03/09/24View in Browser

France still has no prime minister, but it does have a huge deficit

By Laurent Geslin

France remains without a government nearly two months after the second round of snap legislative elections, leaving outgoing ministers scrambling to manage current affairs. Meanwhile, economic forecasts are rapidly deteriorating, putting France in an embarrassing and potentially dangerous situation.

So precarious that the executive who is to take over the reins of the country in a few days has to most likely make some painful choices, as a matter of urgency. According to the draft budget drawn up this summer, allocations to ministries have already been frozen at €492 billion.

According to a note sent on 2 September by Bruno Le Maire, the resigning minister for the economy, the public accounts deficit is expected to reach 5.6% of GDP in 2024. Just a few weeks ago, the projections were for 5.1%, and last spring for 4.9%, after peaking at 5.5% last year.

For the Ministry of Finance, this is due to "the extremely rapid increase in local authority spending," particularly that of communes and departments, which could worsen public accounts, in addition to an expected fall in tax revenues, despite GDP growth estimated at 1.1% in 2024.

This will further weaken French President Emmanuel Macron's political legacy. Le Maire explained this summer that his objective was to bring France's deficit below 3% by 2027, to comply with the requirements of the EU's Stability Pact.

“They give economic lessons to the whole world and accuse us of wanting to impoverish France. But they are driving the country into the wall,“ said Manuel Bompard, coordinator of the far-left France Insoumise party (LFI), on X. Emmanuel Macron constantly repeats that he has no intention of raising taxes, contrary to the plans of the left-wing parties.

The European Commission, on 26 July, placed France under the excessive deficit procedure, and Paris must, in theory, present a four-year plan to reduce its public deficits by 20 September.

Of course, this deadline will be impossible to meet, as the office of the resigning prime minister is considering postponing tabling the Finance Bill before the National Assembly.

Continue reading...
Photo of the day
BEIJING, CHINA – China's Foreign Minister Wang Yi (L) shakes hands with Senegal's Foreign Minister Yassine Fall during the ministerial conference of the 2024 Summit of the Forum on China-Africa Cooperation on 03 September 2024. (EPA-EFE/KEN ISHII / POOL)
Would you like to sponsor The Brief? Contact us
The Roundup

Greece’s main opposition leftist Syriza party should end its internal divisions and take initiatives to speak to other progressive forces, EU lawmaker Nikolas Farantouris told Euractiv, adding that he stands ready to claim the party’s leadership.

As the Russia-friendly and left-populist BSW party has become the king-maker in Eastern Germany, the country’s vocal Ukraine backers appear poised to make concessions and tone down their rhetoric to form stable governments.

EU chief Ursula von der Leyen has made her first picks for her top team, with the key economy vice-president job going to Italy’s far-right nominee, German newspaper Die Welt reported Tuesday (3 September).

Delays in the disbursement of the European Union’s multibillion-euro COVID-19 recovery fund are severely hampering member states’ ability to rebound from the pandemic, according to a study released on Monday (2 September) by the European Court of Auditors (ECA).

Civil society organisations demanded comprehensive legislation banning spyware throughout the EU, citing widespread misuse and insufficient regulation, in a joint statement on Tuesday (3 September).

Look out for…

  • European Policy Centre holds an event titled The future of EU democracy in a new institutional cycle in Brussels.
  • The Informal meeting of the General Affairs Council continues for a second day in Budapest, Hungary.
  • European Commissioner for Agriculture, Janusz Wojciechowsk, is attending the 21st International Dairy Community Forum, in Bialystok, Poland.
  • European Commissioner for Neighbourhood and Enlargement, Olivér Várhelyi, meets with North Macedonia Minister of European Affairs, Orhan Murtezani.
  • Várhelyi will meet the French President's special envoy for aid and reconstruction in Ukraine, Pierre Heilbronn.
  • European Commissioner Innovation, Research, Culture, Education and Youth, Iliana Ivanova meets the President of the European Court of Auditors, Tony Murphy.

[Edited by Rajnish Singh/Alice Taylor-Braçe]

Twitter
Instagram
Facebook
Website
LinkedIn
Spotify
Copyright © 2024 Euractiv Media BV, All rights reserved.
You are receiving this email because you subscribed to receive email newsletters from Euractiv.

Our mailing address is:
Euractiv Media BV
Karel de Grotelaan 1 bus 1
Brussel 1041
Belgium

Add us to your address book


Want to change how you receive these emails?
You can update your preferences or unsubscribe from ALL emails from us.