07/19/2021
Today

Table-Pounding Value Bulls Should Beware 'Great Humiliator'

Ken Fisher, RCM

What do you believe that is actually false? It is among the most basic investment questions anyone can ever ask. It is now one those expecting value stock leadership should ask themselves. All last quarter, pundits table-pounded that economically sensitive value stocks were leading the stock market upward, fueled by early bull market trends, economic re-openings and government stimulus. After celebrating Q1's strong value performance, they were adamant on persistence—all quarter. But value lagged, badly. And that should be a wake-up call for investors. Let me explain.

Investors Are Very Nervous Even With the Market at Highs

Paul La Monica, CNN

The Dow and S&P 500 are both up about 15% in 2021 and are each about a percent away from their all-time highs. But as Friday's market sell-off showed, investors remain extremely nervous about the market.

He Fixed Best Buy, and Wants to Fix Rich With More Taxes

David Gelles, NYT

"The more taxes I pay, the happier I am," says Mr. Joly, who is waging a campaign to get big business to be more socially responsible.

Richard Branson's Trip to Space Calls For Taxing Rich Less

John Tamny, Forbes

When the rich get to keep what's theirs, we all benefit.

Will 'the Great Wealth Transfer' Trigger a Civil War?

Eric Levitz, New York Magazine

Boomers will bequeath more than $30 trillion by 2045. Some millennials will become beneficiaries of high housing costs and stock prices. Others won't.

The Silver Digital Lining In a Bad Global Tax Deal

Andrew Wilford, RealClearMarkets

In the tax policy world, an outcome that isn't just about the worst possible option is a pleasant surprise. So while the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD)/G20 initial global minimum tax deal is far from a good thing overall, it at least offers a silver lining in the form of an effort to end digital taxes as part of the bargain. When I wrote about the negotiations over global minimum taxes last month, I gloomily raised the possibility that the United States would roll over on digital taxes in order to secure an agreement on a global minimum tax. At this point, it...

'Zero Covid' for Nations Has Been a Spectacular Failure

Jordan Schachtel, AIER

"There are no longer any 'success stories' involving nations using tyrannical means in an attempt to stop a virus. Zero Covid, as any rational person could have predicted a long time ago, has failed in spectacular fashion." ~ Jordan Schachtel

Tennessee Is Doing All the Wrong Things to Stop COVID

Grace Woodruff, Slate

A pediatrician on why this decision comes at a particularly dangerous moment.

The Market Is Expert at Pricing Individual Risk. Let It Work.

Jeffrey Tucker, RCM

We all inhabit a variety of subcultures in life - sports, religion, music, other hobbies - so we cannot be expected to be up on the proprietary language of them all. So I did not know until last night that devoted rock climbers are called dirtbags. Strikes me as funny! Also, I'm not entirely sure that I knew that people who gather with groups on tracks to do tricks on skateboards or longboards are simply called skaters.

Turns Out Your View of Remote Work Has a Political Angle Too

Rani Molla, Vox

Republicans are less likely to say remote workers labor just as hard as or harder than non-remote workers.

Amid Mega M & A, ViacomCBS May Be In Play

Charles Gasparino, New York Post

ViacomCBS Chair president Shari Redstone is courting every possible media conglomerate in her attempt to keep the company's market value afloat, Charles Gasparino writes.

The U.S. Has Resources to Regulate Crypto. Use Them.

Howard Adler, The Hill

In the Financial Stability Oversight Council, the U.S. government has an already-existing entity to coordinate the efforts of the financial regulatory agencies to meet threats to financial stability.

Organ Procurement Will Improve Equity, Save Lives

Seth Karp & Greg Segal, THC

In the more than 35 years since federal legislation created organ procurement organizations (OPOs) to recover organs from deceased donors for transplantation, there has been a disparity in their performance,...

A Case for Interest Rates As the Big Factor with Stocks

Pat O'Hare, Briefing.com

Still a Good Equities Backdrop

Daniel Kern & Renee Kwok, TFC Financial Management

Great American Jobs Reshuffle

Brent Orrell & Daniel Cox, American Enterprise Institute

The June 2021 American Perspectives Survey (APS) finds that people's work arrangements and preferences, unemployment experiences, and career aspirations are changing as workers navigate the new post-pandemic labor market.

The American Cities With the Highest Wages for New Hires

Various, Self

Cities in the U.S. with the highest wages for new hires

June CPI: This Too Shall Pass, But When?

Richard Moody, Regions Bank

4,500 S&P 500....Or Higher?

Brian Wesbury & Robert Stein, First Trust Advisors

This Is A Game Changer For Entrepreneurs

Victor W. Hwang, Inc.

The new rules represent a profound opportunity for new companies.

Expect A 10% Correction Or Worse By August

Mark Hulbert, MarketWatch

Market breadth hasn't been this poor since October 2018 and the start of a 20%-plus decline.

Misery Today Means High Returns Tomorrow

Larry Swedroe, Alpha Architect

A high misery index predicts high future returns.

What's the Future for Bond and Stock Returns?

John Rekenthaler, Morningstar

The outlook for bonds is clearer than that for stocks.

More Tariffs Won't End Pollution Or Solve Global Warming

Eric Boehm, Reason

Taxing Americans to punish other countries for having lax environmental rules would be a logistical and bureaucratic nightmare. Democrats are trying to do it anyway.

Why We'll Be Stuck With Insane Car Prices for Months

Jordan Weissmann, Slate

New? Used? The car market may not sort itself out for a while.

What Ever Happened to IBM's Watson?

Steve Lohr, New York Times

IBM's artificial intelligence was supposed to transform industries and generate riches for the company. Neither has panned out. Now, IBM has settled on a humbler vision for Watson.

Bay Area Bidding Wars: No Tech Exodus Exaggerated

Olivia Solon, NBC News

Reports of a tech exodus have been greatly exaggerated

The Panic Pandemic

John Tierney, City Journal

Fearmongering from journalists, scientists, and politicians did more harm than the virus.

Maine Is A Snapshot of Post-Virus America

Roger Lowenstein, Intrinsic Value

What Maine Tells Us About the Labor Shortage

Are the Roaring 20s Already Here?

Ben Carlson, A Wealth Of Common Sense

Things are far from perfect now (and they always will be) but you could make the case that our version of the roaring 20s is already here.

Reality Bites The Shale Revolution

Justin Mikulka, Naked Capitalism

The funding for shale production in the US has dried up as moneybags finally realize that there's no profit to be had.

Chinese ADRs: Fool me once…

Michael Johnston, Evergreen Gavekal

Investors that have put their faith – and hard-earned dollars – in Chinese growth equities over the past few years can likely relate to this saying as Beijing has unleashed a series of rolling regulatory initiatives aimed at Chinese tech companies.

Who Wants A Recession in 2024?

Scott Sumner, The Money Illusion

I don't expect a recession to occur in the next few years, but recessions are almost impossible to predict. It's more interesting to think about the sort of policy mistakes (were they to occur) that might lead to a recession within a few years.

2021: The Half Year in Charts

Charlie Bilello, Compound Advisors

Here are the charts and themes that tell the story of the first six months of 2021.
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