06/11/2020
Today

Why Isn't the Stock Market 'Reading the Room'?

Spencer Bokat-Lindell, New York Times

The nation is in crisis, but it's not the market's job to care.

A Rational Disconnect Between Stocks & Economy

Market Minder, Fisher Investments

It is normal for stocks and economic data to deviate as a new cycle begins.

Talented Immigrants Are Essential Creators of Nat Wealth

Grover Norquist, Examiner

America must be strong, powerful, rich â?" and lead the world in technology and science.

There's No 'But China' When It Comes to Genius of Free Trade

Walter Block, RCM

Some fair weather friends of free trade have been rethinking their positions in the face of supposed Chinese economic weaponization of pharmaceuticals. They are now embracing managed trade, instead....

Hong Kong Really Only Has One Rival for Departing Businesses

Laura He, CNN

American executives in Hong Kong are nervous about the city's future as a center for global business. For the minority already considering a Plan B, though, Singapore might be the only realistic option.

Cleveland Obliterates the Dopey Conceit of Monetary Fabulists

John Tamny, RCM

A drive down Fairmount or Shaker Boulevard in Cleveland, OH is a revelation. Remarkable house after remarkable house from the early part of the 20th century. Hard as it may be for some to imagine,...

Strong Econ. Numbers Mean Congress Must Pause Spending

Adam Brandon, Hill

The nation is headed toward more success as business restarts.

'My Company's Reopening Plan Is a Complete Disaster'

Alison Green, New York

Your employer cannot legally penalize you for advocating for different working conditions. That might include milestones that must be met before reopening, safety precautions that are enforced, and continued telework for anyone high-risk.

Fatal Conceit of C-19 Models

Gregory van Kipnis, American Institute for Economic Research

With apologies to Friedrich Hayek, I find there is a fatal conceit amongst purveyors of epidemiological information that imply they know more than they can know when forecasting the outlook for a new infection. Of course, we have to do the best we can with limited information, but we should be humble in forecasting and reluctant to support politically inspired prescriptions of how society and the economy should be regulated in the face of uncertainty. We have to be very conservative because, more often than not, the first words out of a politician’s mouth is “what’s the...

Revisit Sect. 230 - Not For Reasons You Think

Harold Furchtgott-Roth & Kirk Arner, RCM

Reacting to the perceived political bias of certain social media platforms, President Trump recently issued an executive order asking various federal agencies to review "Section...

Will Earlier Covid-19 Correction Crush Your Retirement?

Eric Nelson, Servo Wealth

Will the Covid stock market decline crush the hopes you have for a comfortable retirement? Keep reading to find out...

You May Need Social Security More Than You Imagine

Katie Brockman, Motley Fool

The median amount that U.S. workers have saved for retirement is just $50,000, according to a recent report from the Transamerica Center for Retirement Studies. Even among baby boomers – the generation that is currently in the midst of retiring – the median worker only has about $144,000 socked away. For many, that amount of money likely will be depleted after just a few years in retirement.

Capital Flows Were a Signal

Russell Redenbaugh & James Juliano, Kairos Capital Management

May Jobs Was Blowout, But What's Next?

Martin Pring, Pring Turner Asset Management

Your Financial Questions Answered

Carrie Schwab-Pomerantz, Charles Schwab

How do you manage money in times of crisis? Carrie Schwab Pomerantz recently answered a range of questions from Redditors. Here are three more.

Should Wise Investors Be Overweighted NY Office Buildings?

Jerry Bowyer, Vident

Powell's Task: Move Markets, But Do Little

Steve Englander, Standard Chartered

You Can't Predict Tails. Have a Good Strategy Instead.

Solomon Teller, Green Harvest

The Recession Is Over

Brian Wesbury & Robert Stein, First Trust Advisors

The Racial Inequity of Personal Finance

Ron Lieber & Tara Siegel Bernard, New York Times

Economic equality is crucial to racial equality. But at nearly every stage of their lives, black Americans have less than whites.

Despite Job Gains, the Economy Still Needs Federal Support

Harry Holzer, The Hill

We all hope for a rapid, sustained and evenly spread recovery in the months ahead, and we should all cheer for such news when we see it. At the same time, we cannot close our eyes to ongoing economic pain and uneven recovery. A sensible package of supports, that adapts to changes in need whenever and wherever they occur, is the right way forward.

