Health, Wealth, and Happiness | | |
"The secret to investing is to figure out the value of something and then pay a lot less.” — Joel Greenblatt | |
In today's issue: Yesterday, our Premium members learned how decentralization + AI is the investor's holy grail (you can read that here). Today, we take a deep dive into some of the decentralized storage protocols that will provide inexpensive and nearly unlimited data storage capabilities for AI. Some of these, like Filecoin (FIL), are likely already on your radar. Others may not be. Our in-depth research can help you decide which of these decentralized storage protocols might be worth watching in the coming months. Read on to learn more about the players in the decentralized storage sector, the big names already investing, and how you can participate. | |
| Must Read Today's most important story for crypto investors. | |
In this thought-provoking piece, Lattice's Karthik Senthil proposes that to get to its next 1 billion users, crypto needs more use-case specific middleware. | |
Image via Twitter He argues that the pain point for mass crypto adoption is that any use of crypto requires interaction with the base protocol layers (L1s), all of which have made sacrifices in their UX designs to satisfy some pre-defined goal (decentralization, scaling, etc). Modular architecture is the first step in solving the adoption issue as it will allow developers to customize with users in mind by creating abstractions on top of the base layer. For example, this is how Ethereum achieved scalability (through the modular designs of projects like Optimism and Arbitrum, which allow for scaling using different techniques). The final step is the addition of use-case specific protocols (vertically-integrated middleware) which app developers can build on top of to create compelling consumer experiences. | |
Potential Web3 stack of the future. Investor takeaway: As Web3 continues to develop, these vertically integrated middleware protocols and networks will become the keys to unlocking mass user adoption of blockchain. The first areas to look for could be core services for specific verticals that crypto is uniquely positioned to disrupt, and components or products which abstract specific base layer capabilities for developers. We're watching; stay tuned. | |
Premium Power-Ups Level up your crypto investing game. | |
JUST RELEASED: Q1 2023 Blockchain Believers Portfolio Update At Bitcoin Market Journal, we have a simple crypto investing philosophy: buy and hold bitcoin, plus a small number of high-quality digital assets, for the long term (5+ years). Our premiere Blockchain Believers Portfolio began in 2018 as a way to maintain a balanced, diversified investment portfolio while still enjoying a small amount of crypto (between 2-10%). This approach has allowed our investors to share in the rewards of crypto while minimizing risk. In our most recent update, we'll show you how Blockchain Believers had their best quarter yet and how you could be growing your long-term portfolio. Premium members: Download the Q1 Blockchain Believers update here to get our in-depth insights and takeaways. Not yet a Premium member? Sign up now and get instant access to our ongoing portfolio updates, along with our library of tools and data for crypto investors. | |
Sector Report: Decentralized Storage Protocols by Daniel Joel | |
Executive Summary: The cloud storage market is estimated to be worth over $70 billion as of 2021. It's still growing fast thanks to its convenience and cost-effectiveness. Decentralized storage, based on distributed blockchain networks, has emerged as a promising alternative to traditional centralized storage systems, offering users increased security, privacy, and resilience. However, more is needed to disrupt the already flourishing centralized storage industry. Some projects, like Filecoin, Sia, and Ocean Protocol, are working to make decentralized storage the go-to choice for consumers and enterprises. Traditional centralized storage services like Amazon, Microsoft, and data centers like Equinix and Digital Realty, have dominated the data storage market for years. They maintain their advantage by providing users with easy access to storage and backup services. However, as data privacy and security concerns continue to mount, decentralized storage solutions offer users lower prices, more security, and greater control over their data. Below, we'll cover the most significant players and investment opportunities in the space. Industry Overview Centralized storage systems have been the backbone of data storage and management for decades. However, as the internet has evolved, so have the risks associated with these storage platforms such as: Predatory pricing Lack of control over data Data mismanagement Lack of transparency in pricing Enter decentralized storage protocols. These projects are trying to rival (and potentially replace) centralized storage companies by creating systems for storing and accessing data that are distributed across a network of nodes rather than being centrally controlled by single entities or organizations. One of the main selling points of decentralized storage protocols is that, by design, they're more resistant to censorship and control by any single authority. In a decentralized system, there's no single point of failure or control, so it's harder for any entity to shut down or manipulate the system. Plus, decentralized systems are more secure compared with centralized ones as data is distributed across many nodes, making it harder for an attacker to compromise the entire system. The data itself is protected through encryption and fragmentation, meaning any individual node sees only “noise” in the data. Most of these projects have been around for a while, but they didn’t receive much attention before 2021. Per a report by CoinGecko, decentralized storage capacity increased by more than 4X from 2020 after hitting 16.7 million TB in storage by the end of 2021. Notably, Filecoin has been leading the pack through the years and currently has the largest capacity with a network storage power of over 22.4 million TB. However, CoinGecko notes that as of late 2022, only 1% of Filecoin’s total capacity was actively used. | |
