Highlights of this week in options: top stories, the most unusual options trades, the best in unusual activity, and more.

May 30, 2017 Options Insider Trader Newsletter

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Upcoming Economic Reports

A preview of what may move the market this week 

TIME (ET) REPORT PERIOD FORECAST PREVIOUS
TUESDAY,  MAY 30
8:30 AM Personal income April 0.40% 0.20%
8:30 AM Consumer spending April 0.40% 0.00%
8:30 AM Core inflation April 0.10% -0.10%
9:00 AM Case-Shiller U.S home prices March -- 5.80%
10:00 AM Consumer confidence index May 118.6 120.3
WEDNESDAY, MAY 31
9:45 AM Chicago PMI May -- 58.3
10:00 AM Pending home sales index April -- -0.80%
2:00 PM Beige book      
THURSDAY, JUNE 1
8:15 AM ADP employment report May -- 177,000
8:30 AM Weekly jobless claims 27-May 238,000 234,000
9:45 AM Markit manufacturing PMI (final) May -- 52.5
10:00 AM ISM manufacturing index May 55.00% 54.80%
10:00 AM Construction spending April 0.50% -0.20%
TBA Motor vehicle sales May 16.9mln 16.9mln
FRIDAY, JUNE 2
8:30 AM Nonfarm payrolls May 185,000 211,000
8:30 AM Unemployment rate May 4.40% 4.40%
8:30 AM Average hourly earnings May -0.30% 0.30%
8:30 AM Trade deficit April -$46.5bln -$43.7bln

 


 

Options Insider Radio Network 

Episodes you may have missed from Options Insider Radio last week

Option Block 623: How to Sell Premium with a Low VIX

Posted May 26th, 2017

Trading Block: A Retail Resurgence: Best Buy (BBY) - close $50.42, ATM straddle $4, approx. 8%. Earnings: Amazon, ULTA, Costco, GameStop.

Odd Block: Call spread buying in Southwestern Energy Corporation (SWN), calls buying in Macerish Co (MAC), puts and stock buying in Omega Healthcare Investors (OHI)

Strategy Block: Mike discusses what you can do to sell premium in this market environment.

Mail Block: Options Question of the Week:

$VIX =11.20. $VIX June Future = 12.40 $VIX Weekly 11 puts = $.15, Weekly 13 Calls = $.15. What's your trade?

  • Buy 13 Call for $.15
  • Buy 11 Put for $.15
  • Sell 13 Call for $.15
  • Sell 11 Put for $.15

Listener Comment:

  • Comment from Production One - VR would excite the young to trade options! Not old fat guys for sure! MarketWatch: Who trades options the most? Millennial investors Industry should be OK going forward.

Around the Block/This Week in the Market:

  • A shortened week due to Memorial Day

 

Options Insider Radio Interviews: Talking Data, Alpha and More with Wall Street Horizon

Posted May 25th, 2017

Recorded live at the 2017 Options Industry Conference, Mark is joined by Barry Star, CEO at Wall Street Horizon

They discuss:

  • Barry's background in options
  • What is Wall Street Horizon?
  • Who uses Wall Street Horizon?
  • Finding alpha in moving earnings dates
  • The types of volatility related to the timing of earnings releases
  • How do they get it so right?
  • The impact of social media
  • Don't trade on bad data
  • What are the Wall Street Horizon price points?
  • Which brokers do they work with?

 

Options Insider Radio Interviews: Talking Volume, Market Making and Auctions with MIAX

Posted May 25th, 2017

Recorded live at the 2017 Options Industry Conference, Mark is joined by Shelly Brown, Executive Vice President of Business Strategy at the Miami Options Exchange.

They discuss:

  • Rolling out the second exchange for the group
  • How are the early numbers on Pearl?
  • Playing with fees and managing flow
  • What are the points of differentiation for the MIAX exchange group?
  • What can the marketplace do to spur volume?
  • Should the minis make a comeback?
  • The need for public education
  • How to incent market makers to come back to the fold?
  • The concentration of liquidity in just a few names
  • Predatory traders taking over flow
  • Auctions: pro or con?

 

Options Insider Radio Interviews: Talking Fragmentation, Market Quality and More with Dash

Posted May 25th, 2017

Recorded live (to tape) at the 2017 Options Industry Conference, Mark is joined by Peter Maragos, Co-Founder and CEO of Dash Financial Technologies.

