08/07/2020
Today

The Biggest Risk to Your Investment Portfolio Is Undeniably You

Ken Fisher, RCM

“Would you have a great empire? Rule over yourself.” So said Roman writer Publilius Syrus two millennia ago. Despite its age, that is wise investment advice now. Many see global stocks’ nearing breakeven for 2020 as cause to sell. They fear another plunge from COVID resurgences, escalating US-China tensions, bumbling politicians or other obvious “risks.” But headline fear fixation obscures the biggest risk you always face: yourself. The 2020 meltdown froze many investors in place. The upside? Paralysis meant inaction, allowing them to capture some of the rebound....

Bullish 'Golden Cross' Has Formed In the Dow Jones

Mark Decambre, MarketWatch

The last time a golden cross formed in the Dow was March of 2019

How Bond Market Currently Describes Our Situation

Jeffrey Snider, RealClearMarkets

The year 1930 was certainly one of the most unique in history, the majority of it anyway. Sandwiched between the massive stock market shake-up begun the prior October, in 1929, and the first wave of bank panics which would shock the system in October 1930, for nearly a year an eerie sort of calm flourished in the general sense. Yes, things were bad. The economy had been sent into a tailspin, an unusually harsh one. But America in its epic economic transformation from rural agrarian society consisting of mainly small towns and family farms into the global industrial powerhouse had experienced...

Dems Want Fed to Centrally Plan Racial Equality

Heather Long, The Washington Post

It would be the first major change to the Fed?s mandate since 1977 and would significantly alter the central bank?s focus.

What CA's Jobless Numbers Tell Us About C19 Depression

Ryan Cooper, The Week

Official site of The Week Magazine, offering commentary and analysis of the day's breaking news and current events as well as arts, entertainment, people and gossip, and political cartoons.

The Only Econ. Fix For Iran At This Point Is Regime Change

Abbas Davari, RCM

In between headlines about the impact of US sanctions on the Iranian economy and the "grand" Sino-Iranian deal billed by Tehran as an economic elixir, important questions linger: Why has the Iranian economy struggled to prosper over the past 40 years despite massive oil revenues? Who is to blame for the current devastation? And, will the current medieval theocracy finally craft an economic panacea? Long before international sanctions, the Iranian economy fell victim to a clique of unelected mullahs itching to seize Iran's immeasurable riches. They began to run affairs much like the mafia...

The Economy Will Be Victimized By Closed Schools

Allison Schrager, New York Post

In June, America was united, briefly, on the need to reopen schools. Other countries had managed to do so successfully, and evidence suggested children are at...

Make Sure Coronavirus Retirement Changes Not Costly

Kailey Hagen, Motley Fool

State Unemployment Systems Are Primitive

Elizabeth Garlow & Andrew Stettner, Slate

Florida's Gov. Ron DeSantis admitted that his state's system "was definitely [designed] in a way to lead to the least number of claims being paid out."

Coronavirus Flattens Workers & Business, Expands Gov't

Stephen Moore, The Hill

Stimulus deals from federal officials make no sense in economics.

Less Gov't Spending Will Be Worse Than Corona Contraction

Paul Krugman, NYT

The suspension of federal benefits would create damage almost as terrifying as the economic effects of the coronavirus.

$200 Jobless Bonus Is Generous, But Not Discouraging

Matt Weidinger, USA Today

Congressional negotiators debating whether to extend federal unemployment benefits should support the Senate Republicans’ plan because it helps more Americans return to work while providing the unemployed with significant support.

Congress Struggles for Consensus on Aid Bill

Michael Townsend, Charles Schwab

Despite the slow pace of negotiations, we continue to think a deal will be struck this month.

Don't Play GDP Politics

Brian Wesbury & Robert Stein, First Trust Advisors

'Economic Recovery' Overtake 'Economic Depression'

Jerry Bowyer, Vident Financial

July ISM: Will Employment Follow Orders Higher?

Richard Moody, Regions Bank

What Investors Can Learn from Admiral Stockdale

T.J. Troutner, Equius Partners

Has the Second Wave Peaked?

Brad McMillan, Commonwealth Financial Network

If Never Another GDP Report Like This, It Will Be Too Soon

Richard Moody, Regions

Socialism and the Corporation: A Love-Hate Relationship

Iain Murray, NRO

The Left abhors traditional corporations but does everything in its power to keep them alive.

The US May Lose in Trump's TikTok War

Shang-Jin Wei, Project Syndicate

US President Donald Trump's apparent attempt to force the sale of Chinese social-media app TikTok to an American buyer introduces substantial risks â?" not least to US firms. By acting as if there were no rules to international business, Trump is all but ensuring that there won't be.

Why Republicans Are Split On More Stimulus

Li Zhou & Ella Nilsen, Vox

Republicans have let expanded unemployment expire amid a dire economic situation. Here's why.

A TikTok Precedent: How the Government Created RCA

Jesse Walker, Reason.com

A century before its threats against TikTok, Washington pried a different media company out of foreign hands.

A Time For Thinking

Howard Marks, Oaktree Capital Management

Some thoughts on our current situation.

Bill Gates and Elon Musk Are Symptoms, Not Solutions

Geoffrey James, Inc.

If billionaires were as smart as they seem to think they are, they'd be keeping a lower profile.

Why China Is Rooting For Trump To Win

Paul Brandus, MarketWatch

The president has diminished America's power and standing in the world

How Killing Cookies Could Save Journalism

Gilad Edelman, Wired

A Dutch public broadcaster got rid of targeted digital ads—and its revenues went way up.

Boomers Can't Regulate Technology They Do Not Understand

Brad Polumbo, FEE

There are few issues left in Washington, DC on which both parties can agree. Yet increasingly the push to regulate “Big Tech” is an area of agreement for Republicans and Democrats. This consensus was on full display at last week’s contentious congressional hearing featuring top tech CEOs such as Google’s Sundar Pichai, Amazon’s Jeff Bezos, Apple’s Tim Cook, and Facebook’s Mark Zuckerberg.

Why John M. Keynes Is Still a Source of Fascination

Samuel Gregg, Law & Liberty

A rich intellectual life outside of economics made him interesting.

Fisher Investments on Election-Year Uncertainty: This, Too, Shall Pass

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

Ken Fisher on Nixing the VIX

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

Will Uncle Sam Force Big Tech to Break Up?

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

Shattering the Debt Ceiling Myth

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

A First In The History Of Capital Markets

Jamie Powell, FT Alphaville

We’re not sure we’ve ever seen this before: a company where its entire revenue base seems to come from services performed exclusively for a related party.

Amy Cooper's Town

Stephen Eide, City Journal

Ever-escalating levels of racial sensitivity will likely result in a more privacy-oriented populationâ?"with fewer "eyes on the street" for trouble.

It Doesn't Matter Who Owns TikTok

Shoshana Wodinsky, Gizmodo

Would a buyout even solve any of the alleged privacy concerns surrounding TikTok, or would it just spew out a litany of new ones?

Those Great PMI Numbers Aren't That Great

Macromon, Global Macro Monitor

PMIs measure the month to month change.

The Myth of the Cyber Barons

Ben Sperry, Truth On The Market

Big tech makes society better off.

This Madness Will Not End Well

Scott Sumner, The Money Illusion

Before becoming president, Trump said things that were so bizarre and so offensive that most people assumed he could not possibly be serious. They’d say things like, “Trump should be taken seriously, but not literally.” Turns out we should have taken him literally.

America Needs A Bar & Restaurant Bailout

Matthew Yglesias, Vox

You can't eat with a mask on.
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