10/20/2020
Today

It's Scary That Many Do Not Remember October 19, 1987

Mark Hulbert, MarketWatch

Those who don?t remember stock market history will be in for a surprise when the next crash occurs

For Robinhood, Best Choice Is To Keep User Data Private

Michael Cannivet, Forbes

By maintaining data privacy, Robinhood can shield retail investors from hedge funds and their own heat chasing tendencies.

Fed Is Sitting On Mountain of Bailout Funds

Rachel Siegel & Jeff Stein, Washington Post

Hundreds of billions of dollars from the Cares Act remains uncommitted and may go unspent despite scramble by White House to produce more aid.

Back to the Mkt. Future With Private Investments

Seth Levine, The Integrating Investor

I often feel like the financial markets are crumbling around me. It’s not their price levels that trouble me, but their health. The capital markets are a tremendous boon to humanity. However, intrusive central bank and government policies seem to increasingly strangle the golden geese of capitalism and free markets. Some argue that the neurotic obsessions with market stability are killing active investment management and disarming the very mechanisms that make financials markets invaluable. Decline is inevitable; the only question is whether it comes slowly or as a quick...

The Cost of Trump's China Trade War for One Small Business

Peter Einhorn, RCM

The cost of U.S.-China trade tensions is normally tallied in big numbers—a $345 billion Chinese bilateral trade surplus in 2019, Beijing’s commitment to buy $32 billion more American farm products over two years, and hundreds of billions in tit-for-tat tariffs. But for many small businesses struggling to stay afloat in a pandemic-induced slowdown, the bottom-line damage of the trade war is measured in dollars and cents. And here the bottom line is clear: A Trump Administration offensive supposedly intended to help American businesses is having the exact opposite effect.

Joe Biden's Tax Plan Doesn't Make Much Sense

Tim Worstall, Washington Examiner

It's election season, so politicians are naturally going to spout off some pretty weird proposals. Given what voters believe, it's not possible for every proposal to be useful and still appeal to us for our votes. However, Joe Biden's tax proposals manage to be wrong in both theory and practice, which is pretty good going even by the low standards of politics.

Thomas Friedman Is Still Rather Smitten With Authoritarianism

John Tamny, RCM

“We argue that the high point for Western government, at least comparatively, was the 1960s when America was racing to put a man on the moon and millions of Chinese were dying of starvation.” So said John Micklethwait about his new book (co-authored with Adrian Wooldridge) to a plainly enthusiastic Thomas Friedman. It’s just a guess, but Micklethwait’s assertion won’t age well. Really, does even he believe it? That Friedman does is no surprise. In Friedman’s world, one “country’s” gain occurs at the expense of other countries. The latter...

The Deficit Bill Is Already Something Being Paid Now

Douglas Carr, National Review

The common presumption that the federal deficit doesn't matter is entirely wrong.

Why Did Trade Deficit Deteriorate During Pandemic?

Vivekanand Jayakumar, The Hill

The pandemic shock has unleashed a unique set of forces that have led to a further deterioration of the U.S. trade balance with the rest of the world.

Freedom of Choice Doesn't Lose Its Luster During Pandemics

Walter Block, RCM

In the view of Professor Alan S. Blinder, “Individual choice is a bad for Covid safety.” (Wall Street Journal, August 13, p. A15). Why so? This is due to the fact that there is such a thing as externalities, which in his opinion constitute a market failure. How so? There are two types of these supposed errors of the free enterprise system, positive externalities and negative ones. An example of the former is your neighbor’s beautiful garden. You paid not a penny for its care and feeding, and yet you benefit from your view of it. You are a free rider. If you paid your fair...

The Oil Industry Turns to M&A In a Bid for Survival

Clifford Krauss, New York Times

With the price of a barrel stuck around $40 and no recovery in sight, companies are combining to cut costs and ride out the pandemic.

Companies That Will Benefit From Infrastructure Surge

Lee Jackson, 24/7 Wall St.

Industrials look poised to benefit from the expected infrastructure spending, and Jefferies has spotlighted some companies that could benefit the most. These five stocks look like solid ideas for growth investors, regardless of who wins the election.

Back to the Future With Fixed Income

Adam Phillips, BMO Global Asset Management

Chinese GDP Regains Its Pre-Pandemic High

Market Minder, Fisher Investments

What this latest milestone doesâ?"and doesn'tâ?"mean for investors.

Now May Be Good Time to Think Roth Conversion

Hayden Adams, Charles Schwab

Several factors may make it worthwhile to convert all or part of a traditional IRA to a Roth IRA in 2020, depending on your circumstances.

LT View Calls for Calm Right Now

Daniel Kern & Renee Kwok, TFC Financial Management

An Analysis of Joe Biden's Economic Agenda

Various, Hoover Institution

Reforming New York City's Public Retirement System

John Hunt, Manhattan Institute

For years, the Manhattan Institute has warned about the unsustainability of New York City's public retirement system. "Pension contributions stand at a near-record 11% of the city's total budgetâ?"and 36% of payroll alone," wrote E. J. McMahon and Josh McGee in 2017. "They consume 17%...

