Highlights of this week in options: top stories, the most unusual options trades, the best in unusual activity, and more.

November 14, 2016 Options Insider Trader Newsletter

  

What a Week

Election madness rules the markets

Whether you're elated over the outcome of the election, or are packing your bags and heading up to Canada, we can all agree that it was quite a week. The markets agreed. Here is all the radio coverage from the Options Insider related to the election, including TWO special episodes of Volatility Views from election night.

Option Block 571: TSLA Puts and Election Volatility

Trading Block: Dow soars 300 points after FBI clears Clinton again. Are certain volatility funds raising election risk for the stock market? Earnings today after the bell

  • Fogo de Chao
  • Hertz Global Holdings
  • Marriott International - ATM Straddle = $2.75, approx. 4%
  • The Priceline Group - ATM Straddle = $82, approx. 5.5%

Odd Block: Calls trade in SPDR KBW Bank ETF (KBE), calls and puts trade in iShares MSCI Mexico Fund (EWW) and puts trade in Marathon Oil Company (MRO)

Mail Block/Options #QuestionOfTheWeek:

$SPX Weds Weekly straddle says 2% move through election. How much will SPX / $SPY move through Weds 11/9?

  • Over 3% - crazy move
  • Between 2-3% - big move
  • Between 1-2% - mild move
  • Less than 1% - "meh"

Listener questions:

  • Question from RKintz - What do you think of out of the money puts on PBR? I noticed heavy buying across several expires the last few weeks (possibly speculation of prolonged glut in oil supply)
  • Question from Real RK - What do you think of being long a little less than one standard deviation puts OTM for Jan in everyone's favorite hyperbolic name Tesla?

Around the Block/Earning Highlights This Week:

  • Tuesday - Valeant, CVS Health
  • Wednesday - Valeant, Mylan, Shake Shack, Macys
  • Thursday - The Walt Disney Company, Nvidia, Kohl's, Nordstrom
  • Friday – JCPenney

Volatility Views Election Special

Do you want a Volatility Views looking at election volatility in real time? Well, Mark, Russell and the greasy meatball got together and did just that.

Volatility Views Election Special Part Two: Volatility After Dark

The resurgence of Donald Trump in the U.S. election is weighing heavily on markets around the globe. We break down the historic action in VIX, Dow, SPX and more live on this special late-night episode of Volatility Views.

Option Block 572: Post-Election Market Madness

Trading Block: Volume in non-U.S. trading hours sets a new daily record. Pharma pop on Hillary loss.

Earnings after the Bell:

  • DIS - $95.72, ATM Straddle = $2.70, approx. 3%
  • NVDA - $68, ATM Straddle = $5.40, approx. 8%
  • JWN - $57.10, ATM Straddle = $4.85, approx. 8.5%

Odd Block: Calls roll in YRC Worldwide Inc. (YRC), calls trade in Huntington Bancshares Inc. (HBAN) and calls trade in Financial Select SPDR (XLF)

Strategy Block: Uncle Mike Tosaw discusses what to do when you get called away from a covered call.

Mail Block/Options #QuestionOfTheWeek:

$SPX Weds Weekly straddle says 2% move through election. How much will SPX / $SPY move through Weds 11/9?

  • Over 3% - crazy move
  • Between 2-3% - big move
  • Between 1-2% - mild move
  • Less than 1% - meh

Comment:

  • Comment from Bongsong2: Trump win makes America great again.

Around the Block: Checking back on the earnings straddles from the top of the show. Who will be in the Trump cabinet? Funky sector rotation. Will tech buyers show up?

 



Options Insider Radio Network Live Recordings

Do you want to be a part of the fun?

Here are the LIVE shows for this week:

Monday: 
Option Block LIVE at 3pm Central Time 

Thursday: 
Option Block LIVE at 3pm Central Time 

Friday: 
Volatility Views LIVE at 12pm Central Time
This Week in Futures Options LIVE at 3pm Central Time 

All of these recordings can be accessed at http://mixlr.com/options-insider/

 


 Socially Speaking

Are you following the Options Insider on Facebook?



