The Bills have a good 'D' overall, but they're pretty terrible against the run and I think Zeke Elliott's going to EAT on Turkey Day. Brady Quinn expects a low-scoring game and wouldn't lay the 6.5, and then there's Jason Garrett (check out Jason La Canfora's take on three hot-seat coaches being in the holiday spotlight). Plus Ryan Wilson talks 2020 Draft, we break down all three games and more.

Nobody's quite sure at this point what Tua Tagovailoa's injury will mean to his football future, but Chris Trapasso says one thing's for sure: TUA'S GOING IN ROUND 1, PEOPLE. That fifth year is just too valuable and someone is sure to gamble on a QB with so much talent, so Chris has the Chargers going all-in at No. 11, and check out how far Justin Herbert falls.

Favorites have been covering at an amazing rate on Thanksgiving (30-11 ATS since 2003) and Pete Prisco DOES NOT CARE. Pete says there will be two shocking holiday upsets, with the Lions overcoming injuries to beat the Bears and the Bills improving to 9-3 in Dallas. Pete predicts a few more upsets, too, including one in a nasty AFC rematch.

The Bengals are 0-11 and just went back to a QB they benched after Week 8 to get a look at their future. Apparently, it wasn't pretty, so you have to wonder if Zac Taylor's now looking at HIS future. Patrik Walker has Taylor at No. 2 in his coaching hot seat rankings, and while Jason Garrett is apparently bulletproof, Patrik's No. 5 could be higher on the list soon.

Andy Dalton is back and THE SPREAD MOVED A HALF POINT. What does that say about the Red Rifle? Clearly Dalton is the better QB and I wish I was getting a better line, but I don't care either way, because the Jets have been feasting on bad defenses and last I checked Cincy's is the worst. Give me the Niners too (6 points is too much) and a couple of near-10-point dogs.

Vinny Testaverde's 35 interceptions in one season is a record that's stood since 1988, but could it go down? Jameis Winston's thrown 20 so far (he could be the first ever to throw 30 TDs and 30 INTs), and Joel Corry says Winston's one of six players in a contract year who've hurt their financial future; a bunch of untimely drops have put this WR on the list.

The Bears and Saints are each getting more than 80% of the tickets and money bet on them, which is normally when it's a good idea to fade the public. R.J. White says not so fast, however. Home dogs have covered just once on Thanksgiving since 2011, and R.J.'s got more insight into how to bet on all three games, plus a teaser that could bring you holiday cheer.