The growth of decentralized storage capacity. Image via CoinGecko. As expected, centralized cloud storage services like Amazon Web Services, Oracle, and Dropbox are way ahead in revenues generated compared to decentralized storage protocols. This is because these centralized services have been established for longer periods and have larger customer bases, with many large organizations relying on their services. Decentralized storage protocols, on the other hand, are still quite new and are struggling with adoption. | |
Revenues are growing, but perhaps not fast enough. Image via CoinGecko. While centralized storage services aren't particularly expensive, decentralized protocols are gunning for even lower prices for storage services. For instance, the largest decentralized storage protocol Filecoin charges less than a cent per month for a terabyte of storage space. That’s nothing compared with centralized storage providers, who charge anywhere from $4.17 to $9.99 a month for a terabyte of storage. However, some storage protocols may charge extra fees for uploading and downloading data from the network. | |
Decentralized storage costs are quite attractive. Image via CoinGecko. Top Decentralized Storage Protocol Projects | |
Investment Thesis Like in any novel industry, early investors are betting on the future potential of the decentralized storage industry. They see the opportunity for decentralized storage protocols to disrupt the centralized cloud storage industry, which is currently dominated by a few large companies. If successful, these protocols could see significant adoption and growth, leading to potentially high returns for early investors. On top of believing in the technology, they may view investing in the space as a way of diversifying their portfolios. Here are some of the common ways they're investing: Investing in cryptocurrencies: Many decentralized storage protocols have their own cryptocurrencies that are used as means of payment for storage and bandwidth. Investors who believe in the potential of an underlying project can buy and hold its tokens as their success is directly linked. Mining: Some decentralized storage protocols allow users to sell bandwidth and storage space to the network to earn rewards in the form of the protocol's cryptocurrency. However, there are also potential risks associated with investing in the decentralized storage industry. On top of crypto volatility, there are regulatory risks concerning data compliance, which could impact the value of investments in the decentralized storage space. Also, there’s the question of adoption. Despite offering potential benefits, such as increased privacy and security, these services may face challenges in gaining widespread adoption and competing with established centralized cloud storage providers. | |
Who’s Investing: Institutional Backing Decentralized storage protocols have been gaining momentum in recent years, with many investors recognizing the potential of this emerging technology. Thus, we've seen several notable investments in these projects from big investors. Filecoin, for instance, raised over $257 million in a token sale in 2017, which was the largest initial coin offering (ICO) at that time. Some notable investors included Sequoia Capital, Andreessen Horowitz, and Union Square Ventures, who collectively raised around $52 million. Another storage protocol, Sia, has raised $3 million over two rounds, and Storj has raised $35.4 million in funding over seven rounds. Massive tech companies like Microsoft have also shown interest in the space. Recently, through its venture capital fund, it has led a $20 million funding round for Space and Time, a Web3 startup specializing in decentralized data storage. Top Decentralized Storage Projects | |
Filecoin (FIL) The Filecoin network went live in late 2020 and has been one of the most popular and widely-used decentralized storage protocols ever since. It's an open-source cloud storage network built on the Interplanetary File System (IPFS) -- a new protocol for the decentralized web -- aiming to replace the HTTP protocol. HTTP identifies data by its location, e.g., the URL where a web page is hosted. IPFS, on the other hand, identifies data by its content rather than its location. Since its launch, Filecoin has allowed users to rent out extra storage space to clients in return for FIL, the platform’s native token. This allows for data to be stored in a trustless manner over peer-to-peer networks. After its successful ICO and launch, Filecoin has experienced growth in various sectors. In terms of the network’s utilization, Filecoin reportedan increase in storage deals (agreements between storage clients and storage providers on the Filecoin network for the provision of storage services) from 699K in January 2020 to over 1 million deals a year later. This number grew to over 16.7M active deals by the end of 2022. Some of Filecoin’s notable users include Web3 projects like MagicEden and Rarible, and Web2 institutions like UC Berkeley and the City of Philadelphia. | |
Jan 2022-Jan 2023. Images via Filcoin blog. Messarireported that Filecoin’s supply-side revenue (revenue generated by storage providers on the Filecoin network for providing client storage service) steadily declined throughout 2022. On the other hand, the protocol’s revenue (revenue generated by the Filecoin network) put up better numbers in the last three quarters of 2022 compared to the first quarter. | |
Supply-side and protocol revenue. Image via Messari. Filecoin has held the top position in terms of market capitalization since 2021, so it’s definitely the top project (and token) to watch. | |
Internet Computer (ICP) Internet Computer (ICP) was created by the Dfinity Foundation in 2021 to provide a decentralized, open internet platform supporting smart contracts and decentralized applications. Developers can build websites and apps not controlled by central authorities by having them run on decentralized networks. The project raised over $190 million in funding and is backed by venture capital firms like Andreessen Horowitz and Polychain Capital. It's experienced tremendous growth since its launch. Currently, it's the top metaverse blockchain project by market cap ($1.5 billion). DFINITY reportedthat new users increased by over 647% (Dec. 2021-Dec. 2022) from 4,079 to 37,224. ICP’s price, however, has been on a downward trajectory since its launch and has currently settled at around $5. | |
