10/15/2021
Today

Why Energy Prices Will Decline, With Or Without QE

Ken Fisher, RealClearMarkets

Hurry up and taper! So say the consensus of pundits now, morphing from months of fearing the Fed ending quantitative easing's bond buying would crush stocks and the economy. Now they claim QE must end to tame soaring energy prices they now fear will crush global growth. Wrong and very wrong! QE cutbacks won't calm surging commodities—and needn't. Price pressures will ease as supply problems subside, sooner than most think. Here is why. Last month, I showed you why fables of past "tantrums" made 2021's QE taper fears false. QE never, ever stimulates. It flattens yield curves, saps banks'...

Why's Everyone Quitting Their Job?

Taylor Telford & Aaron Gregg, The Washington Post

Waves of Americans are leaving their jobs in the "Great Resignation." Here's why.

The Inevitable Mkt. Optimism of Matt McCall

Laura Greaver, American Consequences

We profile Stansberry Research's newest star, Matt McCall, whose story is some version of the old-school American dream.

Industry In Decline: When Will We Have Last Oil Spill?

Bill McKibben, New Yorker

The latest incident comes as the fossil-fuel industry heads into a terminal decline.

Why All the 'Supply-Chain' Excitement?

Chad Brown & Douglas Irwin, New York Times

The pandemic showed how vulnerable we are to a globalized economic system. But an entirely domestic industrial policy may actually backfire.

Dems' Spending Bill Breaks Biden's Middle Class Tax Pledge

Alex Hendrie, Hill

Working families will see fewer jobs, higher prices, lower wages and reduced life savings under the Democrats' tax hike plan.

Should You Make Quarterly Tax Payments?

Emma Kerr, U.S. News & World Report

Quarterly taxes are estimated payments made on a quarterly basis to the U.S. Internal Revenue Service for income that is not subject to withholding. As the U.S. workforce is increasingly engaged in freelancing, side gigs and self-employment, quarterly payments are a reality more taxpayers may soon be facing.

Why a Social Security COLA Raise Is Bad for Retirees

Christy Bieber, Motley Fool

While a 6% raise in Social Security income may sound nice, if it's not enough to keep up with rising costs seniors won't end up better off at all.

Business Should Keep Ignoring TX Vaxx Mandate Ban

Mark Gongloff, Bloomberg

They should do what's right.

The Tragedy of the Lockdowns: Jeffrey Tucker Int.

Bill Walton, The Bill Walton Show

Brownstone Insitute president Jeffrey Tucker lays it out for Bill.

The True Power of Money Lurks In the Shadows

Jeffrey Snider, RealClearMarkets

How could an inflationary environment persist, actually flourish, during a time when macroeconomic slack was at an extreme? Conventional economic theory uniformly said that when so many workers are sidelined by recession, this acts as a deflationary pressure on first wages before everything else in an economic system. Companies that can therefore choose from a large pool of relatively cheaper labor should then be able to pass along savings to customers in order to boost sales. A virtuous circle of discounting that helps kickstart the recovery side. Shockingly, this didn't happen during the...

Evergrande: Window Into China's Millions of Empty Homes

Michelle Toh, CNN

Evergrande's troubles are part of a much bigger problem. Here's a look at how it first originated.

The Death and Birth of Technological Revolutions

Ben Thompson, Stratechery

Carlota Perez documents technological revolutions, and thinks we're in the middle of the current one; what, though, if we are nearing its maturation? Is crypto next?

Inflation: Persistently Transitory

Jeffrey Kleintop, Charles Schwab

Persistently going from one transitory source of inflation to the next may keep inflation elevated for longer than markets currently anticipate.

You Don't Have a Financial Plan? Why Not?

Carrie Schwab-Pomerantz, Schwab

Here are the top five reasons people give for not having a financial plan—and why everyone needs one.

Transitory Inflation Makes Itself Right at Home

Richard Moody, First Trust Advisors

The Real Essentials of Automation

Martin C.W. Walker, LinkedIn

With advances in artificial intelligence (AI), it seems that the range of economic activities that can and will be automated is now limitless. Not for the first time, society is both thrilled and fearful of the opportunities.

Cities With Highest and Lowest Homeownership

David Heacock, FilterBuy.com

Income inequality has been a major social, political, and economic issue since the Great Recession, and the uneven effects of the COVID-19 economy has only made the gaps between America's haves and have-nots even starker. These divergent economic fortunes will continue to have a major effect on housing in the U.S.

