12/10/2020
Today

Melinda Gates Makes a Big, Infuriating Economic Admission

Jeffrey Tucker, AIER

In a wide-ranging interview in the New York Times, Melinda Gates made the following remarkable statement: "What did surprise us is we hadn't really thought through the economic impacts." A cynic might observe that one is disinclined to think much about matters than do not affect one personally. It's a maddening statement, to be sure, as if "economics" is somehow a peripheral concern to the rest of human life and public health. The larger context of the interview reveals the statement to be even more confused. She is somehow under the impression that it is the pandemic and not the lockdowns...

Declining Status: The Resentment That Never Sleeps

Thomas Edsall, New York Times

Rising anxiety over declining social status tells us a lot about how we got here and where we're going.

Using Computer Coding to Reduce Bias In Hiring of Workers

Kristin Stoller, Forbes

Cofounded by a Forbes Under 30 alum, CodeSignal announced that it had raised $25 million in Series B funding Tuesday.

Evidence In 'Evidence-Based Investing' Is Very Hard to Find

Rafael Resendes, RCM

A trend among investment managers is to focus on "evidence-based" investing, which boils down to adopting strategies that have strong empirical support and ideally a strong theoretical foundation to avoid spurious results. Unfortunately, it is quite common for investment strategy results to offer compelling performance when studied "in-sample" (data or time-period of the original research), but that perform poorly out-of-sample (data or time-period not of the original research). Researchers Campbell Harvey, Yan Liu and Hequing Zhu (HLZ) 2016 argue that so many variables get tested to explain...

A Few Market Structure Trends for Pols to Watch In 2021

Kirsten Wegner, The Hill

Despite tragic setbacks brought by COVID-19, 2020 showed promise in one area: technology.

Not-So Curious Case of Britain's 'Missing' Cash

Elisabeth Dellinger, Fisher Investments

Paper money will never fully be accounted for.

Millions of Americans Are Making Right Investing Moves

Howard Gold, MarketWatch

Vanguard investors own target-date funds and don't sell in panics. That goes against the narrative that investors speculate or trade too much.

Year End Is Time to Give Your 401(k) Added Attention

Maurie Backman, Motley Fool

The great thing about 401(k) plans is that they make saving for retirement an automatic process. With a 401(k), you sign up, tell your payroll department to deduct a certain portion of each paycheck, and effectively call it a day. But with 2020 coming to a close, now's the time to give your 401(k) some added attention. Here are three important moves to make before the year wraps up.

College Bloat Is Robbing Students of Futures

Rep. Greg Murphy, Washington Examiner

Politicians often put Band-Aids on problems rather than address their root causes. It's always tempting to make your constituents happy now and pass the burden to future generations. Such is the case with the disastrous plan to "forgive" student loan debt.

Assessing Trump's Protectionism Experiment

Veronique de Rugy, American Spectator

With President Donald Trump soon departing Washington, now is a great time to assess his protectionist trade policies.

What If George Akerlof Applied His Theories to Himself?

Reuven Brenner, RCM

George Akerlof and Robert Shiller's (Nobels in economics) book, titled Phishing for Phools: The Economics of Manipulation and Deception declares on its first page that people "do not do what is really good for them; they do not choose what they really want." It appears that a main preoccupation of economists - the self declared "behavioral economists" prominent among them - is to show how dumb people are as consumers and in assessing risks. Drawn to logical conclusion, this implies that economists, advising benevolent dictators are the solution. If, indeed, people are often "irrationally...

Here's What People Googled While Trying to Make Sense of 2020

Clare Duffy, CNN

Google released its annual "Year in Search" list Wednesday. The list acts as a sort of chronicle of the decades-worth of newsworthy things that took place during this one weird year. The list features the year's top trending searches, which had a high spike in traffic over a sustained period in 2020 compared to 2019.

The Cost of Anonymous Lemons

Amar Bhide, Wiley

2021: Robust Growth, Higher Inflation

Brian Wesbury & Robert Stein, First Trust Advisors

Charts That Make a Case for Bull Commodities

Martin Pring, Pring Turner Asset Mgmt.

