07/12/23View in Browser

Good times, bad times

By Georgi Gotev | @GeorgiGotev

For the West, the current phase of the Ukraine war is certainly a bad time. The situation may still be reversible, but the war fatigue that has set in is not helping.

One year ago, the West was confident that Russia would suffer enormously because of what was considered Vladimir Putin’s strategic mistake in invading Ukraine.

The Russian army had made a joke of itself, while the Ukrainians proved to be much better prepared than was initially presumed.

NATO grew stronger, with Finland and Sweden abandoning their traditional policy of neutrality, the EU gave a heartfelt welcome to Ukrainian refugees, mostly women and children. More and more modern weapons were reaching Ukraine, which started preparing its counteroffensive.

But Moscow didn’t just stand and watch either.

In the meantime, Russia built strong defences at the frontlines, illustrated by the famous ‘dragon teeth’, boosted conscription, improved military techniques, including by widening the use of drones, and put its military industry on a wartime footing.

As a result, the much-awaited Ukrainian counteroffensive wasn’t really successful. What we see on the front now is more a war of attrition, which plays into the hands of Russia, a much bigger country with a lot of resources and patience.

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Photo of the day
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan (L) and Greek Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis (R) shake hands during a joint statement after their meeting at the Maximos Mansion in Athens, Greece, 07 December 2023. Turkish president Erdogan is visiting Athens in the context of the 5th Greece-Turkey High Level Cooperation Council. EPA-EFE/YANNIS KOLESIDIS

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The Roundup

The EU’s Critical Raw Materials Act, adopted on Thursday, aims to reduce permitting times for domestic mining and recycling projects but fails to create the broader conditions necessary for companies to make those investments, the industry says – a warning echoed by green activists.

Negotiations on the EU’s Energy Performance of Buildings Directive (EPBD) are expected to conclude on Thursday evening, with EU countries set to dilute a proposed mandate to make renovations mandatory.

The European Commission has made proposals for stricter rules on animal transport and pets, but campaigners have lambasted a number of loopholes, while large parts of the originally envisaged animal welfare overhaul have been left to the next mandate.

The European Parliament’s Committee on Industry, Research and Energy adopted on Thursday the draft report of the Cyber Solidarity Act, while the file keeps languishing in the EU Council of Ministers.

The latest compromise proposal on the EU’s seven-year budget review, which comes with large cuts and re-purposing of funds, has so far failed to convince member states, with time running out one week before a decisive EU summit.

EU lawmakers are a step closer to starting interinstitutional negotiations on the European Health Data Space (EHDS) regulation, with the Council agreeing on their position on Wednesday (6 December) and the Parliament due to vote on theirs next week.

As Russia announced on Thursday the date of the 2024 presidential elections, President Vladimir Putin and his closest ally banked on anti-Western rhetoric and on the assumption that Ukraine will become a ‘black hole’ for the US and its allies.

Don’t miss this week’s EU Politics Decoded: Orbán tests his veto power.

Look out for….

  • Competitiveness Council (Research and space) meets in Brussels Friday.
  • Economic and Financial Affairs Council meets in Brussels Friday.
  • Agriculture and Fisheries Council meets in Brussels Sunday-Monday.

Views are the author’s

[Edited by Zoran Radosavljevic/Alice Taylor]

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