03/11/2021
Today

Despite Its Ties, the Buffett Indicator Isn't Predictive

Market Minder, Fisher Investments

Despite the titular tie to arguably the greatest living investor, this valuation measure lacks predictive power.

Valuation Vs. Cheapness In Tactical Allocation

Derek Bergen, Applied Finance Group

Several weeks ago, Applied Finance hosted a webcast where we reviewed aggregate market valuation characteristics across the US equity landscape. In this, we noted a structural intrinsic value preference towards growth stocks since 2002. While a mild value preference formed in April 2020, it has since normalized as value stocks have outperformed over the last two quarters. This observation is at odds with a recent publication from a traditional value manager (The Long Run Is Lying to You, AQR), which claims a historic book-to-price spread in favor of value stocks.

Reasons Why Smart Investors Are Buying BTC

Alex Tapscott, American Consequences

If you look past the crypto hype, you'll notice one vital truth -- bitcoin is more than a meme investment: it's the future of money itself.

Logic Vanishes When 'Manufacturing' & 'Dollar' Are Discussed

John Tamny, RCM

"Because a strong dollar lowers the price of imports and raises the price of exports, it gives foreign companies an advantage over American competitors and can drag down U.S. employment." Those are the words of Noam Scheiber, a business writer for the New York Times. The 19th century political economist Frederic Bastiat would have had some fun with Scheiber's confidently stated, but untrue assertion. The idea that nirvana would follow Treasury devaluing the dollar is a tad simplistic, and blind to the unseen that Bastiat always urged economic thinkers to keep top of mind. Maybe Scheiber just...

Can You Take Home Office Tax Deduction?

Kimberly Lankford, U.S. News & World Report

A question all-too-many are asking right now after a year of working at home.

Biden Can Fund His Initiatives By Detecting Tax Cheating

Chye-Ching Huang, NYT

The I.R.S. is often unable to detect or fight blatant tax cheating by the rich and big businesses. Restoring the missing revenue is a solution that pays for itself.

Biden Endorsed a Law That Endangers 57M Jobs

Brad Polumbo, Washington Examiner

With the rise of gig economy jobs such as driving for Uber and other forms of independent work enabled by the digital era, more than 57 million Americans now work as freelancers in some capacity. But President Biden just endorsed a radical labor law that endangers their livelihood.

California's War On "Gig" Econ. Jobs Goes National

Kerry Jackson, RealClearMarkets

Assembly Bill 5, an unmistakable gift to labor unions from the California State Legislature, which saw the surge of independent contract workers as a source of easy money if they could be organized, set off more outrage than any California law in memory. Thousands lost their jobs because AB5 essentially outlawed gig work. While the losses are largely confined to California, the war on jobs isn't. Lawmakers elsewhere are also coming for freelance workers. Legislatures in at least four states - New York, New Jersey, Illinois, and Washington - have introduced laws similar to AB5. Massachusetts...

President Biden Just Launched the Second War On Poverty

Dylan Matthews, Vox

The first war on poverty cut poverty in half. Joe Biden could do it again with the American Rescue Plan.

Is President Biden Risking Future to Juice Present?

James Pethokoukis, The Week

Official site of The Week Magazine, offering commentary and analysis of the day's breaking news and current events as well as arts, entertainment, people and gossip, and political cartoons.

Cuomo Crisis May Set Up More State Fiscal Madness

E.J. McMahon, New York Post

Gov. Andrew Cuomo's political meltdown couldn't have happened at a more critical time in New York state's budget process.

AARP's Unholy Alliance w/Insurance Companies

Jonathan Decker, RealClearMarkets

A lawsuit currently being pursued by Ohio Attorney General David Yost against OptumRx, a pharmacy benefit manager (PBM), alleges that the company bilked Ohio state coffers of more than $1.3 million on generic medications. If true, taxpayers and patients should be outraged. But this is far from the only reason to distrust PBMs. PBMs are the corporate middlemen that drive the costs of drugs up for patients in pursuit of their own profits. Seniors, in particular, who rely on these medications in greater numbers, pay a heavy price.

Corporate Bonds: Is a "Zombie" Apocalypse Coming?

Collin Martin, Charles Schwab

With interest rates rising, "zombie companies" may have to refinance debt at higher rates.

Feb. CPI: Faster Inflation Coming, But Is It Staying?

Richard Moody, Regions Bank

The Fed Can't Fix Corona-Lockdowns

Brian Wesbury & Robert Stein, First Trust Advisors

Making Sense of Your Tax Refund

Hayden Adams, Charles Schwab

Was your tax refund smaller than in previous years? Did you owe more than usual? Here's why.

