06/05/2020
Today

Love or Hate Big Crowds, They're Economic Small Ball

Jerry Bowyer, Vident Financial

In the midst of the current crisis we are having a national conversation about how to balance various risks and as of this point, in many states large gatherings such as sporting events, concerts and movies are restricted.

Protests Could Spread Virus, But It Was Already Coming

David Andelman, MSNBC

Protests and coronavirus: a second wave was coming before the George Floyd demonstrations

Riots Are Inevitable Creation of Covid-19 Hysteria

Michael Fumento, Just the News

'The frustration and anger at the lockdowns and the perception that blacks are getting the worst of it' made the rioters a seething mass waiting to explode, says medical sociologist Robert Bartholomew.

How We Think Investors Should Consider 'Coulds'

Market Minder, Fisher Investments

Always remember markets move most on probabilities, not possibilities.

Phil Murphy Points Fingers, Blames C-19 for NJ Budget

Steven Malanga, City Journal

The New Jersey governor threatens huge layoffs if Washington doesn't solve his budget woes.

Forced Lockdowns Have Shattered Production Structure

Richard Ebeling, AIER

Old fallacies have a way of reappearing, especially, during times of social and economic crises. The current coronavirus crisis has opened the door to a variety of them, including the notion of a “paradox of thrift.” It is the idea that if people save more of their incomes by reducing their consumption expenditures, they will lower the market demand for final goods and services, thereby reducing earned profit margins, and thus eliminate the incentive for that greater savings to be borrowed for investment purposes, which will put a drag on employment opportunities. It is a...

Global Warming Represents a Huge Financial Risk

Nick Cunningham, OilPrice.com

Financial markets haven't priced in what could be the greatest financial risk of all times: climate change

The Seen and Unseen of Coronavirus Lockdowns

Jeffrey Singer, Washington Examiner

The coronavirus pandemic has highlighted that it is sometimes appropriate and legitimate for governors or other officials to control a public health emergency by restricting human activity. But government officials are people, and rational people respond to incentives. Incentives are affected by that which is seen and that which is not seen.

Millions Won't Die, But Things Will Never Be the Same

Jeff Snider, RealClearMarkets

In 1931, as the Great Depression tightened its grip on the world, Irish playwright George Bernard Shaw accompanied Lady Nancy Astor on a highly publicized trip to the Soviet Union. Their prospective...

Don't End Unemployment Ins. Improve it

Peter Ganong & Pascal Noel & Joseph Vavra, Hill

Instead of a flat payment, we propose a federal supplement on top of state unemployment benefits that would replace a fraction of each worker's wages.

Looking Into Why Thousands Are Volunteering To Be Laid Off

Chris Isidore, CNN

Who would want to lose their job in the middle of the worst job market since the Great Depression? Believe or not, thousands of people would.

Are Businesses Insured Against Possibility of Being Looted?

Aaron Mak, Slate

An insurance expert on how damaged businesses can recover.

Disconnect the Dots: Main Street vs. Wall Street

Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab

The dominant question we've been getting from investors is about the perceived disconnect between what's happening on Main Street and what's happening on Wall Street.

The American States Where Unemployment Is the Highest

Abigail Devereaux, AIER

The novel coronavirus has done severe economic damage all over the globe. The Congressional Budget Office (CBO) stated on June 1, 2020 that it could take nearly a decade for the economy to grow back to levels forecasted this January. As economists, we want to understand just how much damage has been done to what people and sectors and how that damage was perpetrated. There’s usually more than one perp in a Depression.

The Best 50-Day Market Rally Ever

Ryan Detrick, LPL Financial Research

Market Blog In many ways, what we've seen so far in 2020 has been both record-breaking and devastating. From the S&P 500 Index peak on February 19 to the bear market lows March 23, stocks lost ?

New Extraordinary Normal for Central Banking?

Allison Schrager, Manhattan Institute

The feds never normalized their balance sheet after the last financial crisis, and now after coronavirus, the fed's balance sheet is more than $7 trillion.

Looking Back, and Into Market's Future

Brad McMillan, Commonwealth Financial Network

Countries Hit Hardest By Oil Shocks Come Back Well

Jerry Bowyer, Vident Financial

More Green Shoots for Economy

Brian Wesbury & Robert Stein, First Trust Advisors

Our Ultimate Stock-Pickers' Top 10 Buys and Sells

Eric Compton, Morningstar

Nine of the top 10 conviction purchases are undervalued.

