11/03/24View in Browser

High level, high risk

By Georgi Gotev

French President Emmanuel Macron has postponed for the third time his visit to Ukraine. We can only speculate that one possible reason was because of security issues.

Of all the possible risks for starting a direct military clash between Russia and the West, an attack on a Western leader on Ukrainian soil appears to be most likely.

Since Russia started its full-scale invasion of Ukraine on 24 February 2022, 25 heads of state and/or government of EU countries have visited Ukraine (all countries except Cyprus and Malta), several of them more than once.

Top officials who have visited include US President Joe Biden (20 February 2023), two successive UK prime ministers, the president of Turkey, the prime ministers of Australia and Canada, and a few others, plus all NATO members except North Macedonia.

When UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres visited Kyiv, the capital was bombed by Russia. This also coincided with the visit of then-Bulgarian Prime Minister Kiril Petkov, who was at the Kyiv train station when rockets hit nearby buildings.

More recently, when Greek Prime Minister Kyriakos Mitsotakis visited Odesa together with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy, Russian missiles landed at a close distance, reportedly targeting a warehouse containing sea drones.

Each visit by such high-level guests to Ukraine increases the risk that even inadvertently, one of them may become the victim of a Russian attack and the incident could result in a casus belli.

Macron has recently become the Western leader most determined to support Ukraine, ignoring “red lines”, and even admitting to the possibility of sending troops. This infuriated the Kremlin, with TV commentator Vladimir Solovyov quickly calling for nuclear strikes against France and other European cities.

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Health care trade unionists belonging to Health Solidarity confederation carry banners, placards and flags while blowing plastic trumpets as they march through downtown during a protest, in Bucharest, Romania, 11 March 2024. Thousands of doctors, nurses from all over the country, organized by their trade union confederation, are protesting in Bucharest and threatening to go on strike if they don't get the legal established wage compensations for endangering their health, and proper payment for the extra working hours and extra shifts in hospitals. SANITAS leaders are determined to start a general strike in the health care state owned system, if their dispute with the government will not be settled after today's protest. EPA-EFE/ROBERT GHEMENT

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The Roundup

Two years after Sweden applied to join NATO, its flag was raised at the military alliance’s headquarters on Monday, with Swedish Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson saying “We have come home”.

The European Commission violated data protection rules in its use of Microsoft 365, leading to the imposition of corrective measures by the European Data Protection Supervisor (EDPS), the watchdog announced on Monday.

Germany’s conservative CDU/CSU is continuing to push to reverse the controversial phase-out of internal combustion engine cars by 2035, despite the demand being dropped from the European People’s Party election manifesto.

EU negotiators went back to the drawing board over the weekend to bulletproof the text of the bloc’s corporate due diligence law (CSDDD) in the hope of securing a final deal by Friday at the latest, Euractiv understands.

A ‘French-style’ bill on assisted dying will be presented to France’s Council of Ministers in April, President Emmanuel Macron confirmed in an interview on Sunday, underlining that it will function differently to similar laws in other EU countries.

The European liberals’ three-person lead candidate team will include the German defence policy expert Marie-Agnes Strack-Zimmermann on behalf of ALDE, her party has announced.

The EU’s controversial green buildings law will be voted on in the European Parliament on Tuesday, but its adoption is far from guaranteed, given the opposition from German centre-right lawmakers.

Look out for…

  • European Parliament plenary Monday – Thursday.
  • High Representative Josep Borrell in New York, participates in meetings at United Nations on Tuesday.
  • Economic and Financial Affairs Council (Ecofin) on Tuesday.

Views are the author’s

[Edited by Zoran Radosavljevic/Alice Taylor/Rajnish Singh]

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