The next 100 million crypto investors.
Health, Wealth, and Happiness
October 12, 2022
“The only place where your dream becomes impossible is in your own thinking.”
– Robert Schuller
In today's issue:PancakeSwap is a decentralized exchange (DEX) native to BNB Chain. It's similar to Ethereum-based Uniswap, allowing users to trade, buy, and sell tokens without middlemen.

But is it making money?

In today's issue, we deep dive into PancakeSwap's revenue, then explain the tasty ways investors might take a nibble of its native token CAKE. Yum!
Must Read
Today's most important story for crypto investors.
You read it right: BNY Mellon, the bank founded in 1784 by Alexander Hamilton, is now accepting crypto deposits for BTC and ETH. The bank will safeguard client crypto funds and protect their private keys.

It's a huge step forward for the financial industry and shows crypto moving from early adopters like Fidelity to big banks.

Investor takeaway: Take note of the partners that BNY Mellon is using to build its crypto offering. Fireblocks is running the underlying platform, while Chainalysis is in charge of the risk management tools. These service providers are the real technology innovators to watch.
PancakeSwap Revenue: Tasty Ways to Benefit
by Daniel Joel
Summary: Revenue is one of the most important metrics when gauging the health of crypto protocols. It helps us answer the most important questions as crypto investors:

1) How many people are using the crypto platform?
2) How is it generating revenue?
3) How is that revenue growing?

Here, we'll cover how PancakeSwap generates revenue, how investors benefit, and how it has performed against its competitors.
What is PancakeSwap?

PancakeSwap is a decentralized exchange (DEX) native to BNB Chain. It's similar to Ethereum-based Uniswap, allowing users to trade, buy, and sell tokens without middlemen. Since PancakeSwap is on BNB Chain, it uses BEP20 tokens, the token standard developed by Binance.

It cuts out the middleman by using a system known as an automated market maker (AMM). This lets users trade against liquidity pools (funds locked in smart contracts) rather than buying and selling directly with counterparties. 

For instance, if you want to change BNB for PancakeSwap's native token CAKE, you'll need to find a BNB/CAKE pool with sufficient liquidity (i.e., enough funds) to make your trade. You'll then deposit BNB tokens into the pool and automatically receive CAKE tokens based on the latest exchange rate.

The BNB/CAKE pool was created by investors depositing these two tokens to help facilitate your trade. In exchange, these "liquidity providers" (LPs) can earn a share of the fees you paid for your trade. 

Thus, automated market makers have strong incentives for liquidity pools to arise wherever there is sufficient volume (i.e., enough trading demand) between any two token pairs. This makes them incredibly efficient and scalable.

Apart from being a liquidity provider, PancakeSwap has yield farming opportunities where you can lock up various crypto assets and earn "interest" in the form of CAKE tokens.
Yield farming on PancakeSwap is complex. If you stake any of these two tokens, you receive LP tokens, which you can then stake to receive more CAKE.

PancakeSwap Revenue Streams

PancakeSwap has diversified its revenue streams as follows:

Swap Fees
Its flagship product PancakeSwap AMM generates the most revenue for the project. Traders have to pay fees of around 0.25% on each transaction. Most of a fee (0.17%) goes to liquidity providers. 0.03% goes to the PancakeSwap treasury, while the rest is used to buy back and burn CAKE.

Burning CAKE weekly is one of the ways PancakeSwap helps keeps inflation in check. Since CAKE has no hard cap (i.e., infinite CAKE can be minted), burning helps control its supply, thus protecting your slice of the CAKE.

PancakeSwap explains why CAKE's supply is not capped, stating that "CAKE's primary function is to incentivize providing liquidity to the exchange. Without block rewards, there would be much less incentive to provide liquidity."

Lottery
PancakeSwap uses lotteries to generate revenue for the platform in two main ways. First, it allows participants to purchase six-digit tickets (bumped up from four) to raise money and enter a draw. Secondly, users pay transaction fees to purchase lottery tickets. 

To win, a player must match the six numbers on their ticket to the numbers drawn randomly. The amount won by each ticket will depend on how many other tickets win in the same prize bracket. 

For example, if a player has the only ticket that matched six numbers in order, and the predetermined share of the prize pool for that bracket was 2000 CAKE, they'll receive the entire 2000 CAKE. ‌If, however, the player and three other people match the six numbers in order, the 2000 CAKE would be split between the four winning tickets, meaning each would receive 500 CAKE.
Here’s your winning PancakeSwap lottery number.

