09/25/2021
Today

Goldilocks Is Dying

Nouriel Roubini, Project Syndicate

Given today's high debt ratios, supply-side risks, and ultra-loose monetary and fiscal policies, the rosy scenario that is currently priced into financial markets may turn out to be a pipe dream. Over the medium term, a variety of persistent negative supply shocks could turn today's mild stagflation into a severe case.

Could The Delta Wave Reverse The Recovery?

Ben Casselman, New York Times

Some businesses are still hurting, and federal aid has wound down. But economists see sources of resilience and signs of strength.

Cutting Off Jobless Benefits Didn't Fix the Economy

Jordan Weissmann, Slate

Business owners and conservatives insisted on yanking away benefits. If it wasn't productive, then it was just cruel.

Is CCP Meltdown Looming In China?

Seth Berenzweig & John Tamny, The Capitol Brief

Legal analyst Seth Berenzweig and RealClearMarkets author John Tamny discuss.

No Escape From The Evergrande Effect

Wei He, Evergreen Gavekal

Fears about the potential systemic risks posed by troubled property developer China Evergrande Group reverberated through global financial markets on Monday.

4 Stocks to Watch Amid Housing Demand Boom

Sachin Nagarajan, Morningstar

These companies stand to gain as the U.S. housing market takes off.

Health-Care Pricing Doesn't Work. Can DC Fix It?

Ryan Cooper, The Week

American medical prices are a Kafkaesque nightmare

How A Single Missing Part Unleashes Industrial Hell

Scott Horsley, NPR

U.S. manufacturers are still struggling to keep pace with booming demand. The culprit? Sometimes, it's a single missing part.

Jewish Tradition Shows How To Share The Wealth

Michael Eisenberg, City Journal

The Jewish holiday of Sukkot reminds us that economic opportunity must be widely available.

Let's Cut Through the Noise In Loud Markets

Trish Regan, American Consequences

Whether it's Congress quibbling over the debt ceiling or China's Lehman moment, here's how to navigate the stock market headline hype.

The Trillion Dollar Coin Idea Is Back. And It Still Won't Work

Chris Isidore, CNN

If it's debt ceiling crisis season, then it's also time for the craziest solution to the problem: Getting President Joe Biden to issue a $1 trillion coin.

Mass Student Loan Forgiveness Is Already Happening

Mike Riggs, Reason

Biden is using executive authority to write off debts for some borrowers, while a Bush-era law could have even bigger implications.

What to Do in the Case of Sustained Inflation

James Montier, GMO

We look at various instruments that might be thought to protect your portfolio from an inflationary outcome, whether as an inflation hedge or as a store of value.

How COVID Changed Americans' Spending

Ironman, Political Calculations

The arrival of the coronavirus pandemic in the United States in March 2020 and, perhaps more significantly, the lockdown measures that state and local governments imposed on Americans as their response had a major impact on how Americans spent money in 2020.

Did I Miss the Value Turn?

Rob Arnott & Vitali Kalesnik & Lillian Wu, Research Affiliates

The value rebound that started in September 2020 gave up nearly half its gains by mid-May 2021 as the recovery faltered with the onslaught of the highly contagious Delta variant. But vaccination has proven highly effective, and as the unvaccinated around the world become vaccinated, the prospect of a reinvigorated economy is good. Is now a second chance to rebalance into value stocks?

Beware of These AMT Triggers

Hayden Adams, Charles Schwab

For 2021, will you have to pay alternative minimum tax? Here's what you should know about the AMT and the steps you can take to potentially avoid it.

August Residential: Multi-Family Does Heaving Lifting

Richard Moody, Regions

Will Evergrande Take Down China, World Markets?

Brad McMillan, Commonwealth

Is Evergrande just another corporate bankruptcy or something more? Commonwealth CIO Brad McMillan examines the risks for China and the world markets.