They discuss:

  • His background in the financial space
  • What does Dash do?
  • Joining forces with Liquidpoint
  • Having all the right solutions
  • Will trading floors come back?
  • The shrinking pool of liquidity providers
  • Modernizing the markets
  • Where is the incremental value in multiple exchanges?
  • Reaching out to new customers
  • Huge volume in fewer names

 

Options Playbook 159: Back Spread with Calls in AMD

Posted May 25th, 2017

Today, we will explore back spread with calls in AMD (page 84). This is always available on OptionsPlaybook.com, or on the Amazon Kindle edition.

In this episode, Brian covers:

  • What are the benefits and risks of the back spread with calls?
  • What has happened since we put the trade on?
  • Setting up the trade.
  • What is the maximum risk? Reward?
  • What is the ideal scenario?

 

Options Insider Radio Interviews: Talking Mergers, Millennials, and Mobile with TD Ameritrade

Posted May 24th, 2017

Recorded live (to tape) at the 2017 Options Industry Conference, Mark is joined by JJ Kinahan, Chief Market Strategist at TD Ameritrade.

They discuss:

  • The merger with Scottrade
  • Where did the volume go?
  • Is there a tax put under the market?
  • Is the VIX working?
  • Getting millennials into options
  • Maximizing the mobile experience
  • What can we do with stocks that are too expensive?

 

Options Insider Radio Interviews: Talking Data, Clouds and Costs with Vela

Posted May 24th, 2017

Recorded live (to tape) at the 2017 Options Industry Conference, Mark is joined by Jen Nayar, CEO of Vela Trading Technologies.

They discuss:

  • Her history in the trading technology space
  • What does Vela do?
  • What is Vela doing to make market data accessible?
  • The trend of bespoke data
  • Keeping one eye on potential competitors
  • The myriad reasons for the slow adoption of cloud-based platforms
  • Enhanced data feeds
  • What are conference highlights?
  • The proliferation of exchanges

 

Option Block 622: Selling Crazy Penny Calls

Posted May 23rd, 2017

Trading Block: Earnings highlights include Lowes (Wednesday), Best Buy, Costco, TD Ameritrade, GameStop (Thursday).

Odd Block: Calls trade in Pandora Media Inc. (P), calls trade in Energy Transfer Equity LP (ETE) and calls trade in MGM Resorts Int. (MGM).

Mail Block: Questions. Comments. More

Options Question Of the Week: $VIX =11.20. $VIX June Future = 12.40 $VIX Weekly 11 puts = $.15, Weekly 13 Calls = $.15. What's your trade?

  • Buy 13 Call for $.15
  • Buy 11 Put for $.15
  • Sell 13 Call for $.15
  • Sell 11 Put for $.15

Listener Questions:

  • Question from Game Daydog - Whoo Hooo !! I made the boot camp show!!! He's right.. I did take a bruise, but my position was good. The stock gapped thru my position. Is there an option strategy that offers the most gap-thru protection?
  • Question from Jlers -Best broker for Iron Condors?

Around the Block/This Week in the Market:

  • May 23: New Home Sales
  • May 24: Existing Home Sales, FOMC Minutes
  • May 25: Jobless Claims, International Trade
  • May 26: Durable Goods, GDP, Consumer Sentiment

 

This Week in Futures Options 52; Get on the Crude Roller Coaster

Posted May 23rd, 2017

Today, Mark and Nick are joined by Matt Bradbard, Director of Alternative Investments, RCM Alternatives.

Topics this week include:

  • Crude Oil
  • Gold

Futures Options Feedback: Listener questions and comments

  • Question from Andy Sullivan - You guys buying this rally in WTI, or are the options telling a different story?
  • Question from Jingles6 - Dudes! You're missing out on the hot new commodity trend, Cryptos rule everything around us! A $10,000 investment in Gold in July 2010 is now worth $9,981. A $10,000 investment in BitCoin is now worth $201,553!

 

Volatility Views 255: The Myth of VIX 50-Cent

Posted May 23rd, 2017

Volatility Review: A look back at the week from a volatility perspective

VIX options:

  • ADV - 747K; Thurs - 806K; Weds - 1.34m; Tues - 1.06m; Mon - 533K
  • VIX call/put: 3.1/1

