03/05/2021
Today

Waffle House Is Why the GOP Might Go For Min Wage Hike

Jordan Weissmann, Slate

The issue used to be a nonstarter for the GOP. Here's what changed.

In Biden, America Gets a Senior Citizen Sugar Daddy

A.J. Rice, RealClearMarkets

Politics is about the payoff - vote for me and I will give you that . . . to be paid for, of course, by the others who didn't vote for me. Joe Biden promised to give lots of stuff to seniors if they voted for him and some probably did. Now it's time to deliver the stolen goods. What did Uncle Joe - who is already 78 years old and thus America's most senior president to date - offer seniors in return for their political support? Let alone keep them.

Is a Universal Basic Income Coming Closer to Reality?

Paul Davidson, USA Today

Despite working two jobs, Lorrine Paradela, 46, of Stockton, California, endured unrelenting stress over whether she could pay her bills every month. "Sometimes you get child support, sometimes you don't," says Paradela, who lives with her 17-year-old son and 11-year-old daughter and doesn't qualify for public assistance. "My mind kept going all the time. It wouldn't stop. I didn't sleep right."

The Same Old Tax Tricks From a 'Do Something' Congress

Sarah Anderson, RCM

In the name of "doing something," politicians once again seek to abuse the tax code to achieve radical policy agenda items. Last week, it was Sens. Sanders and Wyden seeking a backdoor minimum wage hike when the Senate parliamentarian didn't give them their way on a $15 federal minimum wage. This go ‘round, progressives are looking to a blanket "financial transaction tax" to supposedly "rein in" Wall Street hedge funds, at the expense of ordinary Americans' savings and investment. However, another week in Washington means another week that politicians on both sides of the aisle...

The Long Run in the Value Space Is Lying to You

Cliff Asness, AQR Capital Management

In the long run.

Chairman Powell Offered Patient Message, Markets Quivered

Jeanna Smialek, NYT

Stocks fell and bond yields rose after the Fed leader reiterated that the central bank did not plan to pull back policy support soon.

There's Precedent for Yellen Demanding Central Bank Rescue

Jeffrey Snider, RCM

Would Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen call Federal Reserve Chairman Jay Powell into her decorated, historic office to demand the central bank rescue the Treasury market? If she did, there's already precedent. An economy recovering from the worst sort of setback aided by massive fiscal intervention set loose inflation expectations on the rampage. Many influential people began to fear it was recovering too quickly. "In response to a request for a statement as to present business and credit conditions Mr. Williams said…in March…he was fearful that the recovery movement was...

Yields Sparking Nerve-Racking, Below Surface Rotation

William Watts, MarketWatch

Rotation pushes Nasdaq into correction territory as bond yields continue rise

Why Bitcoin May Be the Currency of the Future

Trish Regan, American Consequences

March 4, 2021 - Despite attempts by governments around the world to regulate it, and its own massive fluctuations in value, bitcoin is still a major player and may grow even bigger in the coming years.

Can the U.S. Economy Grow Without Immigration?

John Tamny, RealClearMarkets

"I can do things you cannot, you can do things I cannot; together we can do great things." - Mother Teresa Imagine 100 people on a wholly deserted, seemingly inaccessible island. Life would be pretty bleak. With only 100 people working, life's barest necessities would be all that the inhabitants could hope for. So what if a listing, soon-to-sink ship carrying another 100 people were to accidently bump into this island, only for the passengers to depart the ship. Would the 100 original inhabitants lose their jobs? Obviously not. The arrival of two hundred more "hands" would mean that every...

The New Administration Must Address Broken China Trade Deal

Riley Walters, Hill

Here are critical actions to take with this economic situation.

New Leadership Is 1st Step In Fixing TX NRG Prob

Jason Isaac, Washington Examiner

Don't let the door hit you on the way out! That's the message millions of Texans who spent the coldest week in memory shivering in the dark have for the now-former leadership of the Electric Reliability Council of Texas, the manager of the electric grid powering 90% of the Lone Star State.

Message from the Recent Bond Market Turmoil

Kathy Jones, Charles Schwab

The spike in U.S. Treasury bond yields sent ripples throughout global markets.

The UK Gets All 'Austere.' Again.

Market Minder, Fisher Investments

Aside from next year's stealth income tax hike, most of the UK's new Budget looks like version 2.0 of make-believe austerity.

Retirement Savings Struggles? Unc Sam May Help

Carrie Schwab-Pomerantz, Schwab

The Saver's Credit is like a retirement match from Uncle Samâ?"if you qualify. Here's what you need to know.

