Margins are contracting

Good Morning Voornaam,

It's a new week, which means there's a brand new episode of Ghost Wrap for you to enjoy. Covering eight companies in under eight minutes, I bring you the latest news and my opinions on AECI, Argent Industrial, Hudaco, PBT Group, Invicta, Hyprop, Advanced Health and the Naspers/Prosus stable. Ghost Wrap is made possible by the support of Mazars. Find it here>>>

For something completely different and extremely important, I recommend checking out the latest podcast with Satrix. This time, we are talking about a topic dear to many of our hearts: investing for our children. Thembeka Khumalo b>joined me to kick off National Savings Month in the right way. If you are a parent, be sure to listen to this podcast>>>

Do Your Own Research (DYOR)

You read Ghost Mail because you want to learn about the world of business and markets. This means that you're already doing your own research, even if you didn't quite realise it.

To understand some of the techniques that are used in researching stocks, you need to listen to Episode 131 of Magic Markets. We touched on a range of research topics and methodologies in a podcast that was jam-packed with insights. Enjoy it here>>>

Another great way to learn is via the Unlock the Stock platform, where you get to be an equity analyst for an hour. The last event featured Attacq and Tharisa, with the recording available here. Unlock the Stock is brought to you by A2X.

Here are a couple of other ways to enhance your investment knowledge:

  • Read Trive South Africa's research piece on US grocery giant Kroger.
  • To learn more about how retailer s are using omnichannel strategies to reach consumers, you can read my latest Ghost Global article that taps into recent research in Magic Markets Premium.

Margins: heading the wrong way

These inflationary conditions have been a wonderful learning experience. To have lived in a time of such rapidly rising rates and to learn from their effect is a blessing for anyone's investment knowledge, even if you might think I'm crazy for saying that.

For example, we've been able to really separate the best from the worst in terms of pricing power. Companies that can pass pricing increases onto customers have thrived in this environment. Those that can't have faltered.

In G host Bites this morning, the two most important updates (in my opinion) are from Hudaco and PBT Group. In both cases, operating profit growth isn't keeping up with revenue growth. This means that margins are contracting, albeit for different reasons. It is very important to understand why this is happening and what the effects are for shareholders.

There are also updates from Heriot REIT, Impala Platinum and Royal Bafokeng Platinum (with a deal that is finally unconditional), MC Mining, Nampak, Nictus, Primeserv, RMB Holdings and SA Corporate Real Estate.

Click here to read Ghost Bites and the updates on all these companies (and more!)

Yes, we went back above R19.00 - briefly

TreasuryONE kicks us off this morning with inflation data, starting with the Eurozone. Inflation fell from 6.1% in May to 5.5% in June, below expectations of 5.6%. In the US, Core PCE matched market expectations, but the dollar still traded softer post the release.

The rand snuck above R19.00 to the dollar but this was short-lived, concluding the week in the mid-R18.80s. This still puts the rand in a stronger position against the dollar than where we started in June, despite the rand's depreciation of roughly 80 cents against the dollar over the past two weeks.

Th is week, the market will be watching manufacturing data in the US, along with publication of the minutes of the June FOMC meeting. Finally, non-farm payroll data is due at the end of the week.

With that, I wish you a productive start to the week!

Ghost Bites (Heriot REIT | Hudaco | Implats - RBP | MC Mining | Nampak | Nictus | PBT Group | Primeserv | RMB Holdings | SA Corporate Real Estate)

Featuring updates from several small caps on the JSE, it was a day of interesting news that included important earnings updates from Hudaco and PBT Group, among others.

Wall Street's forecasts for Kroger's first-quarter profit and same-store sales were surpassed due to consistent demand for basics and lower supply chain expenses.

Approaching The Market With A Fresh Market Strategy, Will Kroger Company Reel In Investors?
Unlock the Stock: Attacq and Tharisa

Brought to you by A2X, Unlock the Stock lets you wear an equity analyst hat and engage directly with management teams. Watch the recording of the event with Attacq and Tharisa here.

With reference to recent research in Magic Markets Premium, I looked at trends in retail and specifically omnichannel models.

Ghost Global: The Power of Omnichannel
 

Covering eight companies in fewer than eight minutes, this week's Ghost Wrap is tilted towards the recent results from industrial groups, with some property, healthcare and tech thrown in too.

 

Compound interest isn't just the eighth wonder of the world. It also happens to be probably the best gift that you could give your children. Listen to this podcast to understand why.

 

You know that you need to DYOR, but what techniques are used in practice for equity research? Magic Markets is here to help.

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