Hot VIX strikes

  • 308315 .VIX Jun 21st 30.0 C, chg +4261
  • 274854 .VIX Jun 21st 35.0 C, chg +521
  • 261116 .VIX Jun 21st 20.0 C, chg +22016
  • 256652 .VIX Jun 21st 15.0 C, chg +61381
  • 207375 .VIX Jun 21st 19.0 C, chg +36896
  • 182527 .VIX Jun 21st 16.0 C, chg +21143
  • 165518 .VIX Jun 21st 25.0 C, chg -17814
  • 161130 .VIX Jun 21st 18.0 C, chg +7305
  • 153348 .VIX Jun 21st 17.0 C, chg +4539
  • 139338 .VIX Jun 21st 11.5 P, chg +8819
  • Total 6.77m (5.13m Calls, 1.64m Puts)

Earnings Volatility

  • GAP (GPS): $23.13; ATM straddle : $1.85 - approx. 8%
  • BABA: close $120.72; ATM straddle approx. $6; approx. 5%; dropped as low as $114 - $6.72; close $121.35 - UP .5%
  • WMT: close $75; ATM straddle $2.25; approx 3%; high $77.66

Volatility Voicemail: Listener questions and comments

  • Question from Vtrader168: Considering that there is large Vol jump Wednesday without major event, and the market recovery is not that strong, is it an indicator that the period of the extremely low VIX is over, and VIX return to "normal-low" level?
  • Question from Volbug: Hi. This is for Volatility Views: Thanks for the show Marks and Russell. You mentioned that implied vol is often more than realized vol. Does the time frame of the option, impact that calculation? For example one monthly option is cheaper that four weekly options. Thanks.

Crystal Ball: Wild prognostication

Last Week:

  • Mark L. - 10.25
  • Russell - 11.25
  • Henry - 9.90

This Week:

  • Mark L. - 10.75
  • Mark S. - 11.05
  • Russell - 12.26

 

Options Insider Radio Interviews: Talking API vs. GUI, Complex Order Books and More with Flextrade

Posted May 23rd, 2017

Recorded live at the 2017 Options Industry Conference, Mark is joined by Rob Brogan Vice President of Equity Derivative Services at Flextrade

They discuss:

  • What's going on at Flextrade?
  • What does Flextrade do, and who is their typical end-user?
  • What are they doing to counteract the trend of liquidity providers leaving the industry?
  • Optimal data presentation: API or no?
  • Major trends: cloud, mobile, hosted solutions
  • What are highlights from the conference?
  • Complex order books and the communication gap

 

Options Insider Radio Interviews: Talking Exchange Integration, Thinking Outside the Box, and Complex Order Books with CBOE

Posted May 23rd, 2017

Recorded live at the 2017 Options Industry Conference, Mark is joined by Kapil Rathi, Senior Vice President of Options Business Development at CBOE.

They discuss:

  • What is Kapil's role at CBOE since the merger?
  • How will the four options exchanges fit together?
  • Thinking outside of the box
  • Is he pro or con on auctions?
  • The pressure on liquidity providers
  • Complex order books and getting them to communicate with each other
  • Innovations coming from CBOE

 

Options Insider Radio Interviews: Talking Backtesting, Liquidity and More with ORATS

Posted May 22nd, 2017

Recorded live at the 2017 Options Industry Conference, Mark is joined by Matt Amberson, Principal and Founder of ORATS

They discuss:

  • His history in the options industry
  • Unique gamma scalping applications for each underlying
  • Is there a secret sauce to options backtesting?
  • Forward testing backtesting
  • Creating your own signals
  • Getting RIAs to use options in their portfolios
  • Getting past the gatekeepers
  • What are the biggest requests they receive for backtesting
  • Ongoing concentration of liquidity in just a few names
  • Does exchange fragmentation perpetuate the liquidity crisis?
  • Auctions: pro or con?

 

Advisors Option 55: The Truth about Options Backtesting

Posted May 22nd, 2017

In this episode, Mark is joined by co-hosts:

  • Chris Hausman, Portfolio & Chief Technical Strategiest, Swan Global Investments
  • Aash Vyas, Director of Portfolio Strategy and Overlays, Swan Global Investments
  • Matt Amberson, Principal, Option Research & Technology Services.

Tricks of the Trade: Looking at Options Backtesting

  • What is it?
  • Options vs. Stocks: Why is it so difficult to backtest options effectively?
  • What are some common mistakes that are made when attempting to backtest options?
  • Are some options strategies easier to backtest than others?
  • How do you deal with assumptions when backtesting options?
  • How can advisors use backtesting to test the efficacy of their options strategies?

The Buzz: A recap of the 2017 OIC Conference. Cerulli study says financial advisors who currently use options expect to increase use of options by 30% in three years.

Office Hours: Options Question of the week

This volatility implosion is starting to make people nervous. It's VIX limbo time: How Low Can It Go in 2017?

