13/11/23View in Browser

Fixing the EU economy: Mission impossible?

By Georgi Gotev | @GeorgiGotev

“It’s the economy, stupid.” The phrase was coined by American political consultant James Carville in a TV quip in 1992 when he was advising Bill Clinton in his successful run for the White House.

In 2023, as the EU prepares for European elections in June 2024, fixing the EU’s economy is emerging as the number one priority, eclipsing other issues such as the support for Ukraine or the renewed Middle East tensions.

As the Financial Times reported on 4 November, a recently emerged consensus in the European Commission around the need for the Union to regain its competitive edge brought the return of Mario Draghi to the EU scene.

The former European Central Bank Chief, famous for his “whatever it takes” speech, which marked a turnaround in the European sovereign debt crisis, was tasked with producing a report on the state of EU competitiveness and how to fix it.

Simply put, the 27-member EU has a population of 420 million, while the US has 332 million. But the EU economy today represents 65% of the US economy, while ten years ago, the EU economy was equal to 91% of the US economy.

Indeed, 10 years ago, the UK was part of the EU, but the widening gap tendency is clear.

With the internet revolution, the US took a giant leap forward as major conglomerates such as the GAFA gained global influence. In China, giants such as Alibaba also emerged, while nothing worth mentioning happened on the EU side. Today’s fears are that AI will further widen the gap between the EU, the US, and China.

Ahead of US President Joe Biden’s meeting with his Chinese colleague Xi Jinping tomorrow, Washington called it a meeting of the “world’s two largest economies”. Two years ago, China surpassed the aggregated EU economy and has plans to be the number one world economy by 2030.

Why are we in decline?

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Photo of the day

New British Foreign Secretary David Cameron departs 10 Downing Street in London, Britain, 13 November 2023. Former British Prime Minister David Cameron was appointed new British Foreign Secretary after the sacking of Home Secretary Suella Braverman. Former Foreign Secretary James Cleverly was appointed Home Secretary. EPA-EFE/ANDY RAIN

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The Roundup

As the world’s nations enter another round of talks this week on creating a first-ever treaty to contain plastic pollution, officials are bracing for tough negotiations over whether to limit the amount of plastic being produced or just to focus on the management of waste.

EU foreign ministers are meeting on Monday to continue trying to balance support for Israel’s right to defend itself with calls for protecting civilians in Gaza.

Western Balkans representatives should join their EU counterparts more regularly for meetings to increasingly align with the bloc’s common foreign and security policy, according to a non-paper on “deeper cooperation” with the region, produced by a group of EU countries and seen by Euractiv.

The EU’s chief diplomat Josep Borrell will visit Israel and the Palestinian territories, as well as several Arab countries, later this week as part of a wider effort to discuss humanitarian aid to Gaza and political issues with regional leaders.

While the fifth round of COVID-19 vaccination encounters re-occurring delays in Slovakia, the country’s problem with immunisation seems to be rooted deeper.

British Prime Minister Rishi Sunak brought back former leader David Cameron as foreign minister on Monday in a reshuffle triggered by his firing of interior minister Suella Braverman after her criticism of police threatened his authority.

As of 1 November, a broader group of Polish women will have access to preventive screenings for the early detection of breast and cervical cancer, but experts warn that more should be done.

United Nations workers observed a minute’s silence on Monday to honour the more than 100 employees killed in Gaza since the Israel-Hamas war began last month, the largest toll of humanitarian workers in the organisation’s 78-year history.

Czech health insurance providers will not be able to penalise patients based on previous cancer diagnoses if they have successfully completed treatment, following a deal based on the “right to be forgotten” by ministers and insurance companies. 

Divisions over the war in the Middle East, the Italy-Albania migration deal, and other political events involving Socialist leaders underlined the fragility of the European Socialist family during its congress in Málaga last weekend, just seven months before the next European elections.

There was no evidence linking the former digital campaign manager of the European People’s Party (EPP) to bribes allegedly received during the 2019 EU election campaign, German prosecutors announced on Monday, concluding a year-long case that involved a raid of the EPP headquarters in Brussels.
 


Look out for…

  • Informal meeting of housing ministers in Gijón on Monday-Tuesday.
  • Foreign Affairs Council (Defence) on Tuesday.
  • Parliament holds press conference “Remembering the victims of ongoing Israeli war crimes and crimes against humanity in Gaza” in Brussels Tuesday.
  • Parliament President Roberta Metsola meets Armenia’s Foreign Minister Ararat Mirzoyan on Wednesday.
  • Budget Commissioner Johannes Hahn receives group of Local Councillors for Europe from Austria in Brussels on Wednesday.

Views are the author’s

[Edited by Zoran Radosavljevic/Alice Taylor]

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