14/11/23View in Browser

Unjust transition ahead

By Jonathan Packroff | @Jonpackroff

Europe must spend hundreds of billions of euros in the coming years to reach its climate targets, but with public spending limited by strict budget rules, it will be mostly consumers footing the bill.

If this European Commission will be remembered for anything, it will likely be for its climate policy. With the targets adopted under Ursula von der Leyen, the EU wants to be climate-neutral by 2050 and reduce emissions by 55% by 2030.

To achieve those targets, hundreds of billions of euros must be spent on greening the economy. While politicians love to talk about stuff like hydrogen, green steel, and battery factories, the biggest chunk of investments is needed to renovate buildings and reduce the emissions caused by heating systems.

The European Commission estimates an additional investment of €165 billion into building renovations each year – on top of what has happened so far.

Who will pay for this? Realistically, there are two options: Either it’s national governments massively subsidising building renovations, or it’s those using heating systems – consumers like you and me.

You might also think that even if governments subsidise renovations, in the end, it will also be you and me paying for this via our taxes.

But governments can borrow money and do so more efficiently than each consumer individually.

By financing climate investments through public debt, it wouldn’t be today’s taxpayers paying for it, but tomorrow’s – when GDP and wages are higher due to economic growth in the meantime.

Also, taxes are paid progressively, meaning high-earners and the wealthy are – at least theoretically – expected to contribute more. This distributes costs more fairly throughout society than letting each consumer, including the poorest, pay for the renovation of their own home.

In short, it would have certain advantages to let (future) taxpayers pay for today’s green investments, not only consumers.

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France's President Emmanuel Macron, shakes hands with members of rescue teams in Blendecques, northern France, 14 November 2023. President Macron and his wife Brigitte visit inundated towns near Calais in northern France after a series of storms and heavy rains forced school evacuations, flooded farm fields and strained public services. Macron wants to show his support to residents and rescue teams, the French presidency said. EPA-EFE/AURELIEN MORISSARD / POOL MAXPPP OUT

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The Roundup

As part of the European Green Deal and the new circular economy action plan, the European Commission put forward a revision of the Packaging and Packaging Waste Directive (PPWD) in November 2022. The initiative’s main objective is to ensure that all packaging is reusable or recyclable in an economically feasible manner by 2030.

Relaxing state aid rules is a step forward in unlocking new green financing, but “we must move quickly” on the capital markets union (CMU) to reach private investors’ money, French business association Medef’s chief Patrick Martin said on Monday.

Expectations for a successful transition to an e-administration in Germany are high among politicians and business leaders, but in reality, rollout remains slow, and the laws supposed to facilitate it are being criticised for failing to prioritise. 

Thirty-one countries have pledged to stop all deep-sea mining in polar regions at the One Planet Polar Summit, which ended in Paris on Friday, in a deal that Norway still needs to sign amid criticism of its recent decision to allow Arctic mining.

EU defence ministers on Tuesday approved a rehaul of the defence capability development priorities (CDP) to reflect the need for more conventional defence equipment and counter-drone tactics in their armed forces’ ranks, learning lessons from Russia’s war in Ukraine.

Sofia has turned its back on €80 million from the EU Recovery Plan intended for the construction of a proton centre for the treatment of oncological diseases in children, sparking a conflict between the government and doctors.

Palestinians trapped inside Gaza’s biggest hospital were digging a mass grave on Tuesday to bury patients who died under Israeli encirclement, and said no plan was in place to evacuate babies despite Israel announcing an offer to send portable incubators.

The lack of adequate testing combined with delayed access to updated vaccines and difficulties in obtaining antiviral drugs pose severe challenges for Poland to combat the ongoing COVID surge, experts warn.
 


Look out for…

  • Parliament President Roberta Metsoa meets Latvian President Edgars Rinkēvičs on Wednesday.
  • Climate Action Commissioner Wopke Hoekstra meets with climate experts including stakeholders, civil society and academics in Beijing on Wednesday.
  • African, Caribbean, and Pacific-EU (ACP-EU) Council of Ministers meets in Apia, Samoa on Wednesday.
  • General Affairs Council meets in Brussels on Wednesday.

Views are the author’s

[Edited by Zoran Radosavljevic/Alice Taylor]

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