Does Gold Belong In A Retirement Portfolio?

Mark Hulbert, MarketWatch

Many retirees see it as an alternative to stocks.

The Perfect Storm Killing Hyper-Globalization

Adam Tooze, The Guardian

Add changes in technology, macroeconomics and geopolitics to the virus, and it becomes clear why we face a turbulent year, says academic Adam Tooze

Four Potential Post Covid-19 New Normals

Scott Snyder, Knowledge@Wharton

Significant uncertainty surrounds what the “new normal” could look like for firms beyond the COVID-19 crisis, particularly in terms of human capital.

The Rip Van Winkle Of The COVID-19 Pandemic

ELLEN BARRY, The New York Times

Daniel Thorson went into a silent retreat in mid-March, meditating through 75 coronavirus news cycles, Boris Johnson's hospitalization, social distancing and sourdough starter. Now he's catching up.

I Don't Know!

Vitaliy Katsenelson, Contrarian Edge

Investors enjoy the unique luxury of choosing problems that let them maximize the use of not just their IQ but also their EQ — emotional intelligence.

How Byte Flight Will Reshape Silicon Valley

Zoe Schiffer, The Verge

As tech companies like Facebook, Twitter, and Square go fully remote, employees have the option of working from anywhere, even after the coronavirus pandemic ends. Now, Google employees are pushing the company to do the same.

Is a Universal Basic Income Worth the Costs?

Veronique de Rugy, Reason

There are problems with the UBI idea.

Look Hard at Savings, Plans Before Retiring

Rachel Hartman, U.S. News & World Report

MANY PEOPLE DREAM OF AN early retirement at age 50, 40 or even younger. But those who leave behind the office at such a young age might not find retirement fulfilling. The amount in your savings or portfolio may not reflect how enjoyable you’ll find the coming years.

Dear Senate: Just Forgive Paycheck Protection Program Loans

Gene Marks, Hill

The PPP is a success. So, what's the next, best thing Congress can do? Simply convert the loan program into a grant program.

If Protesters Can March, Can't Businesses Open Too?

Karol Markowicz, New York Post

New York City is still a full five days away from entering Phase 1. This will open up only some industries, like construction and manufacturing and retail on a pickup basis only.

Is Stock Market 'Broken' If It's Rising Amid All the U.S. Turmoil?

Matt Egan, CNN

The stock market is not the economy. But rarely has the gap between Wall Street and Main Street felt so wide.

Fisher Investments on Election-Year Uncertainty: This, Too, Shall Pass

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

Ken Fisher on Nixing the VIX

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

Will Uncle Sam Force Big Tech to Break Up?

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

Shattering the Debt Ceiling Myth

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

Why Economic Predictions Are Useless Right Now

Branko Milanovic, Pro Market

The Covid-19 crisis is unprecedented in its global scope and open-ended, uncontrollable progress. By their very nature, the models that economists often use to make predictions cannot take into account the unpredictable social and political shocks we might face.

How Bad Virus Policies Lead To Nationalism

Scott Sumner, The Money Illusion

Virus policy differences create animosity between countries.

When You Should Stop Trading Stocks

Brett Arends, MarketWatch

Study finds the point where our money skills start falling faster than our confidence

Is Stock Market Optimism Justified?

James Picerno, The Capital Spectator

Fueling the market’s rebound is the view that the worst of the coronavirus recession has passed and the recovery is coming into view. Is this wishful thinking? Or is the crowd’s implied forecast valid?

Economic Alphabet Soup: V, U, Z, W, L or Swoosh?

Ed Yardeni, Dr. Ed's Blog

Will the economic recovery be shaped like a V, U, W, L, or Z? Cases can be made for all of these possibilities. There are other possible...

Lots Of Green Shoots

Scott Grannis, Calafia Beach Pundit

Economic fundamentals are definitely on the mend. It's no wonder stocks are rising nearly everywhere: the virus is burning out and lockdown...

Questions I Can't Answer

Joseph Calhoun, RealClearMarkets

I often hear investors say they want to wait for clarity about some issue before investing. Of course, once clarity is achieved it is too late to profit from it and those investors will inevitably be...
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