As Duration Dies, Equities Rise

Jim Masturzo, Research Affiliates

We compare the current value of bonds versus stocks within the context of the equity risk premium. We couple this analysis with an evaluation of possible Fed policy direction. Our conclusion is that risk assets, such as US equities and corporate bonds, are poised to benefit as are gold and other commodities due to tumbling real yields and dollar weakening.

U.S. Cities With the Most Start-Up Businesses

Various, The Roofstock Team

Startups are a significant driver of the U.S. economy. Each year, thousands of entrepreneurs launch new businesses that create jobs and spur innovation and efficiency across the market. According to the U.S. Census Bureau, more than 420,000 startups accounted for 2.2 million new jobs in 2018.

February ISM Manufacturing: Expansion Continues

Richard Moody, Regions Bank

EleVation: Some V-Shaped Economic Data to Cheer

Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab

Looking at the latest economic data reveals V-shaped recoveries in many goods-based indicators; while services has more catch-up to do.

Ken Fisher on Nixing the VIX

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

Will Uncle Sam Force Big Tech to Break Up?

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

Shattering the Debt Ceiling Myth

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

Socially Irresponsible Investing

Vitaliy Katsenelson, Contrarian Edge

Socially responsible investing on an institutional level, where one body makes "socially responsible" capital allocation decisions for a pool of investors, is a utopian concept, just like socialism.

What Are the New Inflation Hawks Thinking?

J. Bradford DeLong, @prosyn

After so many years of hand-wringing over disappointing US economic growth, it is odd to hear prominent economists sounding the alarm about the mere possibility of inflation. If anything, we should want an economy in which a higher federal funds rate is warranted.

Will the Real Retirement Income Number Please Stand Up?

Amy Arnott, @MorningstarInc

Is the 4% rule too high, too low, or just right?

Everyone's Talking About Bubbles

James Picerno, The Capital Spectator

Is it time to act?

The Mother of All Stock-Market Bubbles

Daniel Tenreiro, National Review

One of Warren Buffet's preferred indicators is flashing warning signs.

Return-to-Office Plans Are Set in Motion

Jeanna Smialek, The New York Times

Many employers are not making a decision until many workers are vaccinated. And some are making plans for "hybrid" work arrangements.

A Billion A Day In SPACs. What Could Go Wrong?

Charlie Bilello, Compound Advisors

Years from now, we'll look back and say it was obvious. That the signs of a historic mania were clear as day, with a billion a day in SPACs being the most prominent.

Support Cuba's Emerging Markets by Ending the Blockade

Benjamin Powell, The Hill

The U.S. government should encourage the growth of the private sector in Cuba by repealing its 60-year-old embargo and allowing U.S. businesses to trade with the newly freed Cuban entrepreneurs.

Texas Electricity Prices Actually Lower Due to Deregulation

Thomas Hogan, AIER

The deregulation of the Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) region has been held up as a model for electrical utility reform. As economist Jay Zarnikau describes, ERCOT "is generally considered to be the most successful of the restructured retail electricity markets in North America." Yet recent weather-induced blackouts and anticipated price increases are causing many to question whether deregulation has benefited Texas consumers.

Why 1st World Countries Have 3rd World Cities

Nicholas Umashev, Fdn for Econ Edu.

As I avoided the potholes, ignored the sounds of guns, and walked past beggars throughout the streets of New Orleans, I could not help but be reminded of my travels in Phnom Penh, Cambodia. With their mass poverty and crumbling infrastructure, the two cities differ in one key area: Phnom Penh is in a developing country and New Orleans is in a developed country.

How Too Much Choice Is Actually Hurting America

Paul Krugman, The New York Times

Learning from subprime, health care and electricity.

Is The "K-Shaped" Recovery Con Finally Over?

Matt Taibbi, TK News by Matt Taibbi

The pandemic has been a financial and political boon to the 1%. Will they really change up the pattern in the coming pandemic relief program?

Working Moms See Help On The Horizon

Laurent Belsie, The Christian Science Monitor

For a year millions of working parents, especially moms, have been stretched to the limits by a stay-home swirl of kids and work.

Imagine Your Flexible Office Work Future

Anne Helen Petersen, Culture Study

Work from home today is not what you'll be doing post-pandemic.

The Fed's Hotel California Problem

Matt Egan & CNN Business, CNN

The repo market, a murky yet crucial corner of Wall Street, is acting weird again. And the turmoil suggests the Federal Reserve may need to come to the rescue once more.

Amazon's Cash Flow

Stephen Clapham, Behind The Balance Sheet

Amazon's cash generation is impressive.

No Room on the ARK?

Ben Johnson, @MorningstarInc

If you can get aboard, should you?

How to Survive and Make Money in the Matrix

Tyler, Portfolio Charts

How to invest like Neo.
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