03/01/2021
Today

Know What Worries Everyone Else, So That You Do Not

Ken Fisher, RealClearMarkets

Heard this one yet? British and American value stocks are set to surge as swift vaccine rollouts accelerate reopening. How could you not? This theory, or versions of it, gobsplatter financial airwaves everywhere. But acting on this forgets one key timeless lesson 2020's stock market taught: the more headlines hype something, the more you know markets already weighed it—and moved on past it. It's routine. The more attention a story grabs, the more pundits call it a key "theme" or "risk." What few fathom: If the story leads the news, everyone knows it. If everyone knows it, those inclined to...

These Stocks Are Set To Benefit from Post-Vaccine Rebound

Paul La Monica, CNN

Americans may be itching to travel again now that more people are getting vaccinated for Covid-19 â?" and there are several stocks poised to benefit as more people take to the skies and hit the roads.

Markets Would Be Much More Perilous Sans Shorts

Charles Gasparino, New York Post

It feels wrong to hope that a company goes out of business and its stock craters to zero, which is why short sellers â?" the traders who make money when stocks tank â?" are treated with disdain in many corners of Wall Street and now increasingly in Washington.

The Fed Can't Engineer Outcomes That Market Forces Reject

John Tamny, Forbes

It doesn?t matter what the Fed does. Capital flows to where it?s well treated. If investors don?t agree with the Fed, they'll 'tighten' with a click of a mouse and there's nothing the Fed can do about it.

Should You Pay 1% Fee for a Managed Retirement Acct?

Sam Swenson, Motley Fool

Seeking out a financial advisor can be the right move for some investors. The financial markets and the American tax system can be complicated to navigate, and it makes sense that not everyone wants the liability or time commitment involved in self-managing their financial lives.

They Were On Equal Econ. Footing. Then C-19

Nelson Schwartz, The New York Times

A year of pandemic restrictions has meant some friends are flush and others foundering.

Don't Buy Into GOP Line About No Need For State & Local Aid

Michael Hiltzik, LAT

Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell is still throwing sand in the gears of good government. The result risks bankrupt states and localities.

Bullying Cable Companies Will Not Fix 'Fake' News

Kristian Stout, RealClearMarkets

California Democratic Reps, Anna Eshoo and Jerry McNerney are upset with what they perceive as "misinformation" coming from right-wing news outlets like Fox News, Newsmax and OneAmerica News Network, and now they're seeking to enlist the nation's cable companies in the campaign to shut it down. In letters to a dozen cable companies and other video distributors, the Congress members demand that the companies demonstrate what "moral and ethical" considerations have led them to keep the news organizations on the air, given their focus on alleged fraud in the 2020 presidential election and...

Thomas Sowell: Sense Amid Senselessness

Art Carden, Am.Inst for Economic Research

If I were to rank post-World War II public intellectuals and social theorists, the Hoover Institution's Thomas Sowell would take the top spot. There could be a real debate about who is #2, but it would take place a long way from the top of the mountain, where Sowell would sit alone. Sowell is a brilliant economist and a beautiful writer who believes, above all, that we can't have a serious discussion if we don't get the theory straight and the facts right. The Free To Choose Network has made Sowell even more accessible with their film Thomas Sowell: Common Sense in a Senseless World. The film...

Why Full Expensing of R&D Should Remain In the Tax Code

Andrew Wilford, RCM

Ask a thousand random people what the 2017 tax reform law did, and probably none of them would tell you about full expensing of research and development investments — instead, they'd likely cite individual or corporate income tax reductions. And yet, the ability to immediately deduct R&D expenses was one of the most important, pro-growth provisions in the entirety of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act (TCJA). Now, though, it's in danger of being phased out, unless Congress passes legislationsponsored by Rep. John Larson (R-CT) and other House Republicans to extend it. Economists and tax experts have...

How Immigration Reform Would Affect Growth

Bruce Yandle, Washington Examiner

"How can giving undocumented workers a route to citizenship increase GDP growth?"

A $15 Minimum Wage Would Be Awful for Small Businesses

Brad Close, USA Today

A recent ad in the D.C. media captured one of the most concerning parts of the minimum wage debate. The message wasn't unusual — a call for Congress to more than double the federal minimum wage from $7.25 an hour to $15 an hour. What was noticeable was the advertiser —Amazon. On this critical issue, big business appears increasingly willing to sacrifice small business, and lawmakers should realize it.

