And troubles at Vodacom

Good morning Voornaam,

Fresh out the oven:

  • Ghost Bites: Raubex is celebrating 50 years in business and the numbers are cause for celebration. BHP improved its proposal to Anglo American and still got a firm no. Calgro M3 has declared a maiden dividend. Vodacom is struggling. WeBuyCars is a cash flow machine. Stor-Age landed a management contract in the UK. Look out for Insimbi and Mantengu Mining updates as well. All this is in Ghost Bites>>>

  • Ghost Wrap: You need barely four minutes to get up to speed on KAL Group, AB InBev, Redefine, RFG Holdings and Calgro M3, brought to you by MazarsListen to it here>>>

  • Southern African bonds: In a new article, Siyabulela Nomoyi of Satrix comments on the Fed approach and what this means for Southern African bond opportunities. Read it here>>>

  • Costa plenty - the hefty price of human error: This brand new piece by Dominique Olivier makes a strong case for self-driving vehicles, with practically every human flaw on full display in the Costa Concordia disaster. Read it here>>

In case you missed it:

  • Chasing (returns from) the Sun: Grovest's Tivon Loubser joined me on a Ghost Stories podcast to talk about the 12BA allowances and how the government is giving returns from solar a serious boost for investors and you can listen to it here (full transcript included)>>>

  • Electrifying stocks: Craig Antonie of AnBro joined us on Magic Markets to talk about the electrification theme and related global stocks. Thematic investing is powerful. Enjoy it here (full transcript included)>>>

  • Sanlam / Grovepoint: Private markets are fascinating, especially private credit. In this podcast featuring two highly experienced professionals (Reginald Labuschagne and Harris Gorre), we unpack the capital allocation and investment considerations. Full transcript included. Find it here>>>

  • Unlock the Stock: The recording of the recent presentation by Astoria Investments is available at this link>>>

  • Investec: The demographic shift in the world has major impacts on retirement planning. How can structured products help? Read it here>>>

LISTEN: Chasing Returns from the Sun

Not only can you invest in solar, but you can do it with the benefit of tax-enhanced returns thanks to current government policy. Tivon Loubser of Grovest joined me to discuss this.

(full transcript included)

Listen to the podcast here>>>


Local company news:


Raubex is celebrating 50 years in business and doing it in style, with results for the year ended February 2024 that look fantastic on almost every metric. Perhaps best of all, the order book has increased significantly as well, giving support to the new financial year.

Another business doing well is WeBuyCars, which is really sweating those car supermarket assets. Off a modest increase in inventory value, they managed to grow revenue and profits substantially.

Calgro M3 has declared a maiden dividend, which is something that shareholders have asked about for a while. They also did a very good job of turning water into wine, with profits up despite pressure on revenue. If you want to engage directly with the management team, then get the next Unlock the Stock in your diaries nice and early. Scheduled for 23rd May, you can register for free here>>>

Stor-Age has landed a management contract in the UK, as part of the strategy to boost ROE by managing assets on behalf of third parties.

Of course, we can't ignore what's going on at the top end of the market, with BHP sweetening its proposal to Anglo American with a more favourable exchange ratio i.e. more BHP shares per Anglo American share. The Anglo board was still having none of it.

Over at Vodacom, life is tough. They seem to have copied MTN's homework in terms of jumping with both feet into African territories with volatile currencies. Egypt is a big part of the story these days and that creates risk.

Finally, Insimbi Industrial Holdings released a cautionary announcement regarding a potential transaction and Mantengu Mining announced the acquisition of Birca Copper and Metals.

Get the details in Ghost Bites at this link>>>

 

LISTEN: Investing in Private Credit
(Reginald Labuschagne, Sanlam Private Wealth |
Harris Gorre, Grovepoint Investment Management)

Get ready to learn - and in a big way. Reginald Labuschagne and Harris Gorre shared their extensive insights into how private credit can be used by investors for returns and diversification. Full transcript included. Listen to the podcast here>>>

READ AND LISTEN: The Global Accelerator

Applications for the Global Accelerator close on 21 May, so make time to research the product this week if you are interested in 100% capital protection in dollars at maturity after five years, while giving exposure to global equity indices.

You can get the details if you listen to this podcast with Japie Lubbe of Investec Structured Products.

READ: Costa plenty - the hefty price of human error
(by Dominique Olivier)

The Costa Concordia disaster was a display of practically every human flaw you can think of. The captain of that ship is a very strong case for self-driving (or sailing) vehicles.

Dominique Olivier unpacks it in this great article>>>


International business news:


We've seen recent pressure at Apple in the Products segment, although there are many base effect reasons for this. We've also seen struggles at Microsoft in selling Xbox consoles, which is why that group acquired Activision Blizzard and is moving more towards the games rather than the hardware.

It's interesting to think about these hardware demand concerns in the context of Sony also reporting weakness in hardware, missing its forecast for unit sales of the PlayStation 5 for the full year. It did manage to sell 20.8 million units of the things, but original estimates were at 25 million and they were subsequently dropped to 21 million - a revised target that was still missed. The company also reported a 7% drop in profit for the year.

This week, we are covering another consumer favourite in Magic Markets Premium: Coca-Cola. If you're curious why this has been a staple of the Berkshire Hathaway portfolio, then subscribe to the platform here.

LISTEN: Cashing in on clean

There are so many investment opportunities stemming from South Africa’s energy transition.

In episode 4 of Investec’s The Current, discover how you can get some skin in the clean energy game. Hosted by Iman Rappetti, listen to the discussion here>>>

Macroeconomic Update

All eyes are on US inflation due to be released on Wednesday, with PPI due today as a precursor. If you would like to dig into this in detail, then the latest video from TreasuryONE will be useful to prepare you for the US data this week.

Key indicators: USD/ZAR R18.37; US 10-year 4.49%; Gold $2,344; Platinum ZAR R18,340; Brent Crude $83.45

This macroeconomic update is based on TreasuryONE's morning update.