03/02/2021
Today

The Consensus from the Pundit Class Is Nearly Always Wrong

Joseph Calhoun, AP

I was told many years ago when I started in this business that it wasn't my job to predict the future. Our job as investors is to properly and accurately interpret the present. I was also tol?

Private Equity Party Might Be Ending. It's About Time.

William Cohan, New York Times

A recent legal decision may force Wall Street to think twice before saddling struggling companies with debts they can't handle.

The Value For Investors In Sticking With Value

Eric Nelson, Servo Wealth Management

We've seen a considerable turnaround in the performance of value stocks compared to growth stocks in recent months. Keep reading to learn more...

Warren Buffett May Yet Have Revenge on Dave Portnoy

Mark Gongloff, Bloomberg

His investing style is out of vogue, but market ructions could make it relevant again.

It's Bogus Logic to Presume Rising Rates Will Hurt Stocks

Market Minder, Fisher

Our take on the recent jump in long-term Treasury yieldsâ?"and their likely impact on stocks looking ahead.

Make a Prior-Year IRA Contribution Now to Shrink 2020 Tax Bill

Kailey Hagen, MF

What if I told you there's a legal way to shield more of your hard-earned cash from the IRS, and the government might actually reward you for taking advantage of it? Well, there is. If you have a little extra cash you won't need anytime soon, you can make a prior-year traditional IRA contribution and reap the benefits now and in retirement. Here's a closer look at how it works and what kind of a difference it can make for your taxes.

Dear GOP, There's Nothing Particularly Noble About Average

John Tamny, RCM

During the media promotion for Big Russ & Me, the late Tim Russert's tribute to a father whom he very much venerated, Russert the son talked with bursting pride about how his sanitation worker father had immense common sense even though he hadn't attended college. Without pretending for a second that university life is where wisdom is attained, Russert's assertion was a false note. He seemed to saying that Big Russ's wise ways were a consequence of a lack of education, and a lack of work success. While blanket dismissal of the insights, morals and ethics offered by the average would be...

Yes, Raise the Minimum Wage, but Don't Stop There

Karl Polzer, Washington Examiner

Raising the minimum wage, which has been $7.25 an hour since 2009, is long overdue. A Congressional Budget Office analysis of legislation proposed by Senate Democrats reinforces this case. But the CBO raised a yellow flag. Dialing up wages at the bottom too fast and by too much would cause job loss and price increases.

Central Planning Doesn't Suddenly Work w/Vaccine Access

Phillip Magness, AIER

Three and a half months have passed since we first received news of a highly effective Covid-19 vaccination, yet in all but a few locales the rollout has proceeded at a snail's pace. Part of the lag comes from an understandable push to prioritize the most vulnerable persons for a disease with a pronounced age gradient, yet simply being 65+ is still not sufficient to qualify for a vaccination in many states.

Building Back Better Means Blackouts, Fragile Grids

Rupert Darwall, RealClearEnergy

South Australia in 2016; California last year; now, Texas. The recent blackout is a terrible ordeal for Texans but a political disaster for the Biden administration. The president had just signed an...

Biden's Tough China Stance Will Bring Global Warming Doom

Michael Klare, TN

To tackle the climate crisis, Biden should build an alliance with China aimed at collective survival.

CA Pension Woes Made Worse By Moving Services In House

Ike Brannon, Forbes

Several municipalities are bringing their emergency services "in house," rather than contracting them to a private entity. But such efforts rarely help cities--or the state--save money. Gains from providing fire and emergency services together is overstated & it does nothing to solve pension woes.

February ISM Manufacturing: Expansion Continues

Richard Moody, Regions Bank

EleVation: Some V-Shaped Economic Data to Cheer

Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab

Looking at the latest economic data reveals V-shaped recoveries in many goods-based indicators; while services has more catch-up to do.

Why a Market Trend Is Perhaps In Jeopardy

Troy Bombardia, Fundamental Capital

What a week it has been! Various markets saw noticeable declines on news of rising yields. The strong upward trend for stocks is finally taking a long-overdue breather and so is extreme sentiment.

There's High Growth Potential In a High Savings Rate

Pat O'Hare, Briefing.com

Savings are fuel.

January PCE Boosted by Round Two of EIP

Richard Moody, Richard Moody

Will Rates Keep Rising? Four Key Metrics To Watch

James Picerno, Capital Spectator

The reflation trade remains in high gear. For the moment, it's reasonable to view this trend as a return to the pre-pandemic period, before the coronavirus crisis roiled bonds markets and slashed yields. The question is whether the recent rebound in rates has legs and indicates that there's more to the trend than a return to the pre-pandemic "normal"? Unclear, but the answer is forthcoming in the data, including four key metrics that will likely provide early signals of things to come.

