Highlights of this week in options: top stories, the most unusual options trades, the best in unusual activity, and more.

November 21, 2016 Options Insider Trader Newsletter

  

Radio Wrap Up

A review of last week from an Options Insider Radio Network perspective

Option Block 574: Laterally Arabesque

Trading Block: A mild market rally today. VIX cash back below the 14-handle. TSLA recovering from some recent losses; was up over 2% at mid-day. Yellen says Fed might hike interest rates relatively soon. Jobless claims in U.S. declined to lowest level in four decades.

Odd Block: Size calls trade in Financial Select SPDR (XLF), calls trade in Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) and puts trade in Freeport Mc MoRan Inc. (FCX).

Strategy Block: Uncle Mike discusses trading in IBB

Mail Block: Listener questions and comments

  • Question from Mike The Bookie - Yeah, the ETF based volatility indexes. Is here a good place to bracket UVXY or VXX?
  • Question from Ian Wagner ?- Why trade volatility vs direction or income? Preference? More favorable risk/reward profile.

Around the Block/Earning Highlights this Week:

  • Friday - Foot Locker, Abercrombie & Fitch

Options Insider Radio Interviews: Taking on Monopolies with August Capital

In this episode, Mark is joined by Villi Iltchev of August Capital

They discuss:

  • Villi's background in the fintech space
  • What is August Capital?
  • What are the barriers to entry in the fintech space?
  • Success breeds success
  • The market data albatross
  • The life of the venture capitalist
  • And more

Options Insider Radio Interviews: Discussing Full Disclosure with the Collaborative Fund

In this episode, Mark is joined by Morgan Housel of the Collaborative Fund.

They discuss:

  • What is the Collaborative Fund?
  • Morgan's former career in journalism and private equity/investment banking
  • Bringing diverse backgrounds under one roof
  • Should there be full disclosure on fees?
  • Overwhelming market data fees
  • Innovation versus regulation
  • Taking the long-term view
  • The future of financial advising

Options Playbook Radio 134: Covered Call Writing in FB

What situations might be a good time for covered call writing? There is also the long put spread from last week to discuss. You can follow on pages 50 and 62, respectively, of The Options Playbook, on OptionsPlaybook.com, or in the Amazon Kindle version.

This week, Brian discusses:

  • What has happened to the market since the election?
  • Why is the VIX going up when the market is going up?
  • How did we do from the long put spread from last week?
  • What were the risk parameters?
  • Covered call writing
  • Don't forget about the Thanksgiving holiday
  • What is the timeframe?
  • Looking for the Goldilocks of volatility
  • Avoid earnings
  • Setting up the trade

Do you have questions that you would like answered on the show? Send them to Brian at theoptionsguy@tradeking.com.

Option Block 573: Tesla Tailspin and Dubious DRYS

Trading Block: U.S. stock market Trump rally loses steam. Oil gets left behind in post-Trump rally. Trump presidency raises questions on the future of Wall St. regulation.

Odd Block: Calls trade in Canadian Natural Resources LTD (CNQ), calls trade in Financial Select SPDR (XLF) and calls trade in Square Inc (SQ)

Mail Block/Options #Question of the Week:

$TSLA ($182.50, down 3%, IV30:41, HV30:31) Straddle says $8.20 move (4.5%) by Friday close. How much will $TSLA actually move

  • In line: ($8-$8.50)
  • Beat Straddle: > $8
  • Less than Straddle: < $8]
  • Sick of #Musk / $TSLA

Listener questions:

  • Question from Moolla - WTF is up with $DRYS? Thing is going nuts - takeover? Lots of calls trading?
  • Comment from Burgh83: Can you explain what that means exactly?...thanks, I'm trying to figure options out still. But holding MRO, want to buy more...

Around the Block/Earnings Highlights:

  • Tuesday - Home Depot, Dick's Sporting Goods
  • Wednesday - Lowe's, Target, Cisco
  • Thursday - Walmart, Best Buy, Salesforce
  • Friday - Foot Locker, Abercrombie & Fitch

This Week in Futures Options 29: Election Volatility

Topics this week include:

  • Gold/Silver
  • Copper
  • Crude Oil/WTI
  • EuroDollar
  • Soybeans

Futures Options Feedback: Listener questions and comments

  • Question from Tom Chase - Can you explain more about QuikSkew? What is it and how do I get it? Is it available for free on the CME site?

You can find all the cool reports Nick talks about on www.cme.com/twio.

 

Volatility Views 230: Trump Volatility Bonanza

Volatility Review: The Trumpocalypse is here! What a week! VVIX: 102. So, about last night...Patient volatility seller ended up winning big. Volatility shorts cash in despite the shock U.S. election. Volume in non-U.S. trading hours set a new daily record.

Russells Weekly Rundown:

  • VIX Options - A crazy volume week!
  • Mon - 1.05M, Tues - 1.05M, Weds - 1.03M, Thurs - 1.08M
  • Total 7.08m (4.62m Calls, 2.46m Puts)

Earnings Volatility:

  • Walt Disney Company
  • Nvidia
  • Nordstrom

Volatility Voicemail/Options #QuestionOfTheWeek

$SPX Weds Weekly straddle says 2% move through election. How much will SPX / $SPY move through Weds 11/9?

