08/12/23View in Browser

The high price of failure will drive an EU migration deal

By Benjamin Fox | @benfox83

Few policy topics are as charged and important to politicians and public opinion as migration. 

This morning, the UK government quietly admitted that Rwanda would be paid an additional £150 million under the new treaty agreed this week to salvage its cash for asylum seekers’ deal. This will take the scheme’s cost to £290 million without a single asylum seeker having been flown to the East African state.

Legal and political opposition makes it highly unlikely that the scheme will ever be operational. 

Is this good policy-making? Almost certainly not.

But if the desperation – and chaotic incompetence – is not quite as acute in Brussels and European capitals as in Rishi Sunak’s government, EU leaders know that public opinion across the bloc is exercised by what they perceive to be high and, critically, uncontrolled immigration. 

EU lawmakers remain deadlocked on plans to reform the bloc’s migration and asylum laws, with negotiations now set to continue until Christmas week. 

Diplomatic sources told Euractiv that this week’s trilogues produced no real breakthroughs.

That shifts the spotlight to trilogues on 18 and 19 December. The Spanish government, which holds the six-month rotating EU Council presidency, has vowed to get a political agreement on the files before the end of the year.  

All presidencies make such promises, but the political stakes are particularly high in this case. There is a sense of desperation among European politicians, if not to actually do something, then to at least be seen as doing something.

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Photo of the day

Activists protest at Expo City Dubai, the venue of the 2023 United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP28), in Dubai, United Arab Emirates, 08 December 2023. The 2023 United Nations Climate Change Conference (COP28), runs from 30 November to 12 December, and is expected to host one of the largest number of participants in the annual global climate conference as over 70,000 estimated attendees, including the member states of the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC), business leaders, young people, climate scientists, Indigenous Peoples and other relevant stakeholders will attend. EPA-EFE/MARTIN DIVISEK

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The Roundup

EU finance ministers picked on Friday Spanish Deputy Prime Minister Nadia Calviño to become the next head of the European Investment Bank in a boost for Spain’s clout within the bloc.

Following in the footsteps of the European Parliament last month, EU member states in the Council have also included nuclear energy alongside renewables among the technologies promoted by the EU’s Net-Zero Industry Act (NZIA).

Fossil fuel boilers will need to be completely phased out by 2040 and subsidies cut from 2025 as part of a political agreement reached by EU legislators on Thursday evening (7 December) to revamp the bloc’s Energy Performance of Buildings Directive (EPBD).

As the European Commission prepares to update its bioeconomy strategy, Eastern European countries call for more support in developing bio-refineries on their territory and closing the gap with Western Europe.

Russian President Vladimir Putin on Friday told soldiers who had fought in the Ukraine war that he would run for president again in the 2024 election, a move that will allow the former KGB spy to stay in power until at least 2030.

Finally, for more policy news, check out this week’s Tech Brief, the Economy Brief, and the Agrifood Brief.

Look out for….

  • COP28 ongoing until 12 December.
  • Agriculture and Fisheries Council in Brussels Sunday-Monday.
  • Foreign Affairs Council on Monday.

Views are the author’s

[Edited by Zoran Radosavljevic/Alice Taylor]

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