Auditing Climate Change Debate

John Merrifield & Matthew McGehee, Inst for Objective Policy

Fractional Shares: A New Way to Invest

Carrie Schwab-Pomerantz, Charles Schwab

What are fractional shares? This week's Ask Carrie explains how they work and how they can make stock investing easier and more accessible.

Looking Into the Future for Markets

Brad McMillan, Commonwealth Financial Network

S&P 4,200 - Dow Jones 35,000

Brian Wesbury & Robert Stein, First Trust Advisors

A Way To Make Your Retirement Savings Last Longer

David McKnight, MarketWatch

A piecemeal Roth conversion can mitigate longevity risk

How to Narrow the Wealth and Income Gap

Mebane Faber, Mebane Faber Research

There are no simple answers but there are obvious steps we can take.

Russia Is About To Disrupt the Helium Industry

Andrew E. Kramer, The New York Times

It's not just party balloons. A huge Siberian production plant is expected to reshape the market for a gas that's essential to many critical industries.

Biden Economic Team: You're In Good Hands

Mark Zandi, CNN Business

This team is well-suited to do the same now as the devastated economy struggles with the Covid-19 pandemic.

What if Democrats Sweep the Georgia Runoffs?

Preston Caldwell, Morningstar

A narrow majority may pass new stimulus and raise the corporate business tax.

Don't Believe The ESG Investing Hype

John Stossel, Reason.com

Want to make money and help the world, too? Wall Street says you can!

Overpayment of Unemployment Benefits Is Soaring

Paul Ausick, 24/7 Wall St.

While Congress continues to debate a second relief package for workers, the states are beginning to send letters to Americans who received unemployment benefits this year notifying them that they had been inadvertently overpaid.

New State? Pay Attention To Tax Changes

Gautam Dhingra, Enterprising Investor

As 2020 draws to a close, many tax- and residency-related matters are coming to the fore to which clients may want to pay attention and make conscious decisions about.

Forget the "Deficit." We Have To Spend Our Way to Recovery

Paul La Monica, CNN

America's national debt load is now more than $27 trillion -- an exorbitantly high level.

Right Wingers Are In Full Denial About Everything

Paul Krugman, The New York Times

You shouldn't be surprised that they're still backing Trump.

Scaring Ourselves to Death?

Keith Gandal, American Institute for Economic Research

As a child, I was hospitalized for a month with the "Hong Kong Flu." The doctors couldn't cure me; I was discharged but still sick. They were surprised I recovered. From my early brush with illness, I developed a longstanding interest in why some people with possibly fatal illnesses die and others recover.

Fisher Investments on Election-Year Uncertainty: This, Too, Shall Pass

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

Ken Fisher on Nixing the VIX

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

Will Uncle Sam Force Big Tech to Break Up?

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

Shattering the Debt Ceiling Myth

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

10 Outrageous Predictions 2021

Various, Saxo Bank

After an extraordinary year, the SaxoStrats are back with Outrageous Predictions for 2021. Which forecast do you think is most likely?

10 Amazing Facts On Tesla As It Enters The S&P 500

Justin Carbonneau, Validea

2020 will be a memorable year for all of us, but for those in the markets it will be particularly memorable as we are seeing many things that have never happened before. One of those events is about to take place when Tesla, sporting a $550 billion market capitalization, gets added to the S&P 500 over the next fortnight.

The Most Googled Questions of 2020

Nicole Lyn Pesce, MarketWatch

Google just released its 'Year in Search 2020'

The China Hack and How to Reverse It

Lucas Kunce, The American Prospect

What will it require to take China seriously as an economic challenge?

Corporations and Civil Disobedience

Jeff Carter, Points and Figures

Corporations and their incentives are totally misunderstood by most Americans.

Did Covid Solve The Productivity Mystery?

Barry Ritholtz, The Big Picture

One of the accidental results of the pandemic lockdown was the creation of a natural experiment in productivity.

Companies Are Drowning in Cash.....And Debt

Jon C. Ogg, 24/7 Wall Street

An S&P Global Ratings report indicates that corporate cash balances in the United States now sit at a combined $2.5 trillion.
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