EV's all that | FedEx has a chiseled jawline |

Hi John, here's what you need to know for December 20th in 3:09 minutes.

☕️ Finimized over a cortado at Fábrica da Nata in Lisbon, Portugal (🌥 11°C/52°F)

Today's big stories

  1. EV maker Rivian is expecting to miss its production target this year
  2. Our latest Casual Investor Survey suggests you're seriously into crypto right now – Read Now
  3. FedEx reported better-than-expected earnings, even with all these labor shortages

Honest Mistake

Honest Mistake

What’s Going On Here?

Rivian admitted late last week that it won’t hit its production targets for this year, as the electric vehicle (EV) maker realizes how much easier it is to say things than do them…

What Does This Mean?

Here’s the trouble with never having sold a single EV before this month: Rivian – which raised $12 billion in its initial public offering (IPO) last month – revealed in its first quarterly earnings update that it’s been struggling to produce enough EV batteries. Layer supply chain issues on top, and it’s expecting to fall “a few hundred” short of the 1,200 EVs it aimed to produce this year. And while the company still thinks it can fulfill its 170,000 existing orders by the end of 2023, it did concede that any new ones would probably get delivered the following year. So it’s all hands on deck: the EV-maker’s been on a hiring spree, and said it’d spend $5 billion on a new plant that could produce 400,000 EVs a year from 2024. Those costs didn’t appeal much either: investors initially sent its stock down 10%.

Why Should I Care?

For markets: Bless ‘em.
Rivian is still worth more than both General Motors and Ford, mind you. That has to hurt: they made $27 billion and $33 billion in sales respectively last quarter, which is – … carry the one… – $27 billion and $33 billion more than Rivian. Analysts reckon it’s because investors expect Rivian to pull a Tesla, but those are some big tire tracks to fill.

The bigger picture: Ford talks to the hand.
If Rivian’s the TikTok star saying it’ll be bigger than the Beatles, Ford is the backwards cap-sporting geriatric promising to be BTS: the carmaking stalwart said last week that it’s aiming to eventually overtake Tesla’s EV sales. Take a chill pill: Tesla has already produced well over 600,000 EVs this year, and Ford’s not expecting to get jiggy with that number until 2024.

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Analyst Take

Boy Do You Folks Love Crypto…

Boy Do You Folks Love Crypto…
Photo of Andrew

Andrew, Analyst

Our Casual Investor Survey is an end-of-quarter mainstay now, and with good reason.

The findings give you a chance to see where your fellow Finimizers’ heads are, so you can either swim with or swim against the tide.

And there have been big changes even in the last few months, with just 6% of you now expecting the economy to be stronger this time next year – down from 28% in September.

And while last quarter’s big concern Evergrande has slipped off the list of biggest concerns, Covid is climbing back up the ranks as Omicron sweeps the world.

The only thing that seems to be keeping you cool, calm, and collected now is – yep – cryptocurrencies.

So that’s today’s Insight: a deepdive into the results of our latest Casual Investor survey, and why you believe crypto will see you through.

Read or listen to the Insight here

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The Full Package

The Full Package

What’s Going On Here?

FedEx reported better-than-expected quarterly earnings late last week, as the US delivery company shows investors just how much it has to offer.

What Does This Mean?

FedEx can’t just coast by on its raw sex appeal anymore: the company has had to up wages to win over staff, meaning it spent around $470 million more on labor shortage costs than the same time last year. But FedEx is more than just a pretty face, and the company shrewdly upped sales to smaller customers who typically pay more for its services than big ones who demand discounts. Keep in mind too that retailers were pretty desperate to lock in deliveries ahead of the festive season, and FedEx was more than able to bump up its prices without losing business. What a catch: its overall revenue came in 14% higher than the same time last year.

Why Should I Care?

For markets: FedEx’s comeback.
FedEx said it’s expecting workforce shortages and their costs to clear up by the middle of next year, which can’t come soon enough: new data has shown that FedEx’s deliveries were on time just 86% of the time in the second half of November, versus UPS’s 96%. That might partly be why FedEx’s stock is down 4% this year, compared to its rival’s 27%. At least one new development might help redress that imbalance: FedEx announced on Friday that it’d be buying back $5 billion worth of its own shares, and investors – whose shares will become more valuable as the supply dwindles – sent its stock up 6% (tweet this).

The bigger picture: Oh nomicron.
The UK has certainly been keeping FedEx busy: data out on Friday showed that British retail sales were 1.4% higher in November than the month before – well above the 0.8% economists were expecting. Brits might want to enjoy it while they can, because analysts think the country’s Omicron-driven surge in cases could spell a drop-off in the next few months.

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💬 Quote of the day

“Always look for the fool in the deal. If you don’t find one, it’s you.”

– Mark Cuban (an American entrepreneur, television personality, and keen Finimizer)
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🌍 Finimize Live

🎨 Good things come to those who create

A massive part of the appeal of the blockchain and DeFi projects is the possibility for an internet driven by the people who make it what it is – not the companies who exploit their work. So consider How To Invest In The Creator Economy your introduction to how this new landscape will look, and how you can exploit their work instead.

🎉 How To Invest In The Creator Economy: 5pm UK time, January 11th
🏡 An Alternative Way To Invest In Real Estate: 5pm UK time, January 19th
📲 Investing In DAOs: 5pm UK time, January 25th
🔥 Your Guide To New Investing Opportunities: 6pm UK time, January 28th
🚀 Will The Future Be Tokenized?: 6pm UK time, January 31st

🎯 On Our Radar

  1. It was only a matter of time. A new internet-based religion is forming.
  2. Wright Brothers, eat your hearts out. The first flying car test flight was a success.
  3. Seems like a fair trade. Start with a bobby pin, end with a house.
  4. Social media is changing the way you break up. As if it wasn’t complicated enough…
  5. Covid has already taken too much. SantaCon will not be sacrificed.
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