Big Market Delusion: Electric Vehicles

Rob Arnott, Lillian Wu, Brad Cornell @RA_Insights

The siren song of a "big market"â?"opened through innovation or disruption, such as the newly beloved electric vehicles marketâ?"lures investors to enthusiastically push up prices of all firms in the industry as if each will be a major winner. The reality is that as competitors in an evolving industry, some will fail. Pricing each company's stock without regard to this fact is the "big market delusion."

Consumer Spending Set to Surge....Or Not

Richard Moody, Regions Bank

A Pullback Largely Driven by Tech & Growth Stocks

Troy Bombardia, Fundamental

Is Diversification Finally Working?

Ben Carlson, A Wealth Of Common Sense

One of the strange subplots of the past decade or so in the markets is bad behavior has been rewarded. That may finally be ending.

The Conventional Investor's Guide to Bitcoin

John Rekenthaler, @MorningstarInc

Is the currency worth owning?

Who Needs a Digital Dollar?

Barry Eichengreen, @prosyn

Recently, the idea of a digital greenback elicited support from US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell. Ultimately, the advantages of a digital dollar will need to be weighed against the potentially high costs and significant risks to the financial system that come with it.

Speedy Vaccines Are Boosting King Dollar

Julia Horowitz & CNN Business, CNN

Heading into 2021, most of Wall Street was in agreement: the US dollar, which spiked a year ago as Covid-19 sent markets into a tailspin, was poised to stay on the back foot for some time.

Investing: The Greatest Show On Earth

Morgan Housel, Morgan Housel

Investing is a broader field than it looks, and there is so much to learn about it outside of the narrow lens of finance.

Beyond Stimulus: Gen Z's High Speed Rail Dream

Gab Birenbaum, Vox

Have you seen that high-speed rail map on Twitter? Gen Z is hoping President Biden has.

Amazon And the Breaking of Baltimore

Alec MacGillis, The New York Times

Regional inequality has deepened across the country.

The Investing Advice I Would Give My 25-Year Old Self

Bayer & Saletta & Volkman, MF

Do you know that old saying that hindsight is 20/20? If we all were able to find a time machine to go back to our mid-20s and start our investing journeys all over again, we know one thing for sure - we'd be very rich at this point in our lives!

Let's Break C19 Tyranny Silence

Don Boudreaux, American Institute for Economic Research

From July 1997 until August 2001 I was president of the Foundation for Economic Education("FEE"). Founded in 1946 by Leonard Read (1898-1983), FEE joined with AIER (founded in 1933) in pioneering, during post-war America, the nourishment and spread of the ideas and ideals of classical liberalism.

Drive-Throughs That Predict Orders? Restaurants Think Fast

Julie Creswell, NYT

Inspired by pandemic lessons that kept customers in cars, chains are adding more lanes and curbside pickup, improving apps and testing menu boards that use artificial intelligence.

Fisher Investments on Election-Year Uncertainty: This, Too, Shall Pass

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

Ken Fisher on Nixing the VIX

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

Shattering the Debt Ceiling Myth

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

Is Value Back? Or Is It An Illusion?

Jack Forehand, Validea

Value has outperformed since the bottom last year but there is more going on here than meets the eye.

Elizabeth Warren's Impoverished Wealth Tax Proposal

Sukhayl Niyazov, City Journal

It fails as a revenue generator and as a tool to deliver fairness.

Why Investors Will Keep Up a 'Dash for Trash'

Christine Idzelis, Institutional Investor

"Inflation is like Bigfoot," says a Natixis portfolio manager.

Sam Peltzman Drops the Mic

Mungowitz, Kids Prefer Cheese

Regulations have to take into account the likely response of citizens, based on expectations. You can't just twirl dials and pull levers when it comes to public policy.

How Much Did COVID Cost In US/China Trade?

Ironman, Political Calculations

One year and one coronavirus pandemic after the U.S. and China agreed to the 'Phase 1' trade deal in January 2020, the trailing twelve month average of the combined value of goods traded between the two countries has returned to its November 2019 level.

14 Undervalued Small-Cap Stocks

Susan Dziubinski, @MorningstarInc

These stocks all have narrow or wide economic moats and are undervalued by our metrics.

The Biggest Economic Experiment in History

Ben Carlson, A Wealth Of Common Sense

This is an economic experiment on a massive scale the likes of which this country has never seen before.
View in browser | Unsubscribe | Update preferences

Thank you for joining RealClearMarkets today. 

Copyright © 2021 RealClearHoldings, All rights reserved. 
RealClearHoldings
666 Dundee Road
Bldg. 600
Northbrook, IL 60062

Add us to your address book