09/18/2020
Today

Can the Stock Market Predict Biden v Trump?

Jessica Menton & Jim Sergent, USA Today

The worst pandemic in a century and one of the sharpest downturns since the Great Depression are making the usual winning signs harder to read.

Billionaire Backers: Explore Money Behind Biden & Trump

Michela Tindera, Forbes

Billionaires' fortunes afford them sweeping influence in our economy (through the companies they run), our society (through the products they develop) and our politics (through the candidates they fund).

IPOs Give the Impression of a Stock Market Like 1999

Therese Poletti, MarketWatch

First-day returns for market debuts are at their highest level since the bubble, professor says, and that data doesn?t include Snowflake and the rest of this week?s big software debuts

We Live In One Nation, but Don't Inhabit the Same Economy

Zachary Karabell, Time

We are a tale of too many economies. There are no one-size fits all solutions, though trillion dollars more of spending surely will help.

Time for Congress to Act on Stimulus. What We Need.

Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, CNN

The president should work with Congress on a stimulus bill that includes $500 billion in flexible aid to states so they can continue their pandemic response efforts and avoid drastic cuts to services that will only worsen the economic slowdown and prolong the recovery.

2nd Trump Term Can Bring Back Pre-Covid Economy

Adam Brandon, The Examiner

The latest report from the Census Bureau on income and poverty shows that President Trump's pro-growth economic agenda brought the pre-pandemic economy to soaring new heights. Not only did we see significant decreases in poverty, but median household income rose to a historic high in 2019 before states instituted sweeping lockdowns that put millions of people out of work and on to the government's payroll.

A Coronavirus Relief Bill To Please Both Sides

Alex Brill & Betsey Stevenson, The Hill

Here are some ideas to enact this awaited national measure.

Wake Up, You Won't Solve Lockdowns w/More Central Planning

John Tamny, RCM

To read the lofty coronavirus relief proposals from Democrats and Republicans is to detect confusion about what powers economic growth. Neither side gets it. Up front, neither Democrats nor Republicans have asked a simple question: was anyone calling for Congress and the President to craft a “stimulus” program in February? The question answers itself. No one was asking for economic relief simply because it wasn’t needed.

People Need Money Now. $1.5T Can Make It Happen

Jay Shambaugh, New York Times

A compromise struck by House Democrats and Republicans to deliver aid during the pandemic merits consideration.

Dollar Weakness, or Dollar Crash?

Thomas Kirchner & Paul Hoffmeister, RealClearMarkets

Dollar has depreciated 10% since March. Don’t expect this or the next administration to talk up the Dollar. Central bank Dollar holdings reach new record. The Dollar has shown weakness during the second and third quarters, with the trade-weighted Dollar Index (DXY) falling from a high of almost 103 in March to a low of 92 at the end of August. The Dollar’s decline was even slightly more pronounced against the Euro: it fell from a high of 1.08 on March 23rd to a low of 1.20 on September 1st. These moves correspond roughly to a 10% depreciation of the...

Don't Presume 'Forward Guidance' Guides the Fed

Market Minder, Fisher Investments

That seemingly clear and obvious "forward guidance?" It still doesn't foretell Fed policy.

If Jerome Powell Has a Middle Name, It Might Well Be Bert

Jerome Powell, RCM

It has been a long time since Bert the Turtle has been a mainstream star. For many of the Baby Boomer generation, and even some Gen X-ers, who could forget the cartoon reptile wearing his silly pith helmet jumping into his shell whenever his monkey nemesis set off a firecracker? Bert was the face of “duck and cover”, once a serious effort about a very serious matter that very quickly became the object of derision and spoof. The Soviet Union detonated its first atomic bomb (using stolen technology, of course) in 1949. President Truman turned to the National Security Resource Board,...

Recovery on Track, But Weakness Signs

Brad McMillan, Commonwealth Financial Network

Brexit Is Back: The Endgame For Investors

Jeffrey Kleintop, Charles Schwab

The risk of a "no deal" Brexit and the potential economic harm that accompanies it increased last week.

Residential: Headline Miss Masks a Strong Print

Richard Moody, Regions Bank

What If Your Employer Suspends 401(k) Match?