With the Economy, Still Expecting the Unexpected

Ryan Severino, JLL

Fisher Investments on Election-Year Uncertainty: This, Too, Shall Pass

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

Ken Fisher on Nixing the VIX

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

Will Uncle Sam Force Big Tech to Break Up?

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

Shattering the Debt Ceiling Myth

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

C19 Surprise: Many Love Working From Home

Edward Sullivan & John Baird, USA Today

With Biden promising to distribute 100 million vaccines in the first 100 days of his administration, many employers around the country are asking the same question: When can we safely open our offices again?

What's 'Southern Hospitality' Without a Living Wage?

Ariel Felton, New York Times

In Georgia, low-wage service sector workers and their employers are wrestling with the details, and morality, of a $15 minimum wage.

The Secret History of $15 Wage Min. Movement

Sean Higgins, Washington Examiner

As congressional Democrats push to raise the federal minimum wage to $15 an hour, it's worth asking where that figure came from. Why $15 (more than double the current federal rate of $7.25) and not, say, $10, $12, or even $16?

Critics Who Savage Indoor Dining Harm Own Industry

Steve Cuozzo, New York Post

Among the curious responses to the COVID crisis, the weirdest might be the reaction of most NYC restaurant critics to the reopening of indoor dining.

Making a Case That Stock Market Is Not Economy

Kim Iskyan, American Consequences

February 26, 2021 - Ever since the U.S. stock market rebounded from its March low last year, many people have pointed out the glaring disconnect between a pandemic-ravaged economy and stocks that continue to soar.

What to Know About Avg. Return Rate on Mutual Funds

Debbie Carlson, U.S. News

WHEN INVESTORS START their mutual fund research, they often seek out a mutual fund's return rate and compare it to the average mutual fund return of other funds.

The Utter Futility of a Bitcoin Ban

Peter Earle, American Institute for Economic Research

In recent days and weeks, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen has been raising the alarm about what she perceives to be a rising "misuse" of cryptocurrencies, which she argues are used mainly "for illicit financing" by unsavory groups. During her confirmation hearing, Yellen provided some ominous foreshadowing, saying, "I think we really need to examine ways in which we can curtail their use and make sure that money laundering doesn't occur through those channels." Back in December, former Acting Comptroller of the Currency Brian P. Brooks warnedconsumers to expect more crypto regulations before...

The U.S. versus China Technology "War"

Seth Berenzweig & John Tamny, The Capitol Brief

Seth and John talk about the meaning of what shouldn't be a war.

The US Economy Will Soon Be Ready For Liftoff

Preston Caldwell, Morningstar

The U.S. economic recovery paused at the end of 2020, but it will soon be ready for liftoff.

The US Should Pursue Cooperation with China

Jeffrey D. Sachs, Project Syndicate

Cooperation is not cowardice, as American conservatives repeatedly claim. Both the US and China have much to gain from it: peace, expanded markets, accelerated technological progress, the avoidance of a new arms race, progress against COVID-19, a robust global jobs recovery, and a shared effort against climate change.

The Insane, Gibberish Inducing Phenomenon of Bitcoin

Nick Bilton, Vanity Fair

Is the bubble about to burst? Or are savvy investors about to strike it rich? As the cryptocurrency market blows up yet again, even experts can't say. "When you have your neighbors telling you which crypto to buy, something is probably going to go pop pretty soon," one investor warned.

Are Inflation Fears Justified?

Kenneth Rogoff, @prosyn

In the near term, markets should not be too worried about a possible spike in demand driving up inflation and interest rates, causing asset prices to fall across the board. But longer-term inflation risks are skewed much more to the upside than many investors and policymakers seem to realize.

Shortages Everywhere You Look

Anonymous

So now there's a supply problem and companies are scrambling to meet demand.

How Much Should We Worry About Rising Rates?

Cullen Roche, Pragmatic Capitalism

The remainder of 2021 is unlikely to be a fun one for bond investors.

E-Mail Is Making Us Miserable

Anonymous

In an attempt to work more effectively, we've accidentally deployed an inhumane way to collaborate.

Hey Citi, Your Bitcoin Report is Embarrassingly Bad

Jemima Kelly, Financial Times

Well Bitcoin is quite fashionable so they had to say something. So they did.

Remote Work Is Changing Transportation Habits

, City Journal

To allocate new infrastructure spending wisely, legislators need to understand the different ways Americans are getting around.

Rising Rates Are Not a Friend of Technology Stocks

Bryce Coward, KLC

The title of this post seems rather obvious in light of this week's events, but it's something we have been talking about for months now. Rising interest rates are not kind to tech stocks.
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