11/10/2020
Today

China's Fast Rebound Should Have Investors Bullish About U.S.

Ken Fisher, RCM

China! Just the word stirs strong American emotions. For years many have seen its giant manufacturing engine as a threat to U.S. jobs, plus the Chinese Communist Party’s new five-year plan to turbocharge its Tech sector further fuels those fears. Others see China’s rise as threatening a new cold war, with its Hong Kong crackdown signaling more aggressive tactics. Telling you how to think about these and many other Chinese sociopolitical issues is beyond me. But for investors, it is critical to understand that stocks don’t view China—or any country—through a...

The S&P's Return Over Next 10 Months Won't Resemble Last 10

Mark Hulbert, MW

This new way to predict the U.S. market sees stocks barely beating inflation over the next decade

The Myth of Trump's Economically 'Populist' Coalition

Chris Pope, Manhattan Institute

Donald Trump’s 2016 insurgent campaign caused much excitement among some right-leaning intellectuals, who hoped that it might encourage the Republican party to shed its traditional economic policy commitments in favor of a new populist ideology serving a working-class base. Yet, while Trump has focused more on regional interests particular to Rust Belt swing states than previous GOP candidates, in terms of gender, race, and social class, the coalition of voters who turned out to vote for Donald Trump in 2020 was remarkably similar to those who did so for Mitt Romney in 2012.

Business Leaders See a Chance to Exit Culture Wars

David Gelles, New York Times

Since President Trump took office, corporate America has been thrust into the culture wars like never before. The atmosphere would probably be different with a Biden administration.

The Biden Presidency & Economy: What You Need To Know

Janet Novack, Forbes

The president-elect has plans for everything from Covid-19 to taxes to the minimum wage. Here is a roundup looking at changes you can expect in a dozen key areas, though how much he gets done likely depends on control of the Senate.

CA's Alleged Consumer Protections May Be National Burden

Andrew Wilford, RCM

In June of 2018, California made waves by passing the California Consumer Privacy Act (CCPA), legislation that aimed to regulate business collection and dissemination of consumer data. Because of the size of California’s economy, the reach of the CCPA extended far beyond the Golden State’s borders. On November 3, Californians voted to expand the scope of the law even further, potentially kicking off another wave of burdensome consumer privacy regulations among other states. While protecting consumer privacy is a laudable goal, the CCPA places significant compliance burdens on...

A Vaccine Might Be Coming, But This Economy Needs Stimulus

Matt Egan, CNN

The coronavirus-ravaged economy just received a jolt of something it hasn't experienced in months: hope.

de Blasio Warns Job Cuts While Giving Unions Favors

Seth Barron, New York Post

In the spring of 2020, as New York City faced a massive decline in revenue and a $10 billion deficit, Mayor Bill de Blasio began warning that budget cuts were imminent and that municipal workers might face layoffs, unless he could get help from the federal government.

Agreeing and Disagreeing w/Tyler Cowen On Covid-19

Donald Boudreaux, AIER

I love books. Physical books. I buy plenty of them. Needing another bookcase, on Saturday I drove twenty-seven miles to the nearest IKEA store to seek one out – one to match another that I bought from IKEA not long ago. Should have been a snap.

The True Cost Of The So-Called 'Global Energy Transition'

Irina Slav, OilPrice.com

The global energy transition will cost the world an estimated $15 trillion over the next three decades

Want to Travel at 600 MPH In a Tube? It Could Happen

Nathan Bomey, USA Today

Sick of flying or driving to your destination? In the coming years, you may be able to reach your destination by taking an ultra-high-speed pod that zips through a vacuum in a metal tube. Virgin Hyperloop took a step closer to making its high-speed transit technology a reality on Sunday with the first official test of the system with humans inside the pod.

French Winemaker Talks Me Through His Grand Collection

Jonathan Russo, Worth

During a recent virtual tasting, billed as "The Ultimate French Wine Experience," Gérard Bertrand walked us through a collection of his wines.

What to Expect from the "Lame Duck" Congress

Michael Townsend, Charles Schwab

Debate over another round of coronavirus aid and economic stimulus likely will be at the top of the agenda for the post-election session.

A Bullish Spin On a Very Good Week for the Stock Market

Pat O'Hare, Briefing.com

Charitable Donations: The Basics of Giving

Hayden Adams, Charles Schwab

Helpful tax tips for your end-of-year charitable contributions, including stock donations.

Georgia On Our Minds. Most Bullish Power Split

Market Minder, Fisher Investments

As both Georgian Senate seats potentially head to a runoff, we explore the popular theory that a Democratic presidency and split Congress is the most bullish combo.