Carrie Schwab-Pomerantz, Schwab

Has your employer suspended your 401(k) match? That doesn't mean you should stop contributing, says Carrie Schwab-Pomerantz. Here's why.

The Future of Work and the Quality of Life

Michael Hendrix, Manhattan Institute

The Manhattan Institute commissioned the Siena College Research Institute to survey New York City adults earning at least $100,000 a year to understand their views on the future of work and the quality of life in the city and their likelihood of leaving. The poll was conducted during July...

Why the Fed Bond Binge Will Boost Inflation

Benn Steil & Benjamin Della Rocca, CFR

After the 2008 financial crisis, it took five years of quantitative easing (QE) for the Fed's balance sheet to grow $1.8 trillion. This year, once th?

Retail Sales: Obvious Answer Isn't Always Correct One

Richard Moody, Regions Bank

Ultimate Stock Pickers' Top 10 Dividend-Yielding Stocks

Eric Compton, Morningstar

Many of the highest-yielding names are undervalued today.

Small Tech Stocks Soar as the Future Arrives Early

Matt Phillips, The New York Times

The giants aren't the only ones. A subset of software, streaming, security and e-commerce firms are also posting eye-popping gains.

The Benefits Of Challenging The Obvious

Jack Forehand, Validea

If it's obvious it is probably wrong.

Entrepreneurs Find Ways To Overcome Amid Pandemic

Joyce M. Rosenberg, CSM

The pandemic has forced a lot of new business owners to rethink their strategies. A recession might seem like the worst time to start a new business, but enterprising Americans are taking the plunge.

Abenomics After Abe

Akira Kawamoto, Project Syndicate

Reviving Japan's sluggish economy will require incoming Prime Minister Yoshihide Suga to make a clear break from his predecessor and patron, Shinzo Abe, and pursue wide-ranging structural reforms. Suga's best strategy might therefore be to call a snap general election to gain the popular mandate he will need.

Our Last Chance to Save Music Venues Is Right Now

Jordan Weissmann, Slate

Thanks to a poorly designed relief effort and a never-ending pandemic, they might be the most screwed businesses of the coronavirus era.

Trump Sees a U.S. That is Gone, Biden The U.S. To Come

Michael Hiltzik, LA Times

Trump's economic vision looks to a long-gone America; Biden's to the next stage.

Why Some States Are Recovering Faster Than Others

Annalyn Kurtz, CNN Business

Maine, Rhode Island and Vermont are faring better than most states, but Hawaii's economy is sputtering. Here are some reasons why.

Congress Should Resist Calls to Boost Unemployment Benefits

Joe Horvath, Hill

Continuing to flood UI with cash will only further jeopardize our small businesses â?" and risk workers not having a job to come back to at all.

Some of the Potential Pitfalls of Roth IRA Conversions

Robert Powell, USA Today

Fisher Investments on Election-Year Uncertainty: This, Too, Shall Pass

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

Ken Fisher on Nixing the VIX

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

Will Uncle Sam Force Big Tech to Break Up?

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

Shattering the Debt Ceiling Myth

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

Why Stimulus Checks Could Cost Americans Dearly

Noah Manskar, New York Post

Massive federal spending meant to blunt the coronavirus's economic impact could have long-term costs, experts say, meaning those stimulus checks might not be free money after all.

10 Easy Ways to Save $870,000

Richard Quinn, MarketWatch

Small amounts over the long haul can buy you a better retirement

Prepare For Persistent High Volatility

David Merkel, The Aleph Blog

When interest rates are low, volatility is high.

The Fault, Dear Investor, Is In You

Vishal Khandelwal, Safal Niveshak

The fault, dear Brutus, is not in our stars....

America's Sweden

Amelia Janaskie, American Institute for Economic Research

South Dakota has taken an approach to the virus similar to Sweden's.

The Strange Story Of Negative Oil Prices

Leah McGrath Goodman, Institutional Investor

Tracking the culprits behind April 20.

How To Destroy A Career In Five Hours

Amanda Cantrell, Institutional Investor

The inside story of hedge fund Marble Ridge's disastrous day.
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