America's Losing China Strategy

Anne O. Krueger, Project Syndicate

After declaring that "America is back" and rejecting almost everything that Donald Trump represented, the Biden administration seemed poised to reclaim the mantle of US leadership within the open market-oriented international order. Yet in its strategy to counter China, it is behaving utterly Trumpian.

Benjamin Graham vs. Jesse Livermore

Ben Carlson, A Wealth Of Common Sense

If we do a tale of the tape, you'll notice many differences between these two legends.

The 6 Highest Yielding S&P 500 Dividend Stocks

Lee Jackson, 24/7 Wall St.

These six stocks, four of which are in the red-hot energy sector, pay the highest dividends in the S&P 500 and look like great total return ideas for income-oriented investors looking for some upside appreciation as well.

Where's the Cheap Beef?

David Frum, The Atlantic

The rising prices at the supermarket checkout are a problem with no simple explanation. But Democratic hopes may depend on finding the right answer.

How Crypto Enables Economic Freedom

Brian Armstrong, Coinbase

The following is an internal memo that I shared with Coinbase employees this week and would also like to share publicly to help people see how we're working toward our mission of increasing economic freedom in the world.

The European Energy Crisis Is About To Go Global

Irina Slav, OilPrice.com

In the modern interconnected world, it is near impossible to contain an energy or economic crisis, and it looks likely that the European energy crisis is about to go global

3 Investment Mistakes to Avoid

John Rekenthaler, Morningstar

Bypassing the traps.

Taming the Stagflationary Winds

Mohamed A. El-Erian, Project Syndicate

Rising inflation and declining growth are more likely to be a part of the global economy's upcoming journey than features of its destination. But how policymakers navigate this journey will have major implications for longer-term economic well-being, social cohesion, and financial stability.

Krugman's Coin Can't Save US from Debt Crisis

Robert E. Wright, AIER

If Treasury can just slap a figure on a hunk of metal and demand that the Federal Reserve credit its account with that figure, it could force the creation of as much money as the politicians controlling it want.

Debt Ceiling: Both Parties Are To Blame

Veronique de Rugy, Reason

Democrats want to raise the debt ceiling, while Republicans occasionally remember they're against big government spending.

How to Save More and Need Less for Retirement

Karen Wallace, Morningstar

Lifestyle upgrades add up and have consequences for your today and tomorrow.

COVID Showed Why We Need To Break Up Big Meat

Ryan McCrimmon, Politico

In the wake of pandemic disruptions, even big meatpacking states are exploring ways to create smaller, regional alternatives to our highly centralized meat industry.

Fisher Investments on Election-Year Uncertainty: This, Too, Shall Pass

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

Ken Fisher on Nixing the VIX

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

Will Uncle Sam Force Big Tech to Break Up?

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

Maybe There Is Hope For California

John Cochrane, The Grumpy Economist

California has at last passed the first laws overturning some residential zoning restrictions.

What If Things Go Right?

Barry Ritholtz, The Big Picture

There are always things to worry about but what if things go right?

A Magic Trick from Biden's Economists

Greg Mankiw, Greg Mankiw

A magician tricks his audiences by distracting them. While people focus on something that is attractive but irrelevant (a shiny object, the magician's beautiful assistant in a skimpy outfit), the magician can more easily hide his deception. In a new CEA blog post, the Biden economics team does something similar.

Saloons of Invention

Alex Tabarrok, Marginal Revolution

Closing the saloons during prohibition reduced patenting by ~15%.

It's Time to Break the Debt Ceiling

Cullen Roche, Pragmatic Capitalism

Let's stop doing this.

The S&P 500 and Campbell's Tomato Soup

Ironman, Political Calculations

How many cans of Campbell's tomato soup could a hypothetical investor in the S&P 500 buy if they cashed in the equivalent of one share of the index?

The End Of The Lowflation Era?

Jamie Powell, FT Alphaville

Inflation above the central bank's target is pretty rare since 2008.
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