  • Over 3% - crazy move
  • Between 2-3% - big move
  • Between 1-2% - mild move
  • Less than 1% - meh

Listener questions and comments:

  • Question from Brian: Hi Mark, your shows are the best known to me. Congratulations on your success. I have a topic/question for Volatility Views. I am trying to get a sense of how viable XIV will be in the long term. Are there red flags for ETFs/ETNs that would indicate whether or not they will go broke at some point? Are the bigger ETFs/ETNs a safer bet or is it the ETFs/ETNs that deal with future contracts the ones that end up in trouble? I appreciate and value your advise.
  • Question from Mike The Bookie: Yeah, the ETF based volatility indexes. Is here a good place to bracket UVXY or VXX?

Crystal Ball: Wild prognosticating

Last week:

  • Mark L. - 18.50
  • Mark S. - 10.80
  • Russell - 23.50

This week:

  • Mark L. - 15.00
  • Mark S. - 12.00
  • Russell - 13.50

 



Options Insider Radio Network Live Recordings

Do you want to be a part of the fun?

Due to the Thanksgiving holiday, there will only be one LIVE show this week:

Monday: 
Option Block LIVE at 3pm Central Time 

As always, you can hear it at http://mixlr.com/options-insider/

 


 Socially Speaking

Are you following the Options Insider on Facebook?



Snappy headlines. Updates on options activity as they happen. News about shows, unusual activity, and more. That's what you will find on the Options Insider Facebook page. Follow us today!


Stats of the Week

  • VIX Cash Range: 12.85 - 15.56
  • S&P Cash Range: 2156.08 - 2189.89
  • SPX 30-Day Implied Volatility: 11
  • SPX 10-Day Realized Volatility:  10
  • SPX 30-Day Realized Volatility:  10
  • SPX Risk Premium (30-Day Implied - Realized): 1
  • Market Risk Premium (VIX Cash - SPX 30-day Implied Volatility): 1.85
  • S&P Skew Index
    • 11/14/2015  122.71
    • 11/15/2015  119.79
    • 11/16/2015  123.77
    • 11/17/2015  123.06
    • 11/18/2016  126.38


That's So Unusual

The week in unusual activity

December MRO Calls Trade: 33000+ MRO Dec 18 calls went up in scattered blocks on all floors. 

WBA Call Spreads Trade: Paper traded 9038/9321 WBA Dec16 87.5 calls over Jan20 92.5 calls for .52 and .56. 

March SIRI Spreads Trade: 29223/35000 SIRI Mar 4.5/5 call spreads went up in 2 blocks on the AMEX

Possible FCX Synthetic Straddle Trades: 10000 FCX Nov18 14 puts went up in 1 block on the PHLX marked buy write. 

Possible AMD Combo or Strangle: 19499/20588 AMD Jan 7 puts over Jan 12 calls went up in 2 blocks on the PHLX marked spread. 

XLF Size Calls Trade: 320000 XLF Jan2017 22 calls went up in 2 blocks on the AMEX marked price variation.

Big Block of Jan FTR Calls Trade: 9976 FTR Jan2019 4 calls went up in 1 block on the CBOE

Aggressive Short-Term FRO Call Buyers: 329 FRO Nov 8 calls went up in 1 block on the CBOE

Big Ratio Call Spread Trades in DLTR: 6200/13000 DLTR Jan2017 85/90 call spreads went up in 3 blocks on the PHLX

Line in the Sand Puts Trade in RIG: 8415 RIG Dec09 9.5 puts went up in 1 block on the PHLX.  The trade is either selling puts to close or adding more trying to ride RIG higher. 

SWN Calls Roll to December: 6272 SWN Nov16 11/Dec 16 12 calls spreads went up in 2 large blocks on the PHLX

Size JBLU Call Buyers: 3000 JBLU Nov 20 calls went up in 1 block on the CBOE marked price variation. 

Possible SQ Short Call Covering: 1000 SQ Nov 12 calls went up in 1 block on the CBOE marked sweep. 

Homerun XLF Call Rolls: 20000/50000 XLF Jan2017 22/Feb 24 call spreads went up in 2 large blocks on the ISE

Large CNQ Upside Calls Trade: 16000 CNQ Dec 34 calls went up in 1 block on the PHLX.

 


 

Strategy 101: Brought to you by TradeKing

In Options Playbook Radio 110: Long Butterflies with Puts, which was recorded on June 2, 2016, we look at a strategy based on the overall market: a long butterfly with puts. You can find this on page 104 of the Options Playbook, or you can always find all of this information on OptionsPlaybook.com.

In this episode, Brian discussed

  • Looking at the overall market: where is the S&P 500?
  • Will there be a new all-time high, or will there be a pullback?
  • European versus American style options
  • Weekly versus monthly options
  • Setting up the trade
  • Maximum risk & profit
  • What will happen to implied volatilities?
  • Contingency plans

If you want to hear it for yourself, you can download it now. Oh, and did you know you can submit questions to Brian Overby (aka the Options Guy) through Facebook? It's true!

 


 

The Options Insider on Social Media

The Options Insider app

The Options Insider Radio Network 

Copyright © 2016, The Options Insider, Inc. All rights reserved.

Our mailing address is: The Options Insider | 165 North Canal Street | Chicago, Illinois 60606

questions@theoptionsinsider.com


Sent to: newsletter@newslettercollector.com

Unsubscribe

Options Insider, 165 N. Canal Street, Suite, Chicago, IL 60606, United States