Initial Farming Offering
IFOs on PancakeSwap let investors get early access to new tokens launched on PancakeSwap as soon as they're added, giving them the chance to benefit from higher rewards. For conducting token sales on the platform, PancakeSwap collects fees from token issuers.

To take part in an IFO, participants need to create profiles. Fees are associated with the profiles, which help keep the total CAKE supply down by burning a bit of CAKE from each profile created.

Staking Fees
PancakeSwap allows users to earn rewards through staking CAKE via "syrup pools." Staking comes in two main forms: fixed term and flexible. The latter allows users to stake CAKE and earn rewards with the ability to "unstake" whenever they please, while fixed term staking means users lock their staked CAKE for a set period for the chance to earn higher rewards.

Revenue comes from performance fees, which are around 2%. They're subtracted automatically from each yield harvest in flexible staking. Also, there is a 0.1% "unstaking fee" if you unstake within 72 hours. The CAKE collected via the unstaking fees and performance fees are burned weekly as part of regular CAKE token burns.

Prediction Pool Fees
The prediction product lets players predict BNB's price in the next five minutes and bet the amount in an UP Pool or DOWN Pool. If the price is lower than the starting price, the players on the DOWN Pool win and the amount in the UP Pool is divided proportionally among the bettors in the DOWN Pool.

Revenue is collected from each pool by deducting 3% of each pool's amount, which is transferred to the Pancake treasury and used to buy back and burn CAKE tokens every Monday.
PancakeSwap revenue over the last year (courtesyToken Terminal)

PancakeSwap Revenue History

Like most crypto protocols, PancakeSwap steadily grew its revenue through November 2021 before declining throughout 2022. Because it's built on BNB Chain, PancakeSwap's fortunes are likely to be tied up with those of Binance. Indeed, the BNB revenue chart shows a similar decline throughout 2022:
BNB Chain revenue over the last year (courtesyToken Terminal)

As a decentralized exchange, PancakeSwap is competing against Binance, the world's largest centralized exchange. Since PancakeSwap is built on Binance's BNB Chain, they are both competitors and collaborators.

While Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao has spoken of Binance's willingness to disrupt itself with DEXes, the power structure of using Binance's in-house blockchain, in our view, puts PancakeSwap at a strategic disadvantage.

Further, while BNB Chain needs DEXes, Uniswap is still the clear leader on Ethereum, which is the top blockchain platform for building tokens. Uniswap typically generates double or triple the revenue of PancakeSwap each month.

To figure out which DEXes will survive, investors must ask the question, "Which blockchains will survive?"
Leading DEX revenues in first half of 2022 (in millions)

In blockchain, revenue is generated only if people use the product. So, it's an important metric to gauge the popularity of the protocol and the product; whether they have product-market fit and whether they're getting traction.

With a product like PancakeSwap, revenue is directly tied to the yields provided to stakeholders. Hence, the higher the revenue, the better the benefits for investors.

PancakeSwap has tried to diversify its revenue streams through yield farming and gambling products. Whether gambling has a place in a reputable financial institution is a question for debate (there's a reason banks don't sell lottery tickets).

Investor Takeaway

PancakeSwap has successfully offered investors low fees and fast transaction times while providing additional innovative features, so it's no surprise it has become one of the most popular DEXs in under two years.

While the bear market has been especially hard for DeFi projects, PancakeSwap has been Uniswap’s closest competitor in terms of revenue. That said, its reliance on BNB Chain and gambling may be reasons to stay away.

As the old saying goes, you can't have your CAKE and eat it, too.
ICYMI
In Case You Missed It
How Crypto Indices Simplify Crypto Investing
Instead of individual cryptos, invest in the index. (Premium members)

For crypto investors who want exposure to the euro, here's how to do it.

We're creating a new scorecard and we'd love your feedback.

Don't put all your bags in one basket.

How to use Yearn to earn. (Premium members)
Not a Meme
Copy, paste, and post.
And scones are pretentious biscuits.
Share the Love
Help grow your crypto investing community.
If you were forwarded this newsletter, join the movement.

If you loved this newsletter, share the love.
Bitcoin Market Journal is a daily newsletter that makes you a better crypto investor. It is created by John Hargrave, Nick Marinoff, Steve Walters, Anatol Antonovici, Ben Burn, Danielle Greving, Preetam Kaushik, and Daniel Joel.

Premium subscribers get full access to our top crypto picks. Both free and Premium subscribers get content to build them into better investors.

Upgrade to Premium and become a Blockchain Believer!