Focus On Data, Not Spin

Brian Wesbury & Robert Stein, First Trust Advisors

The Flaws In Biden's 24 Hour Open Port Strategy

Claire Jones, FT Alphaville

Demanding the logistics industry works round the clock won't ease logjams, buying less stuff would.

Confronting the Supply Chain Crisis

Joel Kotkin, Quillette

For a generation, the Long Beach and Los Angeles harbors in California handled more than 40 percent of all container cargo headed into the US and epitomized the power of a globalizing economy. Today, the ships—mostly from Asia—still dock, but they must wait in a seemingly endless conga

Can We Cut Drug Prices & Still Innovate New Cures?

Dylan Scott, Vox

The big unanswered question at the heart of Democrats' health care agenda.

A New Global Economic Consensus

Mariana Mazzucato, Project Syndicate

Now that the COVID-19 pandemic has highlighted the deficiencies of economic deregulation and market liberalization, a new policymaking paradigm is emerging. But its success depends on concrete reforms and the creation of new mission-driven institutions.

Trump's Tariffs Didn't Work. Biden's Won't Either.

Veronique de Rugy, Reason

They favor special interests, hurt consumers, and have utterly failed to rein in China.

Big Oil Cuts Production, Petro-States Step Up

Clifford Krauss, New York Times

In the Middle East, Africa and Latin America, government-owned energy companies are increasing oil and natural gas production as U.S. and European companies pare supply because of climate concerns.

10 Undervalued Stocks With Solid Dividends

Susan Dziubinski, Morningstar

We think the payouts on these names are sustainable.

The Incredible Shrinking Dollar's Price Impact

Trish Regan, American Consequences

Whether it's breakfast at your local diner or raw materials for global supply chains, inflated prices are hitting closer to home than ever.

Republicans Becoming the Anti-Business Party

Paul Krugman, New York Times

Corporations learn that extremism is not their friend.

No, Biden's $3.5 Trillion Spending Plan Does Not Cost "0"

Ryan Bourne, Cato

Economists are attuned to our terms being bastardised by politicians. In the mouths of presidents and Congress, "investment" is widely used as a synonym for "spending." "Infrastructure" today seemingly means any social policy Democrats think is worthy. A carbon tax was recently dubbed by White House spokeswoman Jen Psaki as a "corporate polluter fee." And in the most shameless dictionary land‐​grab of all, President Biden, Nancy Pelosi, Ron Klain, and Psaki have repeatedly tried to redefine what we understand by the "cost" of the reconciliation bill—claiming that a $3.5 trillion bill...

Make Expanded Child Credit Part of U.S. Safety Net

Melissa Kearney, Brookings

Based on comments at an Institute for Research on Poverty webinar, Melissa S. Kearney breaks down the reasons why an expanded Child Tax Credit or child allowance should be part of the U.S. safety net.

What Are Nobel Journalists Doing?

Joakim Book, Am. Institute for Economic Research

For weeks, economists on social media and over dinner tables around the world have speculated on who might be receiving this year's Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel. It's a fun little game that economists play - and some, stubbornly, refuse to play - on par with guessing the movies and actors nominated for the Academy Awards.

Fisher Investments on Election-Year Uncertainty: This, Too, Shall Pass

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

Will Uncle Sam Force Big Tech to Break Up?

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

Shattering the Debt Ceiling Myth

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

A Slow Motion Train Wreck

Scott Grannis, Calafia Beach Pundit

There is no shortage of things to worry about.

Tea With Jon Gruden

Matt Taibbi, TK News

Notes from a surprise visit.

Alleviating California's Housing Shortage with Malls

Howard Husock, City Journal

An obscure new law could help convert underutilized commercial properties into new housing.

It's Never Too Late to Change

Nick Maggiulli, Of Dollars And Data

On profound realizations and taking a different path in life.

Reaching for Returns

Charlie Bilello, Compound Advisors

The 40-year decline in interest rates has put investors today in a difficult position. They are forced to either reach for higher returns or accept the reality of lower ones.

R.I.P. – The Money Multiplier

Cullen Roche, Pragmatic Capitalism

The money multiplier myth is finally officially over.

Work Hard, Play Hard: Life Lessons From Sammy Hagar

Chris Taylor, Reuters

You probably know Sammy Hagar as a music legend, either from his solo career or as a longtime frontman for Van Halen. What you might not know: The gravel-voiced 70-year-old is also an impressive business titan, with successful ventures ranging from spirits to restaurants.
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