EleVation: Some V-Shaped Economic Data to Cheer

Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab

Looking at the latest economic data reveals V-shaped recoveries in many goods-based indicators; while services has more catch-up to do.

Why a Market Trend Is Perhaps In Jeopardy

Troy Bombardia, Fundamental Capital

What a week it has been! Various markets saw noticeable declines on news of rising yields. The strong upward trend for stocks is finally taking a long-overdue breather and so is extreme sentiment.

There's High Growth Potential In a High Savings Rate

Pat O'Hare, Briefing.com

Savings are fuel.

January PCE Boosted by Round Two of EIP

Richard Moody, Richard Moody

Will Rates Keep Rising? Four Key Metrics To Watch

James Picerno, Capital Spectator

The reflation trade remains in high gear. For the moment, it's reasonable to view this trend as a return to the pre-pandemic period, before the coronavirus crisis roiled bonds markets and slashed yields. The question is whether the recent rebound in rates has legs and indicates that there's more to the trend than a return to the pre-pandemic "normal"? Unclear, but the answer is forthcoming in the data, including four key metrics that will likely provide early signals of things to come.

With the Economy, Still Expecting the Unexpected

Ryan Severino, JLL

New Home Sales: A Solid Start In 2021, but Will It Last?

Richard Moody, Regions Bank

The US Economy Will Soon Be Ready For Liftoff

Preston Caldwell, Morningstar

The U.S. economic recovery paused at the end of 2020, but it will soon be ready for liftoff.

The US Should Pursue Cooperation with China

Jeffrey D. Sachs, Project Syndicate

Cooperation is not cowardice, as American conservatives repeatedly claim. Both the US and China have much to gain from it: peace, expanded markets, accelerated technological progress, the avoidance of a new arms race, progress against COVID-19, a robust global jobs recovery, and a shared effort against climate change.

The Insane, Gibberish Inducing Phenomenon of Bitcoin

Nick Bilton, Vanity Fair

Is the bubble about to burst? Or are savvy investors about to strike it rich? As the cryptocurrency market blows up yet again, even experts can't say. "When you have your neighbors telling you which crypto to buy, something is probably going to go pop pretty soon," one investor warned.

The Utter Futility Of A Bitcoin Ban

Peter C. Earle, American Institute for Economic Research

Where there's a will there's a way.

Stocks Set To Benefit From A Post-COVID Travel Revival

Paul La Monica, CNN

Americans may be itching to travel again now that more people are getting vaccinated for Covid-19 and there are several stocks poised to benefit as more people take to the skies and hit the roads.

Does Amazon Have A Race Problem?

Jason Del Rey, Vox

Interviews with Black corporate employees reveal microaggressions from colleagues and managers, as well as stalled career growth

Crypto: It IS Different This Time

Howard Lindzon, Howard Lindzon

This is not a bubble…it is a sea change.

Everyone's a Genius (Thoughts on Speculation)

Morgan Housel, Collaborative Fund

The end of a speculative boom can be inevitable but not predictable.

Rising Rates Are Not a Friend of Technology Stocks

Bryce Coward, KLC

The title of this post seems rather obvious in light of this week's events, but it's something we have been talking about for months now. Rising interest rates are not kind to tech stocks.

Why The Growth To Value Rotation May Have Legs

Steve Strazza, All Star Charts

Financial and energy are leading the rotation.

Warren Buffet's Annual Shareholder Letter 2020

Warren Buffett, Berkshire Hathaway

To the shareholder's of Berkshire Hathaway....

The Country's 100 Most Overpaid CEOs

Talib Visram, Fast Company

If CEO pay were based on a company's financial performance, pay packages would look much different. But shareholders keep approving big raises.

Left Meets Right In Mexico

Scott Sumner, The Money Illusion

Andrés Manuel López Obrador sounds a lot like Donald Trump.

The Price Of Admission In Bonds

Charlie Bilello, Compound Advisors

Yes, you can lose money in bonds.

Why This QE Is Different In One Chart

Macromon, Global Macro Monitor

Two words. Endogenous money.
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