Rivian’s got a problem with speed | Lowe’s predicted a slump this year |

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Today's big stories

  1. EV upstart Rivian delivered some pretty undercharged results
  2. Goldman Sachs picked hedge funds’ 50 favorite stocks – Read Now
  3. Lowe’s gave a frail outlook for the year, joining the doom-and-gloom retail club

Slowing In The Fast Lane

Slowing In The Fast Lane

What’s Going On Here?

EV upstart Rivian reported some plodding, underpowered results this week.

What Does This Mean?

Folks thought Rivian was gearing up for a road race with Tesla back in 2021, when the firm landed the sixth biggest listing ever on the US stock market. But since then, chronic parts shortages have plagued production and trimmed the EV maker's wings. What’s worse, last year’s missed production targets seem to have knocked the firm’s faith in the future too: the 50,000 EVs it plans to make this year would double 2022’s total, sure, but that’s still miles below analysts’ predictions. To top it all off, the company's third recall in under two years seriously rattled investors – sinking its stock by 8%.

Why Should I Care?

Zooming in: Sleight of hand.
The report contained another big red flag: Rivian had nothing to say about the number of drivers pre-ordering its trucks, which it typically reveals every quarter. That could be a ploy to conceal plummeting demand, with either the weakening economy or the long wait for the firm’s EVs to blame. Either way, Rivian needs to get its house in order: competition in the EV space is heating up, and customers won’t hesitate to snag a Ford or GM instead.

For markets: Take me back.
Rivian was the second-worst performer in the entire Nasdaq 100 index last year, suggesting that investors have been fed up with the firm for a while. And to rub salt in that wound, it seems they're running back to a richer ex: Tesla, the OG of the EV game, which actually turns a profit. Tesla’s shares have already jumped 90% this year, and analysts reckon the “clear leader” of the EV transition might rally even further.

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Analyst Take

Goldman Report Reveals Hedge Funds’ 50 “VIP” Stocks

Goldman Report Reveals Hedge Funds’ 50 “VIP” Stocks

By Luke Suddards, Analyst

For all the turmoil and downswings in markets last year, hedge funds held up astonishingly well. They dipped just 4%, compared to the S&P 500’s 18% tumble.

What’s more, this group’s “VIP” list of 50 stocks has already turned in a double-digit return this year.

That makes the latest Goldman Sachs global hedge fund report particularly important reading.

So, that’s today’s Insight: here’s how hedge funds are investing now – and how you can copy what they’re doing.

Read or listen to the Insight here

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The Highs and Lowe’s

The Highs and Lowe’s

What’s Going On Here?

Home improvement retailer Lowe’s gave a worrying results lowdown on Wednesday.

What Does This Mean?

Lowe's was laughing all the way to the bank this time last year, as a red-hot housing market spurred folk to reach for their toolboxes and spruce up neglected pads. But today it's a different story: cash-strapped shoppers are spending whatever money they can scrimp together on experiences like entertainment and travel – not patio furniture and paint. That meant that Lowe’s same-store sales dropped 1.5% last quarter, despite a few bright spots like increased sales to tradespeople and strong orders online. In fact, the only thing that saved Lowe's from a dip in overall revenue was the fact that the quarter was a week longer than the same one the year before.

Why Should I Care?

The bigger picture: Feeble retail.
Things only got worse from there for Lowe's shareholders, with the full-year sales outlook coming in well below expectations – mirroring forecasts by rival Home Depot. But hey, at least Lowe’s investors weren’t short of company, especially since Kohl’s and Dollar Tree shared some dismal outlooks and flailing quarterly results of their own on Wednesday. Put it together, though, and that’s a worrying trend: if retail’s this weak when consumer spending is still holding up, then who knows what a recession might do to it.

Zooming out: Homesick.
It's not just demand for home improvement that's slipping: buying a home isn’t appealing to folk right now either. Data out earlier this week showed that US house prices tumbled for the sixth straight month in December, and it’s not hard to see why: first-time buyers are daunted by rising borrowing costs, and current owners, who’ve already locked in low mortgage rates, are pretty happy to stay put.

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– Oscar Wilde (an Irish poet and playwright)
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