Currently:

  • 38% - 9.0 is the Bottom
  • 18% - No lower than 8.5
  • 15% - Cannot get below 8.0
  • 29% - <8 = Lookout Below!

Listener Questions:

  • Question from Aidan Chance - I heard you guys discussing the problem of lumping options funds and strats into the alts ghetto on the last show. I understand your complaints. What do you think would be a better category to gauge options performance?
  • Question from Steve - With the VIX so low, I am not selling a lot of options anymore, because I'm afraid that I will not collect enough premium. Am I thinking of this incorrectly?


Talking Complex Order Books, Auctions and Market Makers with Nasdaq

Posted May 22nd, 2017

Recorded live at the 2017 Options Industry Conference, Mark is joined by Kevin Kennedy, Senior Vice President and Head of US Options at Nasdaq.

They discuss:

  • Updates from the launch of the new PHLX trading floor
  • Attracting more complex orders
  • Will this spark a new floor revolution?
  • How many exchanges are too many exchanges?
  • The growing importance of complex order books
  • Integrating the six exchanges together
  • The trend towards passive investments
  • Growing the pie
  • Attracting new market participants
  • Outreach efforts, especially with regard to education
  • The concentration of liquidity in just a few names
  • Leveraging the interest in ETFs into interest in ETF options
  • The debate on auctions
  • What can the industry do to safeguard market makers

Options Insider Radio Interviews: Talking the Market Data Landscape with the Multi Asset Solutions Group

Posted May 22nd, 2017

Live (to tape) from the 2017 Options Industry Conference, Mark is joined by Cathy Clay, Global Head of Information Solutions at Multi Asset Solutions Group.

They discuss:

  • What comprises the Multi Asset Solutions Group?
  • The move from San Francisco to Chicago
  • The CBOE/Bats integration
  • What is on the radar for the Multi Asset Solutions Group?
  • The upcoming release of the volatility data suite through the Data Shop
  • What LiveVol Pro upgrades can users expect?
  • The shift from Flash to HTML5
  • The addition of futures to the platform
  • What is the Data Shop and how is it being used?

 


Where to Find Options Insider Radio?

Do you know all the ways you can access Options Insider Radio

            



Options Insider Radio Network Live Recordings

Do you want to be a part of the fun?

This is when you can access the LIVE shows this week:


Thursday:
Option Block LIVE at 3pm Central

Friday:
Volatility Views LIVE at 12pm Central
This Week in Futures Options LIVE at 1:30 Central

As always, you can join in the fun at http://mixlr.com/options-insider/

 


Stats of the Week

  • VIX Cash Range: 9.65 - 11.84
  • S&P Cash Range: 2386.92 - 2418.71
  • SPX 30-Day Implied Volatility: 7.44
  • SPX 10-Day Realized Volatility:  11.40
  • SPX 30-Day Realized Volatility:  8.18
  • SPX Risk Premium (30-Day Implied - Realized): -3.96
  • Market Risk Premium (VIX Cash - SPX 30-day Implied Volatility): 2.43
  • S&P Skew Index
    • 05/22/2017  128.57
    • 05/23/2017  124.54
    • 05/24/2017  123.11
    • 05/25/2017  123.65
    • 05/26/2017  125.41


That's So Unusual

The week in unusual activity

Heavy WPX July Call Buying

Large HD Call Spread

Huge USO August Put Purchase

OHI Puts Trade tied to Stock

MAC Call Sweep

SWN Call Spread Trades

MTZ Bear Put Spreads Trade

Huge Call Selling in PAGP

XLP Calls Roll Up and Out

UNG Puts and Stock Trade

LOW Call Spreads and Stock Trade

GE Jan 2018 Calls Trade

September Call Stupids Trade in MGM

Calls Trade for a Penny in Pandora

 


 

Strategy 101: Brought to you by Ally Invest

Options Playbook Radio 136: MRO Butterfly Spread with Calls

Posted December 1st, 2016

In this episode of Options Playbook Radio we are covering a call butterfly spread. You can find this on page 102 of The Options Playbook, on OptionsPlaybook.com, or in the Amazon Kindle version.

Brian covers:

  • A review of the last strategy
  • Taking advantage of the OPEC meeting and the ensuing oil volatility
  • Putting on a butterfly in MRO
  • Picking the expiration and the strikes
  • What will it cost? What is the upside? Break even?
  • What is our outlook?

Do you have questions that you would like answered on the show? Send them to Brian at theoptionsguy@tradeking.com


 

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