06/09/2020
Today

A Focus on Valuations Is the Time-Tested Path to Lousy Returns

Ken Fisher, RCM

"Too pricey, still!" So say a plethora of pessimistic pundits--about stocks. With price/earnings ratios and other valuation metrics quickly regaining on?even...

May Jobs Report Doesn't Really Say What We 'Think' It Says

Zachary Karabell, Time

We're in a state of confusion about our economy. Zachary Karabell on why the recent jobs report doesn't offer us much clarity.

Will the Jobs Report Destroy Jobs By Ending Gov't Support?

Paul Krugman, NYT

An uptick, but the economy is still on life support.

Only Economists Could Believe the Fed's 'Yield Caps' Will Work

John Tamny, RCM

With oil back in the $40/barrel range, U.S. oil producers are slowly re-opening wells. Financing of this activity was pretty scarce back in April since lenders no longer trusted the inventory of...

Market Is Dangerously Unhinged From Recession Reality

Kevin Carmichael, MSNBC

Coronavirus - stocks and stock market are soaring despite the pandemic. But a recession is officially here, which means the economy is in trouble.

NBER Experts Are Wrong. The Recession Began In March

Rex Nutting, MarketWatch

If authorities get the little things wrong, how can they hope to inspire confidence about the big things?

Do Freedom & Mass Affluence Foretell U.S. Decline?

Reuven Brenner, Law & Liberty

For the first time in memory, the United States had severe restrictions on individual freedom in place during the Jewish celebration of Passover—a holiday that, by tradition, is associated with freedom and celebrations with family.

Social Media Platforms Need Form of Government Regulation

Philip Napoli, The Hill

The president's actions bolster the most potent argument against social media regulation â?" that any regulatory intervention is fundamentally a political tool to be abused by the administration in power.

Microbonds Could Help Cities Achieve Fiscal Recovery

Gordon Feller, City Journal

A financial tool that could help cities achieve a sustainable fiscal recovery

U.S. Airlines Look Forward to Leading Economic Recovery

Rebecca Spicer, USAT

Summer travel is an American tradition. Last summer, travelers were flying in record numbers. The Transportation Security Administration screened nearly 2.8 million people in a single day. This year, amid COVID-19, TSA is seeing record lows.

4G Changed the World, Speaks to Huge Opportunities In 5G

Hossein Moiin, RCM

I had a front row seat as the CTO of Nokia Networks when the 4G revolution unfolded. As many nations struggled to justify the deployment of yet another mobile network, the United States acted swiftly...

In Supporting 'Land Grab', GOP Unwittingly Aids Socialism

Myron Ebell, Examiner

Many Republicans in Congress made political hay by labeling the Green New Deal as "socialism." Surprisingly, too many of these same Republicans are now the leading supporters of a major piece of socialist legislation. Unlike the Green New Deal, which was defeated in the Senate with 57 votes against and none in favor (with 43 Democrats voting present), the Senate is on the verge of passing the Great America Outdoors Act with Republican support, plus almost unanimous Democratic support.

Not Sure What Better-Than-Expected Jobs Rpt. Means

Richard Moody, Regions Bank

Hiring Activity Returns, but Labor Isn't Recovered

Pat O'Hare, Briefing.com

There's Reason to Remain Concerned About Growth

Allison Schrager, Manhattan Inst.

But in these unprecedented times, there is reason to remain concerned.

Disconnect the Dots: Main Street vs. Wall Street

Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab

The dominant question we've been getting from investors is about the perceived disconnect between what's happening on Main Street and what's happening on Wall Street.

The American States Where Unemployment Is the Highest

Abigail Devereaux, AIER

The novel coronavirus has done severe economic damage all over the globe. The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) stated on June 1, 2020 that it could take nearly a decade for the economy to grow back to levels forecasted this January. As economists, we want to understand just how much damage has been done to what people and sectors and how that damage was perpetrated. There’s usually more than one perp in a Depression.

The Best 50-Day Market Rally Ever

Ryan Detrick, LPL Financial Research

Market Blog In many ways, what we've seen so far in 2020 has been both record-breaking and devastating. From the S&P 500 Index peak on February 19 to the bear market lows March 23, stocks lost ?

New Extraordinary Normal for Central Banking?

Allison Schrager, Manhattan Institute

The feds never normalized their balance sheet after the last financial crisis, and now after coronavirus, the fed's balance sheet is more than $7 trillion.

