01/07/24View in Browser

No light at the end of the tunnel?

By Georgi Gotev

French far right lurches toward powerViktor Orbán’s Hungary to lead the EU for the next six monthsAfD states aim to govern GermanyPro-Russian patriarch elected in Bulgaria.

In the US, Joe Biden’s disastrous debate performance augurs his election route in November.

To many readers, these summary titles from 1 July may appear disturbing or even cataclysmic, but they are not surprising. All these developments were largely foreseen in the global or national context.

It looks like there is no light at the end of the tunnel for the European Union.

Moreover, it is worrying that all the enemies of the EU act according to their plan, while the EU is the victim because it is the only geopolitical entity obviously without a plan.

An illustration of this lack of plan and ideas is the agreement reached by national EU leaders to put forward Ursula von der Leyen for a second term at the helm of what appears to be the EU’s most powerful institution, the European Commission.

We have already argued that VDL is synonymous with ‘more of the same’. In a democracy, people re-elect a leader, be it a local mayor or a president, when they are satisfied with their performance.

The EU performance is far from satisfactory, be it in terms of competitiveness at the global scale or living standards as ordinary people perceive them. With this leadership, fixing the EU economy looks like a mission impossible.

The next step is the vote on the von der Leyen candidacy by MEPs in the European Parliament, expected on 18 July.

Although the outgoing Commission chief is supported by three mainstream groups (EPP, S&D, Liberals), which have 399 seats, 38 more than the minimum threshold, the vote is secret and the risk of rebel votes should not be underestimated.

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Photo of the day

Latvian Foreign Minister Baiba Braze (L) and German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock shake hands at the end of a joint press conference at the Foreign Ministry in Berlin, Germany, 01 July 2024. German Foreign Minister Annalena Baerbock and Latvian Foreign Minister Baiba Braze met for bilateral talks. EPA-EFE/CLEMENS BILAN

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The Roundup

The European Commission has dismissed China’s announcement that it could launch an investigation into the EU executive’s alleged misuse of anti-subsidy legislation, saying the framework fully respects business confidentiality rules.

Only four EU countries have submitted their long-term climate and energy plans on time, and the European Commission intends to remind them at informal ministerial meetings.

The European Commission accused Meta of violating its digital competition rules, the Digital Markets Act (DMA), in its “pay or OK” model, officials told Euractiv on Monday.

Taking up pending legislation on agrifood issues will require “political courage” in the next legislature, Agustín Reyna, the newly appointed director general of the European Consumer Organisation (BEUC), told Euractiv.

French President Emmanuel Macron’s top officials are showing deep divisions over the best way to fight the far right ahead of the snap elections’ second round, in a rare display of public disagreement within his team.

With a new far-right group, including Victor Orbán’s Fidesz party, on the horizon, the German far-right AfD has hopes of breaking out of potential isolation in the European Parliament after being kicked out of their previous group, ID.

Look out for…

  • Weekly meeting of the College of Commissioners on Wednesday.
  • Commission President Ursula von der Leyen participates in EPP Group Study Days in Cascais, Portugal, on Wednesday.

Views are the author’s

[Edited by Zoran Radosavljevic/Alice Taylor]

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