06/27/2020
Today

Pouring Money Into Infrastructure Is a Risky Strategy

Allison Schrager, City Journal

Public-works projects are a risky strategy for reviving America's economy.

Invest in Public and Private Infrastructure Right Now

Karl Smith, Bloomberg

(Bloomberg Opinion) -- As part of their plans to support economic recovery from the Covid-19 crisis, both the White House and congressional Democrats are working on major infrastructure packages. This makes good sense, even though infrastructure programs used as stimulus have an uneven history, because

States Need Money; Fed Has It. Politics May Be an Obstacle

Jim Saksa, Roll Call

Fed Chairman Jerome Powell is walking a fine line between shoring up the economy and keeping the support of Congress, where some lawmakers oppose bailouts.

The Reluctant Federal Reserve

Thomas Hogan, American Institute for Economic Research

When members of Congress asked the Federal Reserve to provide emergency loans to nonbank companies, they did not like the response. “The Federal Reserve would be extremely reluctant to extend credit,” the Fed chair said. “Questions of industrial policy are best resolved by Congress.”

The Federal Reserve’s Reckless Experiment

Burton Abrams, The Hill

The quantity theory of money, the view that the money supply is the key determinant of inflation, is dead, or today’s mainstream economists tell us. The Federal Reserve is now engaged in a policy that will either put the nail in the quantity theory’s coffin or restore it to the textbooks. Sadly, if the theory is alive and wins out, the economy is in for a very rough ride.

Trump's Economy Isn't Taking Off. It's Exploding.

Jordan Weissmann, Slate

The plan to reignite business without containing the coronavirus has left us living in the worst possible scenario.

Extending Unemployment Will Lead to More Out of Work

Stephen Moore, Fox

FreedomWorks economist Steve Moore talks to FOX Business' Melissa Francis about the unemployment rate and unemployment benefits.

Do Not Bet on a Quick Economic Recovery

Annie Lowrey, The Atlantic

Coronavirus Is a Crisis. Might It Also Narrow Inequality?

Eduardo Porter, NYT

Economic downturns have often led to political moves to lift the most vulnerable. But recoveries tend to reverse the effect.

What Economists Fear Most During This Recovery

Neil Paine, FiveThirtyEight

Experts think the economy's quick gains will level off soon.

Recession May Be Over, but Depression Has Just Begun

Rex Nutting, MarketWatch

Working people, small businesses and local governments need more income now, or other dominoes will fall

3 Pieces of Retirement Advice You Should Ignore

Katie Brockman, The Motley Fool

This advice could do more harm than good when planning for retirement.

A Quick Survey of "Broken" Asset Classes

John West & Amie Ko, Research Affiliates

When Do Emerging Markets Tend to Outperform?

Jerry Bowyer, Vident Financial

Don't Give Up Too Quickly On Large & Small Value

Jeff Troutner, Equius Partners

The Declining Fiscal Case for Municipal Recycling

Howard Husock, Manhattan Institute

How did a change in Chinese policy make recycling in the U.S. no longer financially feasible? A new report examines the cost-benefit analysis of recycling.

Do Emerging Markets Beat Developed Markets?

Jerry Bowyer, Vident Financial

There's a 'This Time Is Different' Quality to Gov't Waste

Jerry Bowyer, Vident Financial

What C-19 Mean for American Life Expectancy?

Allison Schrager, Manhattan Institute

I'm Beating Wall Street At Its Own Game

Dave Portnoy, Fox Business

All I hear is old-timers say that the "retail bros" are going to get crushed.

How The Fed Enabled A Coronavirus Junk Bond Boom

Jessica Aguirre, Vanity Fair

By eliminating some of the risk, Jerome Powell’s Federal Reserve has made being a junk bond trader “a little more fun recently,” says one. But does the market really need the help?

The Triple Crisis Shaking the World

Joschka Fischer, Project Syndicate

More than just a public-health disaster, the COVID-19 pandemic is a history-defining event with far-reaching implications for the global distribution of wealth and power. With economies in free-fall and geopolitical tensions rising, there can be no return to normal: the past is passed, and only the future counts now.

Value Investing & The Dot Com Boom & Bust

Buttonwood, The Economist

Value investing might not have the same moral authority as today if the dot com boom and bust hadn't happened.

20 Warning Signs To Look For The Next Wirecard

Jemima Kelly, FT Alphaville

20 warning signs to look for in trying to determine the next “Big Disaster”

Donald Trump's Lobster Bailout Explained

Matthew Yglesias, Vox

He's blaming Obama for problems he created

City Fleeing Families Push Up Suburban House Prices

Martha White, NBCNews

The real estate market is hot again, cheering sellers but threatening affordability for suburban and rural buyers competing with cash-flush buyers fleeing cities.

Bigger Isn't Always Better

Mark Hulbert, MarketWatch

Powerful stock-market leaders ultimately take a fall

The COVID Shock to the Dollar

Stephen S. Roach, Project Syndicate

No country can afford to squander its saving potential â?" ultimately, the seed-corn of long-term economic growth. That's true even of the United States, where generations of policymakers have come to regard the long-standing belief in American exceptionalism as though it applied to the laws of economics.

Trump Is Ramping Up The Populism Before The Election

Matt Egan, CNN Business

President Donald Trump's latest economic policies are the opposite of the emergency aid that Corporate America and Wall Street are clamoring for.

Economic Outlook: The Gathering Storm

Bill McBride, Calculated Risk

After a decade of making fun of bearish analysts and writing "the future is bright", it pains me to be pessimistic. I hope I'm wrong on the virus, but if I'm correct, then I expect every major economic forecast will be revised down for the 2nd half of 2020 and for early 2021.

Is Our Money About To Sprout A Memory?

Claire Jones & Izabella Kaminska, FT

At its root, money is an IOU – a promise to give the bearer the option to own something they want at some point in the future in return for services rendered in the present. Yet when we pay for something, we have little idea of the journey our money has been on, nor of the tasks performed – previous to our own – to acquire it. Could that be about to change?

Fisher Investments on Election-Year Uncertainty: This, Too, Shall Pass

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

Ken Fisher on Nixing the VIX

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

Will Uncle Sam Force Big Tech to Break Up?

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

Shattering the Debt Ceiling Myth

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

Market Begins To Internalize Reality

Macromon, Global Macro Monitor

The financial media is beginning assign blame to the recent stock market weakness to the spike in COVID cases and the potential for a November Democratic sweep of the White House and both chambers of Congress

Inside the Coronavirus: What We've Learned

Mark Fischetti, Scientific American

What scientists know about the inner workings of the pathogen that has infected the world

Don't Treat Schools As COVID Hot Zones

David Zweig, Wired

When students head back to class this fall, they may find themselves isolated from each other and wearing masks. This isn’t biosafety—it’s pandemic theater.

Joe Granville: The Original Dave Portnoy

Ben Carlson, A Wealth Of Common Sense

Portnoy and his army of day-traders have gotten plenty of press in recent weeks from the financial media. The finance industry doesn’t quite know what to do with him.

Who's Right? Treasury Market or Economists?

James Picerno, The Capital Spectator

The Treasury market is forecasting much higher inflation than economists.

America's Uncertain Recovery

Michael Boskin, Project Syndicate

Predicting the speed and strength of the United States' recovery from the current recession is extremely difficult. But what is clear is that policymakers must boost incentives to work in normal times when jobs are plentiful, while strengthening the safety net for when they are not and for those who are unable to work.

What Is Permissable

Rusty Guinn, Epsilon Theory

Everything is permissible, but not everything is beneficial.
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