09/25/2020
Today

Why Investors Are Starting to Worry About Election '20

Mark Decambre, MarketWatch

Less than a month and a half from the 2020 presidential elections and investors are starting to get panicky about the race for the White House and what that...

The Recent Stock Slide Won't De-FANG the Bull Market

Ken Fisher, RealClearMarkets

Tech is tanking, so bye-bye bull market—that’s logic many pundits peddled ever since the FANGs and big name Tech stocks started September’s swoon. They claim Tech fueled the market’s post-March rise--so what kills Tech, kills this young bull market, too. It sounds compelling. But it’s wrong. This global rebound—and Tech’s leadership in it—is far more durable than most fathom. Here’s why. Yes, already leading pre-COVID, Tech’s strong balance sheets and cash flows cushioned the contraction’s blow. Then, too, Tech’s business...

The Stock Market's Momentum Has Now Turned Negative

Chuck Jones, Forbes

In the past three weeks the stock market?s momentum and potentially more important, investors psychology, has turned negative. Unless a catalyst changes the markets direction, the S&P 500 and Dow will likely follow the Nasdaq into correction.

Taiwan's Rising Economic Importance: Gavin Baker Int.

Christoph Gisiger, themarket

Gavin Baker, founder and Chief Investment Officer of Atreides Management, spots exciting perspectives for investments in the chip sector. He anticipates a surge in demand due to the rise of artificial intelligence and explains why Taiwan could become geopolitically even more important than the oil rich countries of the Middle East in the 1970s.

Let's Be Sure Earmarks Stay In 'Dustbin of History'

Andrew Wilford, RealClearMarkets

Back in 2011, Congress took a rare positive step to rein in wasteful and politically motivated spending by ending the disgraceful practice of “earmarks.” Unfortunately, some members of Congress want to undoprogress made in treating taxpayer dollars with the respect they deserve by bringing back wasteful pet projects. Prior to the ban, earmarks were a favorite tool of the political establishment to corral the votes needed to pass major legislation. On-the-fence legislators could be provided with sweeteners, like a major infrastructure project in their districts to assist in...

Why So Much Science Is Wrong

Joakim Book, American Institute for Economic Research

In a year where scientists seemed to have gotten everything wrong, a book attempting to explain why is bizarrely relevant. Of course, science was in deep trouble long before the pandemic began and Stuart Ritchie’s excellent Science Fictions: How Fraud, Bias, Negligence, and Hype Undermine the Search for Truth had been long in the making. Much welcomed, nonetheless, and very important. For a contrarian like me, reading Ritchie is good for my mental sanity – but bad for my intellectual integrity. It fuels my priors that a lot of...

Amid Coronavirus, Great American Comeback Underway

Christos Makridis, The Hill

What we need is not more stimulus, but rather growth and long-run planning.

The Economic Recovery Story Is As Fake As Ever

Jeffrey Snider, RealClearMarkets

In early October 2015, former Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke stopped by the op-ed pages of the Wall Street Journal on his way to taking his victory lap. Poised for the first time in too long a time, the Federal Reserve under his immediate successor was about to hike policy rates fulfilling, in central bank terms, an unbelievably long quest to get the US economy to recover from the Great “Recession.” A quest that in 2015 had already been surprisingly lengthened…by something. Never mind these other “transitory” factors threatening to spoil...

The 'Right Kind of Nothing' Drove Amazing 2019 Economy

Bruce Yandle, Examiner

Sometimes, economic data are so good that we should all, the entire nation, pause for a few minutes and celebrate. This is the case with the Census Bureau's Sept. 15 report on 2019 U.S. income growth for families and individuals, which tells us much about how we might seek to prosper once again.

Social Security 2021 COLA Expected to Be Small

Paul Katzeff, Investor's Business Daily

If you receive Social Security benefits, brace yourself. Estimates call for a meager 1.3% annual cost-of-living-adjustment (COLA) in 2021. A Social Security COLA 2021 that tiny would be the smallest since 2017's 0.3%.

Proposals From Left, Right About Reducing Wealth Inequality

Various, USA Today

John Mackey Interview:'Whole World Is Getting Fat'

David Gelles, New York Times

John Mackey, who espouses a high-minded version of capitalism, sold his upscale grocery chain to Amazon.