How Can I Make Most of My Stock Options?

Carrie Schwab-Pomerantz, Charles Schwab

Stock options can give your compensation a significant boost, but they can also be confusing. Carrie Schwab-Pomerantz explains what you need to know.

The UK's New National Lockdown

Market Minder, Fisher Investments

Long-term investors benefit from considering a couple of key factors, in our view.

Some Initial Election Thoughts

Brad McMillan, Commonwealth Financial Network

Both Sides Abandon Workers

Jenin Younes, American Institute for Economic Research

About four years ago, on one of the many days I was lamenting the election of Donald Trump, a friend handed me a copy of Listen, Liberal: Or What Ever Happened to the Party of the People? by Thomas Frank. My friend remarked that he was less concerned about Trump becoming president than the circumstances that led to a former reality TV show host with authoritarian leanings attaining the highest office in the land.

More Workers Get Help in Building Rainy Day Savings

Ann Carrns, New York Times

The pandemic has shown the need for a financial cushion. Now, some companies are offering programs that automatically deduct money from paychecks.

Inflation Is Election Outcome Americans Can Count On

Michael Wilkerson, The Hill

As both citizens and investors, now is a good time to take care and take cover. While we should hope for the best, I suspect we haven't seen the worst of it yet.

One Clear Election Loser: The "Green New Deal"

Steven Milloy, Washington Examiner

Despite the mixed signals from the 2020 election, the exit polling indicated one clear loser: the Green New Deal.

Don't Count On Big Stimulus Plan In a Lame Duck Session

Sarah Hansen, Forbes

The next Covid-19 relief bill is likely to be smaller and it may not pass until next year.

As DOJ Puts Scalpel to Google, Big Is Allegedly Bad

Asheesh Agarwal, Law & Liberty

In 1883, Otto von Bismarck, the brilliant Iron Chancellor of Germany, enacted a law to provide health insurance to German factory workers. Bismarck didn’t care about the law’s policy goals, but he wanted to stem the rising tide of socialism supported by Germany’s Social Democrats. Perhaps Attorney General Bill Barr has been re-reading his history. A few weeks ago, the Department of Justice filed its long-awaited antitrust lawsuit against Google. The lawsuit approaches Google with a scalpel, rather than a sledgehammer, and at most may result in a handful of minor...

Is Rupert Murdoch's Media Empire Turning On Donald Trump?

Brian Stelter, CNN

Are Fox News and Murdoch world turning on Trump?

For Markets, The Best of All Possible Worlds

Willem H. Buiter, Project Syndicate

To electoral observers who are heavily invested in the partisan outcome of the US elections, the delays in counting and free-wheeling allegations of fraud are enough to make November 2020 feel like the apocalypse. So why have stock prices gone on another tear?

Can Warren Buffett Forecast the Stock Market?

John Rekenthaler, Morningstar

Yes he can, and perhaps accurately.

These People Own the Most Land in America

Grant Suneson, 24/7 Wall Street

The biggest private owners of land in America.

Consolidation Is Killing Jobs In The Shale Patch

Tsvetana Paraskova, OilPrice.com

The long-awaited consolidation in the U.S. shale patch is well underway, but as the M&A frenzy continues, job losses continue to pile up

Ken Fisher on Nixing the VIX

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

Will Uncle Sam Force Big Tech to Break Up?

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

Shattering the Debt Ceiling Myth

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

Getting The Bird Back Into Its (Old) Cage

Jeffrey P. Snider, Alhambra Investments

The number illusion is a logical fallacy of sorts, an appeal to the authority of what looks like objectivity. You can't argue with math.

A Guaranteed 12% Return? Really?

Brett Arends, MarketWatch

DOJ charges 'Dr. Cash' with securities fraud. What investors need to know

America's Problems Won't Go Away With Donald Trump

Editors, Quillette

America has serious problems. It's time to stop blaming them on "Trumpism".

What's the Worst a Lame-Duck Administration Can Do?

Rebecca Onion, Slate

Consider the entirely on purpose "Panic of 1893."

Trump Remais America's Dominant Politician

Scott Grannis, The Money Illusion

It’s good that Trump lost, but there’s actually no reason to celebrate. Trumpism has not gone away, and is unlikely to do so.

Covid Cycles

John Cochrane, The Grumpy Economist

The human reaction to COVID creates cycles.

A Return To Normal

Joshua M Brown, The Reformed Broker

I watched the Joe Biden and Kamala Harris families take the stage last night to celebrate Biden’s election win. I was struck by how normal and sweet and nice they all seemed. I don’t agree with everything they want to do politically, but they’re not coming in as arsonists either.
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