 10th, 2017

Volatility Review: A look back at the week from a volatility perspective.

  • The VIX juice is loose
  • OCC cleared futures volume in June reached 13,194,530 contracts, a 16% increase from June 2016.
  • One of the most popular - and controversial - trades in the stock market (XIV) is showing no signs of slowing down. MRA attributes the spiking popularity to the participation of mom and pop investors.

Russell's Weekly Rundown:

Options question of the week:: Blue Apron $APRN is down over 10% from its #IPO price. Assuming #Options were listed, what trade would you make?

  • Buy Dec 10 Call for $1
  • Buy Dec 9 Put for $1
  • Sell Dec 10 Call for $1
  • Not Touching $APRN

Listener questions and comments

  • Question from Avery Thompkins - Heard you guys debating theoretical low for XIV. I am down with 5. That makes sense. What about the other side? How high can it get? Is 1,000 in the conversation?
  • Comment from Safari Dad - A day without volatility is a day without sunshine
  • Question from Vtrader168 - While VIX is at historical low, but Nov VIX future still stay high at 16.20. Nov VIX was ~15.7 on 5/1 and 5/2. So the term structure is relatively steep. Any implication?

Crystal Ball: Your prognostication headquarters

This week:

  • Mark L. - 9.85
  • Mark S. - 10.05
  • Russell - 10.23

 


Where to Find Options Insider Radio?

Do you know all the ways you can access Options Insider Radio

            



Options Insider Radio Network Live Recordings

Do you want to be a part of the fun?

This is when you can access the LIVE shows this week:

Monday:
Option Block LIVE at 3pm Central

Thursday:

Option Block LIVE at 3pm Central

Friday:
Volatility Views LIVE at 12pm Central
This Week in Futures Options LIVE at 1:30 Central

As always, you can join in the fun at http://mixlr.com/options-insider/

 


Stats of the Week

  • VIX Cash Range: 9.50 - 12.14
  • S&P Cash Range: 2412.79 - 2463.54
  • SPX 30-Day Implied Volatility: 6.84
  • SPX 10-Day Realized Volatility:  7.34
  • SPX 30-Day Realized Volatility:  7.23
  • SPX Risk Premium (30-Day Implied - Realized): -0.39
  • Market Risk Premium (VIX Cash - SPX 30-day Implied Volatility): 2.67
  • S&P Skew Index
    • 07/10/2017  133.40
    • 07/11/2017  132.75
    • 07/12/2017  134.95
    • 07/13/2017  138.35
    • 07/14/2017  137.71

 

Strategy 101: Brought to you by Ally Invest

Options Playbook Radio 143: Ford Back Spreads with Puts

Posted January 26th, 2017

Today we are looking at back spreads with puts. You can find this in the back spreads section of The Options Playbook, on OptionsPlaybook.com, or in the Amazon Kindle version.

Brian covers:

  • A review of last week
  • What happened since?
  • What to do now?
  • What is the risk? Reward?
  • What to do now with earnings season?
  • Let's look at Ford (F)
  • How to avoid the crush of volatility
  • Take a look at time value
  • Where is the market right now?
  • What is the upside? Downside?
  • What do we want to happen?

Do you have questions that you would like answered on the show? Send them to Brian at theoptionsguy@invest.ally.com.


 

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