Snappy headlines. Updates on options activity as they happen. News about shows, unusual activity, and more. That's what you will find on the Options Insider Facebook page. Follow us today!


Stats of the Week

  • VIX Cash Range: 13.26 - 19.91
  • S&P Cash Range: 2100.59 - 2182.30
  • SPX 30-Day Implied Volatility: 12
  • SPX 10-Day Realized Volatility:  14
  • SPX 30-Day Realized Volatility:  10
  • SPX Risk Premium (30-Day Implied - Realized): 2
  • Market Risk Premium (VIX Cash - SPX 30-day Implied Volatility): 2.17
  • S&P Skew Index
    • 11/07/2015  134.91
    • 11/08/2015  135.60
    • 11/09/2015  124.61
    • 11/10/2015  127.00
    • 11/11/2016  121.71


That's So Unusual

The week in unusual activity

Flurry of Put Rolling in NEM: 2700/5400 NEM Nov 37.5 puts over Dec 32 puts went up in 2 blocks on the ARCA

Massive Risk Reversal Trades in Pandora (P): 12777 P Jun2017 11/16 call spreads over 10 puts went up in 3 blocks on the PHLX marked spread. 

Giant RF Call Sale: 41800 RF Feb2017 13 calls went up in 1 block on the PHLX.

Possible XLF Call Stupids Trade: 28000 and 20000 XLF Feb2017 22 and 24 calls went up in some huge and scattered blocks on the CBOE and PHLX

Massive HBAN January Call Buying: 6874 HBAN Jan2017 11 calls went up in 1 block on a price variation tag on the CBOE. 

Calls Roll in YRCW: 5000 YRCW Dec 12/13 call spreads went up in several blocks on the AMEX

CS Cage Match Calls Trade: 16677 CS Mar2017 15 calls went up in 1 block on the PHLX

CXW Line in the Sand Puts Close: 15996 CXW Dec 14 puts went up in 1 block on the ARCA marked Price Variation. 

Upside PFE Call Sellers: 6371 PFE Dec23 34.5 calls went up in large block on the CBOE marked price variation.

Calls Trade in HL: 1114 HL Nov18 8 calls went up in large block on the PHLX.

MASSIVE Post-Election VXX Put Butterfly Goes Up: Paper traded 30457/60914/30457 VXX Nov18 27/28.5/30 put butterflies for .31.

Possible MRO Put Roll: 6000 MRO Nov 14/Dec 13 puts went up in two large blocks on the PHLX

Large Short Leaning EWW Combos Trade: 6000 EWW Nov 45/48 put spreads and Nov 55 calls went up in 3 blocks on the ARCA marked spread. 

Large At-the-Money Calls Trade in KBE: 9986 KBE Mar 2017 35 calls went up in 1 block on the PHLX marked regular.

 


 

Strategy 101: Brought to you by TradeKing

Posted May 5, 2016, Options Playbook Radio 106: Iron Condor around TSLA Earnings picks up the earnings play mantle. You can find information on iron condors in the Options Playbook on page 126. You can also always find all of this information on OptionsPlaybook.com.

In this episode, Brian discussed

  • The AMZN iron condor from last week
  • General guidelines for earnings trades
  • A review of the GOOG trade from a few weeks ago
  • A deep look at TSLA
  • What is the ATM straddle for the nearest expiration?
  • Picking the strikes
  • Determining the over/under so you can stay away from that
  • What is the upside? Downside?
  • Understanding the odds. Remember that you CAN lose.
  • Rationale for the expiration date

If you want to hear it for yourself, you can download it now. Oh, and did you know you can submit questions to Brian Overby (aka the Options Guy) through Facebook? It's true!


 

The Options Insider on Social Media

The Options Insider app

The Options Insider Radio Network 

Copyright © 2016, The Options Insider, Inc. All rights reserved.

Our mailing address is: The Options Insider | 165 North Canal Street | Chicago, Illinois 60606

questions@theoptionsinsider.com


Sent to: newsletter@newslettercollector.com

Unsubscribe

Options Insider, 165 N. Canal Street, Suite, Chicago, IL 60606, United States