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Hi John, here's what you need to know for February 14th in 3:14 minutes.

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Today's big stories

  1. Better-than-expected earnings from Credit Suisse and Commerzbank were well-received, but less so among Barclays' investors
  2. A Korean hedge fund’s Oscar win holds lessons for the average investor – Read Now
  3. NestlĂ©, PepsiCo, and Kraft Heinz – some of the world’s largest food and drink companies – reported disappointing updates
1/3

Eyes Wide Open

Eyes Wide Open

What’s Going On Here?

Investors daren’t look away from Credit Suisse, Commerzbank, and Barclays, with the European banks all reporting their annual results on Thursday.

What Does This Mean?

Good news for US banks’ earnings is usually good news for their European cousins, so investors probably weren’t surprised to see largely positive updates from these three giants. Commerzbank announced a narrower loss than predicted after its failed merger with rival Deutsche Bank, though it revealed it’s still planning to cut costs. Switzerland’s Credit Suisse grew its annual profit by an expectation-beating 70% compared to the year before, while Barclays’ results also one-upped forecasts. That might not be enough to distract investors from questions over the firm’s CEO, mind you


Why Should I Care?

The bigger picture: Unfollow the leader.
Barclays’ boss has been a divisive figure among investors recently. Just last year, a high-profile “activist investor” tried to steer the bank away from risky investment banking and toward a focus on savings and loans – though the CEO’s decision to stick to his guns came good in the end. But investors have been given a whole new reason to worry about the bank’s future, with regulators now investigating its CEO’s alleged criminal connections. Credit Suisse’s investors can relate: last week, its CEO was forced to resign amid a corporate spying scandal, despite being backed by most of the bank’s shareholders.

For markets: Anything the US can do
 
Stocks of large US banks have largely recovered since the global financial crisis, but those of their European counterparts haven’t. There are exceptions: French banks have recently closed in on American banks’ valuations, partly by cutting costs. But Barclays’ outlook for this year suggests it’ll struggle to do the same. The firm warned that low global interest rates will make it harder to achieve its targets, and investors – worried it'll fall short – might be unwilling to cough up for the stock.

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2/3 Premium Story

I’d Like To Thank The Academy

A Korean investment fund that backed the production of Oscar-winning movie Parasite hit the jackpot this week – and its approach demonstrates just how inventive investors are getting in the hunt for market-beating returns


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3/3

Please Feed The Animals

Please Feed The Animals

What’s Going On Here?

Food and drinks heavyweights NestlĂ©, Kraft Heinz, and PepsiCo reported earnings on Thursday, but their empty stomachs are all a-rumblin’ for some future growth.

What Does This Mean?

The three companies each had something different to show for last year. Pepsi and Kraft Heinz both reported better-than-expected profit, but unlike Pepsi, Kraft’s revenue came up short. NestlĂ©, meanwhile, missed investors’ forecasts on both counts.

Still, it could’ve been their growth expectations for this year that really left investors wanting. Pepsi ruined the mood with a disappointing growth forecast, while Kraft Heinz’s investors were likely wondering when, if ever, its shrinking revenue would reverse course. As for NestlĂ©, it said it’d need at least another year to achieve its previously promised revenue growth. It did sell off chunks of its business last year, after all


Why Should I Care?

The bigger picture: Chowing down the good stuff.
The last few years have seen more and more consumers turn to non-processed food and own-label brands. Even so, Nestlé’s kept growing thanks to its strong petcare and coffee businesses, while Pepsi’s made some savvy improvements to its snacks business. Kraft Heinz, on the other hand, has been all but left behind, resulting in a $15 billion write-down of some of its brands’ values. In other words, it’s lowered the value of some of its assets on paper, acknowledging they were overvalued.

For markets: Have a break, have a Nestlé.
Nestlé’s lowered growth forecast didn’t make any mention of the coronavirus – or how disruptive it could be to supply and demand. More conspiratorial investors might find the absence conspicuous, given that the epidemic could cause an as yet untold slowing of the global economy – and maybe even, in the worst case, a recession. It’s particularly odd considering that’d be where a company like NestlĂ© should come into its own: consumers tend to buy staple products no matter the economic weather, making the firm’s earnings relatively resilient in a downturn (tweet this).

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💬 Quote of the day

“The course of true love never did run smooth.”

– William Shakespeare (an English poet, playwright, and actor)
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đŸ€” Q&A · RE: Unsurance

“How and why do insurance companies make a loss selling policies?”

– Leo in Canada

“When an insurer sells a policy, it typically charges customers less for coverage than it’d have to pay out if they made a claim. That means insurers’ revenues are lower than their potential eventual costs, along with the expenses involved in operating their businesses. So it follows that they’re likely to lose money from their policies business. That’s why they invest customers’ premiums, with the aim of growing it above and beyond the costs of future payouts.”

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😭 In case you missed it


Here are a few things you might’ve missed in the Finimize app this week.

  • Venture capital funds are off-limits to most of us, but a crash-course in VCs’ techniques could give you the edge over everyday investors – Read our new Pack
  • Bad news for crypto investors: initial coin offerings are a bust, according to a new report – Read our premium story
  • After the weed stocks rush in 2018, it’s shrooms’ time to shine: our analysts explain why you should be both psyched and paranoid – Read our premium story

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😍 Meet singles in your area

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🇭🇰 Hong Kong: Female Financial Dialogue (Online), February 18th
🇬🇧 London HQ: A Waste of Energy? The Big Shift to Renewables, February 19th
🇩đŸ‡ș Perth: Women & Money Book Club, February 19th
🇬🇧 London: Female Financial Dialogue, February 19th
đŸ‡·đŸ‡ș Moscow: Russia in Global Capital Markets, February 20th
đŸ‡§đŸ‡©Dhaka: Investment Opportunities in Emerging Markets, February 22nd
🇬🇧 London: Law & Order: LegalTech’s Path to Disruption, February 24th
đŸ‡·đŸ‡Ž Cluj: Late Night Finance Show, March 10th
đŸ‡«đŸ‡· Paris: Female Financial Dialogue, March 12th

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Image Credits:

Image credits: Olaf Kosinsky - Wikipedia, Barclays, Credit Suisse - Flickr, SmartPhotoLab, kurhan, Ian Dyball, wavebreakmedia, Pixel-Shot - Shutterstock | thaweerat, akegooseberry, Picsfive - Shutterstock

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