Let Jobless Benefits Lapse

Veronique de Rugy, American Institute for Economic Research

Economist Robert Higgs is well known for showing that government grows according to a ratchet effect: Government expands rapidly during a crisis and then recedes after the crisis is over, but it does not return to the pre-crisis level of involvement in our lives. But at this point, we need to expand the concept to include the fact that each time a crisis arises, the size of government’s response gets bigger and bigger, thus making ever more unlikely a return to pre-crisis size.

Why Stress Is Skyrocketing Among the U.S. Middle-Aged

Brett Arends, MarketWatch

But if you?re 45 to 64, a new study says there?s some good news on the horizon

Assessing Some of the Econ. Policy Options to Covid-19

Alex Muresianu, Arc Digital

Pandemic Economics: A framework for understanding economic policy right now. How does coronavirus affect tax rates, stimulus, aggregate supply and demand?

HSBC Is Taking Heat From All Sides for Backing China on HK

Michelle Toh, CNN

HSBC is learning just how tough it is to please both China and the West.

He Says He Saved 3.1 Million....

Phillip Magness, American Institute for Economic Research

The problem of causal inference presents one of the great challenges of empirical analysis. While it is relatively easy to find patterns in data that appear to move over time in response to overlapping events, it is much harder to show that those events specifically caused the data to move as expected. Think about how presidents often cite positive economic data such as GDP growth or the stock market as vindication of their own economic policies. Prior to early March 2020 this was a favorite tweeting topic of Donald Trump, although his predecessors almost all made similar claims....

Fauci Warns 'Nightmare' Isn't Over. Why Is He Being Ignored?

Seth Cohen, Forbes

On Tuesday, America?s top infectious disease expert warned that the pandemic is still in its infancy. Is anyone listening?

Investors Are Fleeing to Bond Funds. It's Good News for Stocks

Mark Hulbert, MW

Favor stocks over bonds as long as current buying trends continue

What Needs to Be True For the Stock Market to Make Sense

Julia Horowitz, CNN

Two pieces of news have put the disconnect between markets and the real economy into stark relief.

How Excessive Lawsuits Threaten to Derail Econ. Recovery

Phil Goldberg, The Hill

It is time for Congress to put America's safety and recovery ahead of predatory lawsuits.

Jobs Report Wasn't Rigged. Here's What Happened.

Ben Casselman, New York Times

The pandemic has complicated the usual methods and models for compiling employment data. But uncertainty has been offset by transparency.

Fisher Investments on Election-Year Uncertainty: This, Too, Shall Pass

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

Ken Fisher on Nixing the VIX

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

Will Uncle Sam Force Big Tech to Break Up?

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

Shattering the Debt Ceiling Myth

Fisher Investments Editorial Staff, Fisher Investments

Worried About The Economy? Just Wait, It'll Get Worse

Tom Gara, Buzzfeed

After a terrifying spring spent in lockdown and a summer of protests in the streets, things are going to get a lot worse in the fall.

Why There's No Bears On Park Ave.

Macromon, Global Macro Monitor

Bears can’t win the long-game, the probabilities are stacked against them as stocks (DJIA) have generated positive returns for almost 70 percent of the last 100 years

The Depth of Our Privilege

Nick Maggiulli, Of Dollars & Data

On the many levels of class and privilege within the United States.

Why Investor Optimism Is Surging

Amy Whyte, Institutional Investor

Institutional investors reported a burst of optimism about the economy in II's weekly Fear Index.

Less Globalization, More Multilateralism

Kemal Dervis, Project Syndicate

While some degree of deglobalization may be desirable today, this process also carries grave risks, from skyrocketing production costs to geopolitical conflict. The only way to mitigate those risks is through enhanced multilateral cooperation.

8 Stocks to Avoid

Susan Dziubinski, Morningstar

These stocks are all extremely overvalued by our standards--and carry a good deal of uncertainty, too.

We Have Reached The Silly Phase of the Bull

Joseph Calhoun, RealClearMarkets

Have we entered a new bull market? Was the 35% pullback in the S&P 500 in March the fastest bear market in history? Or is this just a continuation of the bull market that started in 2009,...
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