Look at that growth! Via Twitter The project has ambitious plans to go toe to toe and eventually replace the current centralized web system. They explained in a blog post, “In 10 years’ time, it will be widely recognized by the tech community that the Internet Computer is on a likely trajectory that will one day make it humanity’s primary compute platform for building systems and services, and that the 'open internet’ will now near certainly predominate over Big Tech’s closed proprietary ecosystem.” | |
Arweave (AR) Arweave is looking at decentralized file storage from a different perspective. The project is targeting permanent storage, an area unexplored by legacy cloud computing companies. It's attempting to create a new market that allows users to pay single fees upfront, then store their data forever. Its model is set up to incentivize miners to ensure the permanence, reliability, and availability of the stored data. Though its mainnet launched in 2018, Arweave didn't properly take off until 2021. In that year, the storage protocol recorded growth in revenuethroughout the four quarters. During the same period, Arweave recorded up to 7,000 daily active users. These numbers have, however, been dropping throughout 2022, and the protocol has been recording an even lower number of daily active users and revenue in 2023. | |
Arweave active addresses. Image via ViewBlock. | |
That said, Arweave has still been proactive in its attempt to become the world’s new permanent data storage system. Late last year, it announced a partnership with Meta in a tweet... “Happy to announce that Meta is now utilizing Arweave for the storage of their creator’s digital collectibles on Instagram! Bringing data permanence to the giants of Web2!” | |
Holo (HOT) Holo claims to be the “Airbnb of apps” as it allows users to host and access dapps on a distributed network of computers. By contributing their computing power and bandwidth to the network, they get HoloFuel, a crypto of the Holo network. The project raised over $20 million in an ICO, but it's still in the early testing stages. Despite this, the project has held its position as one of the top five decentralized storage projects by market cap in the last two years. | |
SiaCoin (SC) Sia is another decentralized storage platform that enables users to rent out their unused storage space to others in exchange for Siacoins, the platform’s native token. On the Siacoin network, files are broken down into smaller pieces, encrypted, then distributed across multiple hosts to ensure high availability and redundancy, even if one or more hosts go offline. The project raised over $3 million in funding and, since its launch in 2015, has grown to provide 4,660 TB of storage space, with only 1210 TB of it being used. This number is low, and it gives us an idea of how many people are using the storage service. With little activity on the network, SiaCoin only generatesroughly $600 in monthly revenue, down from $12,000 just five months ago. | |
Ocean Protocol (OCEAN) Ocean Protocol is a project mainly focused on monetizing data. It views data as a financial asset. Through the protocol, it can be tokenized into ERC-20 assets known as data tokens that exist on the blockchain. Interested parties (i.e., data scientists) who benefit from access to more data can buy these tokens on Ocean’s marketplace. A report by Messari revealed Ocean was still struggling with adoption and has notably failed to attract sufficient data providers for its system to work. In a blog post published mid-last year, Messari explained, “The protocol has struggled to attract sufficient data providers. When Ocean originally launched the data tokens, the product launch hype and network rewards garnered high initial traction. Using the number of data token mint transactions and data tokens created as a proxy for traction… Since December 2020, Ocean has had an average of 10–15 mint transactions and ten data tokens created each month.” | |
Image via Messari. The same goes for data token transfers, an important metric since it provides insight into the level of activity in the protocol and interest in buying and selling access to datasets. This number has been generally low, with the protocol recording less than 45 data token transfers per month throughout last year. | |
Image via Messari. Ocean respondedto the Messari report by saying, “We knew that building a trillion-dollar data economy from the ground up will not be easy. We were first with the NFTs 10 yrs ago. We took learnings into Ocean, and we have the conviction that we're on the right path.” Despite the performance, Ocean has maintained its position as one of the top storage protocols since 2021. Investor Takeaway While decentralized protocols offer many benefits over centralized systems, like increased security and transparency, they also require a significant shift in mindset and infrastructure to be widely adopted. One of the biggest hurdles for decentralized protocols may be adoption, as these systems are still relatively new and unfamiliar to many users and businesses. Regardless, they're part of a rapidly evolving field, meaning there's significant potential for growth and innovation. For investors looking to spot the early leader, Filecoin (FIL) is still the 800-pound gorilla in this space. | |
| ICYMI In Case You Missed It | |
| Share This Meme Copy, paste, and post | |
Decentralized storage is like renting someone else's storage unit for your stuff. | |
Share the Love Help grow our crypto investing community. | |
Bitcoin Market Journal is a daily newsletter that makes you a better crypto investor. It's created by John Hargrave, Nick Marinoff, Steve Walters, Anatol Antonovici, Matthew Du, Daniel Joel, and Preetam Kaushik. Both free and Premium subscribers get content to build them into better investors. Upgrade to Premium and get access to our top crypto picks while earning valuable Premium rewards! | | |
|
|
| |