Go sit on the investigation step | China takes matters into its own hands |

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Today's big stories

  1. Robinhood is facing an investigation over its sale of client orders to giant trading firms
  2. A few unusual investing patterns could point to an imminent stock market correction – Read Now
  3. China has new plans to develop its domestic microchip-making industry and wean itself off foreign imports
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Bad Optics

Bad Optics

What’s Going On Here?

Robinhood is facing a probe from US regulators concerned that the upstart trading app hasn’t been clear enough about how it makes its money.

What Does This Mean?

The majority of stock trading involves huge “market makers” that use lightning-fast computers to profit from tiny price discrepancies within a fraction of a second. Pretty much all US brokers sell their customers’ orders to them, but the practice – known as “payment for order flow” – accounts for a higher proportion of revenue at Robinhood, which doesn’t make much from trading fees.

The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is now reportedly looking into whether Robinhood did enough to let its customers know. And if it has to settle the case, the $11 billion company – which has attracted more than 13 million clients since 2013 – might have to pay more than $10 million in fines.

Why Should I Care?

For markets: Small is beautiful. 
The plumbing that connects modern financial markets is complicated. When you hit buy on a stock in your Robinhood app, it’s unlikely your order will ever actually reach a stock exchange. That’s because market makers get in there first: small investors’ orders – unlike those of big banks and hedge funds – don’t have the clout to influence share prices, which means those prices are never going to move in a way that hurts market makers. And since market makers give small traders a better price than if the order had gone to the exchange itself, it's a win-win.

For you personally: Careful what you wish for. 
Robinhood made $180 million from payments for order flow in the second quarter, and while the company’s total revenue is generally kept under wraps, we know those payments have accounted for about half in previous years. So if the SEC gets too tough, there’s always a risk Robinhood might think about making money in new ways – like, say, suddenly imposing more fees on its users…

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2/3 Premium

Investing Patterns Are A-Changing

What’s Going On Here?

Several longstanding investment patterns have broken down recently, while the rise of a few new ones could encourage investors to brace for a coming correction.

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3/3

Domestic Goddess

Domestic Goddess

What’s Going On Here?

China’s been cooking up new plans to develop its domestic microchip industry and do away with all those unappetizing foreign imports.

What Does This Mean?

Microchips – otherwise known as semiconductors – are the fundamental building blocks of countless technologies, from smartphones to electric vehicles. And China – which uses more than 60% of the world’s supply – relies heavily on foreign imports to meet its needs. That’s what makes the increased restrictions America is imposing on China all the more problematic. Just this month, for example, the US will ban shipments of virtually all homegrown semiconductors to Huawei, one of China’s biggest technology companies.

Knowing it can’t depend on Stateside suppliers anymore, China’s trying to bolster its own capabilities by increasing research and financing for the industry. It’s all part of the country’s fourteenth consecutive 5-year economic plan, and comes on top of an existing $1.4 trillion pledge to support tech ventures – like artificial intelligence and 5G wireless networks – through to 2025.

Why Should I Care?

For markets: Delayed reactions.
Major Chinese chipmakers welcomed the news, with several of their stocks rising between 10 and 15%. As for international chipmakers, their share prices didn’t move much more than the overall market. But it might only be a matter of time: China spends $300 billion every year on foreign chips – more than it spends on oil imports – and could single-handedly leave quite the dent in those firms' revenues.

The bigger picture: Conscious decoupling.
A disruption to the flow of technology between China and the US isn’t necessarily in the former’s best interests: a decoupling of the world’s two biggest economies would, according to a study by Bloomberg, cut China’s growth rate to 3.5% in 2030, compared to 4.5% if things remain broadly unchanged (tweet this). And if the US convinces key allies to steer clear of the People's Republic as well, that drop could look even steeper…

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💬 Quote of the day

“Heroes are heroes because they are heroic in behavior, not because they won or lost.”

– Nassim Nicholas Taleb (a Lebanese-American essayist, scholar, and mathematical statistician)
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