Got those Monday blues | Round and round the bottler goes |

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Hi John, here's what you need to know for October 27th in 3:10 minutes.

🇺🇸 This just in: there’s a US election right around the corner. Join us on Wednesday to find out how the outcome might influence your portfolio: we’ll be joined by experts from IG and Wall Street Legend Peter Tuchman, no less. Sign up here

Today's big stories

  1. European software giant SAP reported worse-than-expected earnings
  2. Our analyst has laid out a smart strategy for investing in renewable energy ahead of the US election – Read Now
  3. Two major Coca-Cola bottlers agreed to merge in a near-$7 billion deal
1/3

Imperfect Storm

Imperfect Storm

What’s Going On Here?

Cloud wannabe SAP reported worse-than-expected third-quarter earnings on Monday, and there’s a 100% chance its shares suffered their biggest fall since 1999.

What Does This Mean?

SAP – which makes business operations software – is Europe’s biggest technology company by revenue. And while that revenue did fall by 4% compared to the same time last year, it was by no means the only reason the company’s stock came crashing down. 

See, SAP’s increasingly been shifting away from “license software” and the up-front fees it brings, in favor of the faster-growing but slower-to-arrive profits of subscription cloud services. Combine that with the delay as nervous businesses hold off on investing in new software, and SAP’s hand might’ve been forced: it scrapped its revenue and profit growth targets altogether for 2023. 

Why Should I Care?

For markets: The best laid plans… 
SAP currently makes around 30% of its revenue from cloud computing, but it’s aiming to get that to 60% by 2025 (tweet this). And considering how quickly the market as a whole has been growing, investors have generally been supportive of its plans. But the segment is already showing the company diminishing returns: cloud revenue grew 14% in the third quarter versus the same time last year – down from 25% in the first quarter of 2020. And SAP revealed on Monday it’ll have to invest more in its cloud business than it previously thought if it wants to make it work – not exactly something investors wanted to hear. 

The bigger picture: Bad first impressions.
With the cloud industry expected to grow 19% annually over the next two years, competition – with Salesforce, Oracle, and Microsoft – is fierce. But given that SAP is the first to announce its earnings, it’s hard to say if it’s been a rough time for the market at large or if its rivals have just been pinching its business. Investors will find out soon enough: Microsoft is set to report its earnings late on Tuesday.

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2/3 Premium

“Wind Could Give Your Portfolio A Lift”

What’s Going On Here?

Our analyst Reda thinks renewable energy’s an attractive investment no matter who wins the US election, but wind companies could do especially well.

Check out Reda’s insight with Finimize Premium

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3/3

Spin The Bottler

Spin The Bottler

What’s Going On Here?

Bottler Coca-Cola European Partners landed on a deal to buy Australian bottler Coca-Cola Amatil for $7 billion on Monday, and they make such a cute pair. 

What Does This Mean?

Coca-Cola doesn’t actually bottle its own drinks: it leaves that to a network of local bottlers – many of which it’s sold off in the past, hence the names. This deal, then, will see two of its old flames join forces, and Coca-Cola European Partners double its current market size. That should help the bottler better withstand an industry-wide slowdown – one that's been driven by both the pandemic and an increasingly sugar-averse consumer. And it looks like it wasn’t the only company (sigh) thirsty for a deal on Monday... 

Why Should I Care?

For the markets: Manic Monday.
It turns out that Europe’s Cellnex is in discussions to buy CK Hutchison’s wireless tower business for almost $11 billion, in what would be one of Europe’s biggest telecoms infrastructure deals. German chemicals giant Bayer, for its part, agreed to buy US biotech Asklepios BioPharmaceutical for up to $4 billion. And in the States, Arby’s owner Inspire Brands revealed it’s in talks to buy Dunkin’ Brands – it of donut fame – for almost $9 billion. There are plenty of reasons these companies might be keen to splash the cash: the move might open up new regions for them to sell to, it might save them money on duplicate costs, or it might just relieve some of the pressure on them by taking out a member of the competition. 

The bigger picture: Catching up and keeping up. 
Mergers and acquisitions seemed to be the flavor of last quarter, with a record $1 trillion worth of transactions conducted worldwide. Some companies are just playing catch-up after global lockdowns brought business deals to a halt, but others – like Coca-Cola European Partners – have realized that combining with other companies could be the best way to survive this brave new world. 

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💬 Quote of the day

“While you’re saving your face, you’re losing your ass.”

– Lyndon B. Johnson (the 36th president of the United States)
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📚 What we're reading

  • What do amateur runners and the elites have in common? (Inverse)
  • This is the constitutional crisis we’ve been waiting for (Project Syndicate)
  • “Make sure you catch my buggiest side” (Photocrowd)

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