What Dick Parsons Endured to Become One of First Black CEOs

Matt Egan, CNN

In the early 2000s, Dick Parsons was part of the first wave of black CEOs in Corporate America. The Time Warner boss predicted at the time that the wave was just beginning.

Home Prices Are Rising, Along With Post-C19 Demand

Ann Carrns, New York Times

The real estate market is challenging this spring â?" all the more so because lenders are checking, and rechecking, borrowers' finances in response to the economic turmoil of the pandemic.

Recovery's Diff Meaning for Dems, GOP

Ayalla Ruvio, Forrest Morgeson & Tomas Hult, Hill

Retailers need to plan for politicized consumerism when the COVID-19 pandemic fades.

Let's Ask Gold Old "Money Santa" For a Better Tax System

Nathan Lewis, Forbes

Since Deficit's Don't Matter now, can we have a tax system that is Flat and also Uniform?

Best News Of 2020: Signs That U.S. Is Bouncing Back Fast

Editorial, New York Post

Just when it felt like the country was completely falling apart comes great news: surprising, unprecedented job growth along with clear signs that the national pandemic has ebbed far from its peak.

Look at Canceled Internships As a Career Opportunity

Vanessa Chan, USA Today

As COVID-19's effects were rippling globally last spring, student internships were among the dominoes that started to thud — significantly shortened or in some cases entirely canceled. As the Undergraduate Chair of the Materials Science and Engineering Department at the University of Pennsylvania, my calendar was filled with Zoom meetings with students who wanted to see if I could help. As a former McKinsey partner, I have many corporate connections and they wanted to know if I could introduce them to my network as they scrambled for new opportunities.

Is Continued Work After Retirement Right Path For You?

Katie Brockman, Motley Fool

For many people, retirement is a lifelong goal, and you'll need to save consistently for decades to achieve it. But for more and more workers, retirement is becoming unreachable, no matter how hard they work for it. Roughly 40% of people believe they'll never be able to retire at all, according to a recent survey from Social Security advice site SimplyWise. In addition, around 67% of workers plan to retire but expect to keep working to some degree.

Here's a Roadmap If You're Planning To Retire In Your '60s

Chad Parks, MarketWatch

You?ll have different needs in all stages of life

Uncertainty Has Seldom Been Higher; Neither Have Stocks

Ben Inker, GMO

At the March lows, most risk assets appeared to be fair value or cheap, even assuming a moderate hit to fair value from a severe recession. In our multi-asset portfolios, we added to our holdings of equities and credit over the few weeks around the lows.

Contrarian Take: There's Still Too Many Bears Out There

Mark Hulbert, MarketWatch

Nasdaq market timers? short-term trading portfolios are almost 50% in cash on average

It Sure Looks Like A V Shaped Recovery

Jesse Pound, CNBC

A better-than-expected jobs report is the latest data point that shows a possible quick recovery for the U.S. economy.

Beware of Banks Bearing Promises

John Rekenthaler, Morningstar

Too often, structured products and exchange-traded notes mislead their buyers.

Fisher Investments on Election-Year Uncertainty: This, Too, Shall Pass

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

Ken Fisher on Nixing the VIX

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

Will Uncle Sam Force Big Tech to Break Up?

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

Shattering the Debt Ceiling Myth

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

Now Is The Time For A Great Reset

Klaus Schwab, World Economic Forum

The changes we have already seen in response to COVID-19 prove that a reset of our economic and social foundations is possible. Professor Klaus Schwab outlines how to achieve it.

The Return Of The Milkman

Lindsay Campbell, Modern Farmer

Demand for the old delivery system has skyrocketed amid COVID-19.

Chasing The FOMO Titanic Rally

Macromon, Global Macro Monitor

This whole FOMO thingy is kind of perplexing to us.

The Craziest Charts of the Year (So Far)

Ben Carlson, A Wealth Of Common Sense

"Here's the pitch. Just a bit outside."

More People Going Out Has Employment Going Up

Dave Sekera, Morningstar

Restaurants and bars account for most of the surprising increase in jobs; our thesis holds that the long-term trend in GDP will not be significantly altered by the coronavirus.

Looking Down Right Now

Sandwichman, EconoSpeak

Trump's cynical invoking of George Floyd yesterday has a history that explains what he imagined he was doing.

Why Economic Predictions Are Useless Right Now

Branko Milanovic, Pro Market

The Covid-19 crisis is unprecedented in its global scope and open-ended, uncontrollable progress. By their very nature, the models that economists often use to make predictions cannot take into account the unpredictable social and political shocks we might face.
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