Navigating NYC Out Of Covid Financial Crisis

E.J. McMahon, Manhattan Institute

Exploring the history of NYC's past budget crises, restoring the FCB's authority over spending could help deliver the city out of this Covid crisis.

Covid-19: Facts vs. Phobia

Richard Salsman, InterMarket Forecasting Inc.

Will Biden v. Trump Sink Stock Market?

Brad McMillan, Commonwealth Financial Network

The Long Slog Recovery?

Brian Wesbury & Robert Stein, First Trust Advisors

Existing Home Sales: Not Buying Headline Hype

Richard Moody, Regions Bank

Thursday's Jobless Claims Is the Number to Watch

Richard Moody, Regions Bank

Investors Should Fasten Their Seat Belts for Year End

Pat O'Hare, Briefing.com

What the Election May Mean for Social Security

Mark Miller, Morningstar

The next administration will face key policy questions related to the program's long-term solvency, says contributor Mark Miller.

The Election Result Wall Street Fears The Most

Emily Stewart, Vox

Joe Biden and Donald Trump would mean different things for Wall Street and the market. But the true nightmare scenario is a presidential election where the result isn't clear.

White-Collar Crime, No Punishment

Katharina Pistor, Project Syndicate

Even if the latest scandals in banking reveal nothing new about the financial industry's ethical standards, they have put a spotlight on a bigger emerging problem: the complicity of law enforcement agencies in white-collar crime. The watchdogs are not only shirking their duties; they have joined the other side.

The US Glass Is More Than Half Full

Ed Yardeni, MarketWatch

Why the US economy will soon recover and get back to the good old days of 2019.

The Libertarian Ideas That Wrecked the Fed

Bruce Bartlett, The New Republic

Milton Friedman's influence on America's monetary policy blew up the past and mortgaged our future.

Congress Continues to Spend Huge Piles of Money

Veronique de Rugy, Reason

Even without further spending increases, the Congressional Budget Office projects that the national debt will hit 107 percent of GDP in 2023.

Can China's Economic Miracle Continue?

Editors, The Economist

In a new book, Thomas Orlik argues China is "the bubble that never pops"

Why The September Selloff Has Contrarians Bullish

Mark Hulbert, MarketWatch

Contrarian-minded investors are bullish about short-term market-timers' growing bearishness

Is Tesla's Stock Price Crazy or Just Plain Nuts?

John Rekenthaler, Morningstar

Placing the company's valuation into historical context.

History Says Stocks Perform Better Under Dems

Matt Egan & CNN Business, CNN

President Donald Trump has warned of economic and financial Armageddon if Joe Biden and the Democrats retake the White House next year. But history paints a very different story.

Top Twenty Lessons I've Learned In 2020

Jeffrey Tucker, AIER

This year has been a shocker in more ways than one.

Are There 10 Million Fewer Jobless Than Thought?

Matthew C. Klein, Barrons.com

Processing backlogs and the way jobless claims are counted have likely inflated the number of Americans seeking unemployment benefits, writes Barron's economics commentator Matthew C. Klein. .

Fisher Investments on Election-Year Uncertainty: This, Too, Shall Pass

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

Ken Fisher on Nixing the VIX

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

Will Uncle Sam Force Big Tech to Break Up?

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

Shattering the Debt Ceiling Myth

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

Has Regulation Stamped Out Growth?

John Cochrane, The Grumpy Economist

Is economic growth inexorably slowing down? If so, what caused it?

Europe's Green Central Planning Won't Work

Hans Werner Sinn, Project Syndicate

In pursuing its grand environmental ambitions, the European Commission has ignored a commonsense solution in favor of an approach based on central planning and pervasive state intervention in the economy. The further the Commission goes on this path, the more reason there will be to question its motives.

Does Trump Have A Plan For Social Security?

Brett Arends, MarketWatch

Otherwise 80 million Americans face brutal retirement income cuts within about a decade

Two Big Trends For the Future

Ben Carlson, A Wealth Of Common Sense

Home equity and sports gambling.

Why Are There So Few "Right Wing" Firms?

Bryan Caplan, Econlib

The economics of discrimination.

Why Benefits Shouldn't Be Means Tested

Steve Randy Waldman, Interfluidity

When eligibility for benefits is conditional, all kinds of bad things happen.

No Paradigm Has Shifted. Value Is Just Fine Folks.

Drew Dickson, Drew's Views

Was value just a "hot hand" thing?
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