Global Impact of a "Blue Wave" Election Outcome

Jeffrey Kleintop, Charles Schwab

The potential economic and market impacts a "Blue Wave" for the U.S. election could have on five key areas: taxes, labor, the environment, oil and trade.

ConocoPhillips Is Doubling Down On Oil Industry That's In Crisis

Matt Egan, CNN

Despite the gloom-and-doom in the oil industry and the specter of a blue wave in Washington, ConocoPhillips is doubling down on crude by making a major acquisition.

How the Media Is Mis-Reporting the Covid-19 Death Toll

Jay Richards, New York Post

Fewer people are dying from COVID-19 and more people are recovering with few or no problems. So why does the press keep burying it?

Does Your Retirement Plan Require a Reboot?

Scott Ward, U.S. News & World Report

BEFORE THE GLOBAL health crisis, the lack of significant, sustained progress among workplace retirement savers signaled the need for a boost of some kind: The Employee Benefits Research Institute's 2020 Retirement Confidence Survey revealed that only 30% of American workers have assets of $250,000 or more in savings or investments outside of their home. Among those with a retirement plan, 37% reported having $250,000 in savings or investments.

Herd Immunity Is Naive and Flawed, & People Will Die

Thomas Ken Lew, USA Today

Winter is coming and we are headed towards the feared intersection of COVID-19 and flu season. Yet already the coronavirus is surging across the world and the United States, the global leader in number of coronavirus deaths, is moving closer to a quarter-million fatalities. Our medical system could be overwhelmed if hospitalizations increase. This is why I am concerned about the reports that some officials and policymakers in the White House are considering “herd immunity” as a strategy to combat the pandemic. This is dangerous, callous and flawed thinking.

Banks Need to Play Their Part In Addressing Wealth Inequality

Patrick Sobers, Hill

The most effective step banks can take is to increase their engagement with minority communities through better communication and sustained educational efforts.

TWTR Random Censorship: Bad Business Model

Adam Brandon, Washington Examiner

Twitter and Facebook's recent decision to censor the New York Post's story on Hunter Biden's ties to Burisma may very well be a tipping point in the fight over Big Tech. Conservatives have a clear reason to be concerned that companies such as Twitter and Facebook, among others, are essentially engaging in election interference. It is no surprise that conservatives are leaving in droves to alternative platforms.

Make the 1st Home Your Last: A Case for Not Moving Up

Ron Lieber, New York Times

It's a tough moment for big decisions. Think more about what you'll want in three years â?" and not just three months, when we'll still be shut in.

Decision-Making at the Fed Increasingly About Powell

Vincent Reinhart, MarketWatch

One consequence of the Fed's greater openness: Chairman Powell's closer hold on power

Too Many Bulls: Why Market Weakness Will Persist

Mark Hulbert, MarketWatch

Market timers had been more bullish than at almost any other time since such data began being collected in 2000

'Right To Repair' Compromises Medical Device Cybersecurity

Henry Miller, I & I

Lawmakers have introduced a bill that would put patients and hospitals at greater risk.

A Biden Presidency Could End The U.S. Oil Boom

Dan Doyle, OilPrice.com

Should a Biden presidency prevail in the upcoming elections, the U.S. oil and gas industry will be facing regulatory headwinds that will far exceed the blow back it faced under the Obama administration

Fisher Investments on Election-Year Uncertainty: This, Too, Shall Pass

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

Ken Fisher on Nixing the VIX

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

Will Uncle Sam Force Big Tech to Break Up?

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

Shattering the Debt Ceiling Myth

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

Understanding the Left

John Cochrane, The Grumpy Economist

A new wave of government expansion is cresting. It poses a threat not just to our economic well being, but to our freedom — social, political and economic.

The New Segregation

Christopher Rufo, City Journal

In the name of social justice, Seattle government agencies conduct employee training sessions separated by race.

The Simpleton Manifesto

Nathaniel Rachman, Persuasion

Trump and radical activists all say it: "The answer is simple!" They are wrong.

What High Valuations Mean for Your Retirement Plan

Christine Benz, Morningstar

All the consternation is around low bond yields, but high equity prices are also worth troubleshooting.

The Jobs Market Is Broken No Matter Who Wins

Anneken Tappe, CNN

The election is only 15 days away. But no matter who wins the US presidential contest in November, one of the most pressing problems for the administration to solve will be America's broken jobs market.

Think Small for an American Recovery

Laura Tyson & Lenny Mendonca, Project Syndicate

Small businesses play an outsize role in the US economy, accounting for about half of all private-sector employment and nearly two-thirds of all net new job creation since 2000. And federal support for them is crucial to avoid a prolonged, anemic, and uneven recovery that leaves many marginalized communities behind.

We Can't Fix The Economy Until We Kill The Virus

Emily Stewart, Vox

The coronavirus is still spreading, and additional stimulus from the government is uncertain.
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